Kudelski (XSWX:KUD) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: CHF8.77 (As of Aug. 27, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
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Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

XSWX:KUD Kudelski SA XSWX:KUD
34 GF Score
Price CHF1.32
GF Value CHF0.90
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 5 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Kudelski Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Kudelski XSWX:KUD -1.13% 34 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is CHF8.77 as of Aug. 27, 2026. GuruFocus rates XSWX:KUD with a GF Score™ of 34/100 and a GF Value™ of CHF0.90 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,468 Software companies, Kudelski ranks better than 98.71% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-08-27), Kudelski's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is CHF8.77. The stock price of Kudelski is CHF1.315. Therefore, Kudelski's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.2.

The historical rank and industry rank for Kudelski's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

XSWX:KUD' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.14   Med: 0.32   Max: 0.92
Current: 0.15

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Kudelski was 0.92. The lowest was 0.14. And the median was 0.32.

XSWX:KUD's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
98.71% of 1468 companies
in the Software industry
Industry Median: 1.445 vs XSWX:KUD: 0.15

Kudelski  (XSWX:KUD) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Kudelski's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=1.315/8.7731918133572
=0.15

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Kudelski Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


Kudelski Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Kudelski's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Kudelski Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Kudelski Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 11.69 9.10 7.04 8.89 8.77

Kudelski Semi-Annual Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 7.04 0.00 8.89 0.00 8.77

XSWX:KUD vs QH, SHOP, UBER: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Software - Application subindustry, Kudelski's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Kudelski Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Kudelski's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Kudelski's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


XSWX:KUD
34GF Score
Kudelski SA XSWX:KUD
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Kudelski Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Kudelski's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = CHF27.06.

Kudelski's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec25)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*27.055+242.753*0.8)/51.495
=8.77

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of CHF8.77 mean?
Kudelski (XSWX:KUD) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of CHF8.77 as of Aug. 27, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Kudelski and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Kudelski ranks #19 out of 1468 companies in the Software industry, placing it in the top 1.3%.
Is Kudelski's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Kudelski's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is CHF8.77. Based on the distribution chart, Kudelski ranks #19 out of 1468 companies in the Software industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Kudelski has a GF Score™ of 34/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Kudelski's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to QH and SHOP?
According to the Software industry distribution chart, Kudelski ranks #19 out of 1468 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places Kudelski in the top 1% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.45. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Software company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Software companies is 1.45, based on 1,468 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Kudelski and its competitors. For the Software industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.45 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Kudelski's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is CHF8.77. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Kudelski stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Kudelski (XSWX:KUD) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is CHF0.90, compared to a current price of CHF1.32 — trading 46.1% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is CHF8.77. Kudelski's overall GF Score™ is 34/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Kudelski (XSWX:KUD), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is CHF8.77 as of Aug. 27, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Kudelski (XSWX:KUD) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Kudelski stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of CHF1.32 is trading 46.1% above its estimated GF Value™ of CHF0.90. GuruFocus considers Kudelski to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for XSWX:KUD:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: CHF8.77
  • GF Value™: CHF0.90 vs. price of CHF1.32 (46.1% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 34/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the XSWX:KUD stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Kudelski Business Description

Other Exchanges KUDz:UK0QNQ:UKKUD:Germany
Address 22-24, Route de Geneve, P.O. Box 134, Cheseaux-sur-Lausanne, CHE, 1033
Kudelski SA is a Switzerland-based company. It provides digital security and access control solutions. The company's service offering is split into three segments: Core Digital Security; Cybersecurity, Internet of Things (IoT). The Core Digital Security segment generates majority of the revenue and provides end-to-end digital and media content security, including chipset security and security labs certification. Core Digital Security also includes the Group's intellectual property activities as well as the development of new business initiatives such as watermarking, Insight and Sporfie. Geographically, the company generates key revenue from United States of America.
34GF Score

Get the complete analysis for XSWX:KUD

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

CHF1.32
Price
CHF0.90
GF Value