VAT Group AG (XSWX:VACN) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: CHF103.94 (As of Sep. 05, 2026)

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
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Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

XSWX:VACN VAT Group AG XSWX:VACN
87 GF Score
Price CHF612.60
GF Value CHF449.03
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 4 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is VAT Group AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

VAT Group AG XSWX:VACN +2.79% 87 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is CHF103.94 as of Sep. 05, 2026. GuruFocus rates XSWX:VACN with a GF Score™ of 87/100 and a GF Value™ of CHF449.03 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 2,046 Industrial Products companies, VAT Group AG ranks worse than 82.7% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-09-05), VAT Group AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is CHF103.94. The stock price of VAT Group AG is CHF612.60. Therefore, VAT Group AG's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 5.9.

The historical rank and industry rank for VAT Group AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

XSWX:VACN' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.65   Med: 3.71   Max: 6.63
Current: 5.89

During the past 11 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of VAT Group AG was 6.63. The lowest was 2.65. And the median was 3.71.

XSWX:VACN's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
82.7% of 2046 companies
in the Industrial Products industry
Industry Median: 1.72 vs XSWX:VACN: 5.89

VAT Group AG  (XSWX:VACN) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

VAT Group AG's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=612.60/103.94138951054
=5.89

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


VAT Group AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


VAT Group AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for VAT Group AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

VAT Group AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

VAT Group AG Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 68.50 95.46 90.37 94.58 103.94

VAT Group AG Semi-Annual Data
Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25 Jun26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 94.58 0.00 103.94 0.00

XSWX:VACN vs GEV, ETN, PH: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Specialty Industrial Machinery subindustry, VAT Group AG's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


VAT Group AG Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, VAT Group AG's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where VAT Group AG's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


XSWX:VACN
87GF Score
VAT Group AG XSWX:VACN
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

VAT Group AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get VAT Group AG's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = CHF187.72.

VAT Group AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec25)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(13.228282734574*187.718+793.169*0.8)/29.995
=103.94

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of CHF103.94 mean?
VAT Group AG (XSWX:VACN) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of CHF103.94 as of Sep. 05, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on VAT Group AG and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, VAT Group AG ranks #1692 out of 2046 companies in the Industrial Products industry, placing it in the top 82.7%.
Is VAT Group AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
VAT Group AG's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is CHF103.94. Based on the distribution chart, VAT Group AG ranks #1692 out of 2046 companies in the Industrial Products industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, VAT Group AG has a GF Score™ of 87/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does VAT Group AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to GEV and ETN?
According to the Industrial Products industry distribution chart, VAT Group AG ranks #1692 out of 2046 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places VAT Group AG in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.72. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for an Industrial Products company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Industrial Products companies is 1.72, based on 2,046 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on VAT Group AG and its competitors. For the Industrial Products industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.72 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. VAT Group AG's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is CHF103.94. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is VAT Group AG stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, VAT Group AG (XSWX:VACN) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is CHF449.03, compared to a current price of CHF612.60 — trading 36.4% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is CHF103.94. VAT Group AG's overall GF Score™ is 87/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For VAT Group AG (XSWX:VACN), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is CHF103.94 as of Sep. 05, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is VAT Group AG (XSWX:VACN) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, VAT Group AG stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of CHF612.60 is trading 36.4% above its estimated GF Value™ of CHF449.03. GuruFocus considers VAT Group AG to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for XSWX:VACN:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: CHF103.94
  • GF Value™: CHF449.03 vs. price of CHF612.60 (36.4% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 87/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the XSWX:VACN stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


VAT Group AG Business Description

Address Rutistrasse 4, Haag, CHE, CH-9469
VAT Group AG is a developer and manufacturer of vacuum valves and related solutions used in vacuum environments required for the manufacturing of semiconductors, photovoltaic solar cells, digital displays, and other industrial and research applications. Its products are mission-critical components that enable high-precision processes in near-perfect vacuum environments. It operates through two segments: valves, which earn maximum revenue and focus on the design and manufacture of vacuum valves and related components, and service, which provides spare parts, repairs, upgrades, and support services for installed products. The company maintains a production footprint across multiple locations and serves customers internationally, earning a majority of its revenue from China.
87GF Score

Get the complete analysis for XSWX:VACN

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

CHF612.60
Price
CHF449.03
GF Value