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Yancoal AustraliaYACAF -2.04%64 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $14.06 as of Sep. 17, 2026. GuruFocus rates YACAF with a GF Score™ of 64/100 and a GF Value™ of $3.70 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 109 Other Energy Sources companies, Yancoal Australia ranks better than 84.4% on this metric.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
As of today (2026-09-17), Yancoal Australia's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $14.06. The stock price of Yancoal Australia is $4.435. Therefore, Yancoal Australia's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.3.
The historical rank and industry rank for Yancoal Australia's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:
YACAF'
s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.25 Med: 0.39 Max: 1.49
Current: 0.32
During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Yancoal Australia was 1.49. The lowest was 0.25. And the median was 0.39.
YACAF's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than 84.4% of 109
companies
in the Other Energy Sources industry
Industry Median: 0.75
vs YACAF: 0.32
Yancoal Australia (OTCPK:YACAF) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation
The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.
Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.
Yancoal Australia's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as
Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF
=
Share Price
/
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=
4.435
/
12.940117188729
=
0.34
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Yancoal Australia Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms
Yancoal Australia Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Yancoal Australia's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Yancoal Australia Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart
Yancoal Australia Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Competitor Comparison
For the Thermal Coal subindustry, Yancoal Australia's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Yancoal Australia Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Other Energy Sources Industry
For the Other Energy Sources industry and Energy sector, Yancoal Australia's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Yancoal Australia's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.
Yancoal Australia Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.
The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $14.06 mean?
Yancoal Australia (YACAF) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $14.06 as of Sep. 17, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Yancoal Australia and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Yancoal Australia ranks #17 out of 109 companies in the Other Energy Sources industry, placing it in the top 15.6%.
Is Yancoal Australia's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Yancoal Australia's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $14.06. The Other Energy Sources industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.75. Yancoal Australia's value of $14.06 is 1774.7% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Yancoal Australia ranks #17 out of 109 companies in the Other Energy Sources industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Yancoal Australia has a GF Score™ of 64/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Yancoal Australia's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to competitors?
According to the Other Energy Sources industry distribution chart, Yancoal Australia ranks #17 out of 109 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places Yancoal Australia in the top 16% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.75. Yancoal Australia's value of $14.06 is 1774.7% above this benchmark. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for an Other Energy Sources company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Other Energy Sources companies is 0.75, based on 109 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Yancoal Australia's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $14.06 is 1774.7% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Yancoal Australia and its competitors. For the Other Energy Sources industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.75 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Yancoal Australia's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $14.06. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Yancoal Australia stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Yancoal Australia (YACAF) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $3.70, compared to a current price of $4.44 — trading 19.9% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $14.06 and 1774.7% above the Other Energy Sources industry median of 0.75. Yancoal Australia's overall GF Score™ is 64/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Yancoal Australia (YACAF), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $14.06 as of Sep. 17, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Yancoal Australia (YACAF) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Yancoal Australia stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of $4.44 is trading 19.9% above its estimated GF Value™ of $3.70.
GuruFocus considers Yancoal Australia to be Modestly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for YACAF:
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $14.06
GF Value™: $3.70 vs. price of $4.44 (19.9% above fair value)
Industry Position: 1774.7% above the Other Energy Sources median (#17 of 109)
No single metric tells the full story. See the YACAF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Yancoal Australia Ltd is involved in identifying, developing, and operating coal-related projects in Australia. It has a diversified product mix of metallurgical and thermal coal mines in New South Wales and Queensland. The company generates maximum revenue from the New South Wales segment. It operates coal mines in the Hunter Valley, Moolarben, Mount Thorley Warkworth, Ashton and Stratford Duralie, Yarrabee and Middlemoun. The company's geographical markets include Japan, Singapore, China, South Korea, Taiwan, Vietnam, Thailand, and other countries.
64GF Score
Get the complete analysis for YACAF
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
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