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Viasat Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)

: $6.89 (As of Today)
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As of today (2021-10-16), Viasat's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model is $6.89.

Note: Discounted Earnings model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Viasat's Predictability Rank is 2.5-Stars.

Margin of Safety (Earnings Based) using Discounted Earnings model for Viasat is -700.73%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Viasat's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) or its related term are showing as below:

NAS:VSAT' s Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Earnings Based) Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 4.37   Med: 9.83   Max: 87.4
Current: 8.01

4.37
87.4

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Earnings Based) Ratio of Viasat was 87.40. The lowest was 4.37. And the median was 9.83.

NAS:VSAT's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Earnings Based) is ranked lower than
99.99% of the 18 Companies
in the Hardware industry.

( Industry Median: 1.49 vs. NAS:VSAT: 8.01 )

Viasat Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Viasat's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Viasat Annual Data
Trend Mar12 Mar13 Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 6.10 -15.72 - - 0.55

Viasat Quarterly Data
Sep16 Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - 0.55 6.89

Viasat Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except earnings are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 8%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. We used the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer, then added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
Growth Rate in the growth stage = average earnings growth rate in the past 10 years. If it is higher than 20%, we use 20%. If it is less than 5%, we use 5% instead. => For companies with Average Earnings Growth Rate in the past 10 years less than 5%, GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. EPS without NRI: eps without nri = $0.467.
GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the Earnings Per Share without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Viasat's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=Earnings per Share (Diluted)*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.08) = 0.97222222222222
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.08) = 0.96296296296296

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=Earnings per Share (Diluted)*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Earnings per Share (Diluted)*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=0.467*14.7595
=6.89

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
=(6.89-55.17)/6.89
=-700.73 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Viasat  (NAS:VSAT) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book Value per Share, Graham Number, Median Ratio etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Earnings model:

1. The Discounted Earnings model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that are relatively consistent performers.
4. The Discounted Earnings model works poorly for inconsistent performers like cyclicals.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Viasat Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Viasat's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Viasat Business Description

Viasat logo
Industry
Technology » Hardware NAICS : 334220 SIC : 3663
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
6155 El Camino Real, Carlsbad, CA, USA, 92009
Viasat Inc provides bandwidth technologies and services in three segments: satellite services, which provides satellite-based high-speed broadband services to consumers, enterprises, and commercial airlines; commercial networks, which develops end-to-end communication and connectivity systems; and government systems, which produces network-centric Internet Protocol-based secure government communication systems. A large majority of the firm's revenue is generated in the United States, with the rest coming from the Americas, Europe, Middle East, Africa, and Asia-Pacific.
Executives
Stenbit John P director PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: STENBIT JOHN P a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}
Wise Theresa director 400 FAIRVIEW AVENUE NORTH SUITE 1200 SEATTLE WA 98109
Johnson Robert W director 2280 UNIVERSITY DRIVE NEWPORT BEACH CA 92660
Rao Varsha Rajendra director 6155 EL CAMINO REAL CARLSBAD CA 92009
Pak Sean director 6155 EL CAMINO REAL CARLSBAD CA 92009
Klarman Seth A 10 percent owner 10 ST JAMES AVENUE STE 1700 BOSTON MA 02116
Baupost Group Llc/ma 10 percent owner 10 ST JAMES AVE SUITE 1700 BOSTON MA 02116
Baupost Group Gp, L.l.c. 10 percent owner 10 ST. JAMES AVENUE SUITE 1700 BOSTON MA 02116
Peck Bobby Ray Jr 10 percent owner 199 FREMONT ST SUITE 2500 SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
Raab Andrew John 10 percent owner 199 FREMONT ST SUITE 2500 SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
Fpr Partners Llc 10 percent owner 199 FREMONT STREET SUITE 2500 SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
White Harvey director PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: WHITE HARVEY a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}
Ryan David Louis officer: President Commercial Networks 6155 EL CAMINO REAL CARLSBAD CA 92009
Dodd James Michael officer: President, Global Mobile 6155 EL CAMINO REAL CARLSBAD CA 92009
Lippert Keven K officer: Executive Vice President 6155 EL CAMINO REAL CARLSBAD CA 92009

Viasat Headlines

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