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Accenture (NYSE:ACN) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

: $330.03 (As of Today)
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As of today (2024-02-21), Accenture's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $330.03.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Accenture's Predictability Rank is 4.5-Stars.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for Accenture is -9.36%.

The industry rank for Accenture's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

ACN's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is ranked worse than
54.18% of 275 companies
in the Software industry
Industry Median: 1.02 vs ACN: 1.09

Accenture Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Accenture's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Accenture Annual Data
Trend Aug14 Aug15 Aug16 Aug17 Aug18 Aug19 Aug20 Aug21 Aug22 Aug23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 225.45 325.96 389.90 354.61 361.11

Accenture Quarterly Data
Feb19 May19 Aug19 Nov19 Feb20 May20 Aug20 Nov20 Feb21 May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 324.14 333.37 343.94 361.11 330.03

Competitive Comparison

For the Information Technology Services subindustry, Accenture's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Accenture Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) Distribution

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Accenture's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Accenture's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.



Accenture Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 10%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 3.01%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 14.30%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Accenture's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 10 years was 14.30%, which is between 5% and 20%. => GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 14.30%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $14.139.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Accenture's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.143)/(1+0.1) = 1.0390909090909
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.1) = 0.94545454545455

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Free Cash Flow per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=14.139*23.3419
=330.03

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(330.03-360.91)/330.03
=-9.36 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Accenture  (NYSE:ACN) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Accenture Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Accenture's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Accenture (NYSE:ACN) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » Accenture PLC (NYSE:ACN) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
Address
1 Grand Canal Square, Grand Canal Harbour, Dublin, IRL, 2
Accenture is a leading global IT-services firm that provides consulting, strategy, and technology and operational services. These services run the gamut from aiding enterprises with digital transformation to procurement services to software system integration. The company provides its IT offerings to a variety of sectors, including communications, media and technology, financial services, health and public services, consumer products, and resources. Accenture employs just under 500,000 people throughout 200 cities in 51 countries.
Executives
Julie Spellman Sweet officer: General Counsel, Sec & CCO C/O ACCENTURE, 161 N. CLARK STREET, CHICAGO IL 60601
Manish Sharma officer: Chief Operating Officer 161 NORTH CLARK, CHICAGO IL 60601
Jean-marc Ollagnier officer: Group Chief Exec-Resources C/O ACCENTURE, 161 N. CLARK STREET, CHICAGO IL 60601
Jaime Ardila director 300 RENAISSANCE CENTER, M/C: 482-C25-A36, DETROIT MI 48265-3000
Paula A Price director ONE CVS DRIVE, WOONSOCKET RI 02895
Joel Unruch officer: General Counsel, Sec & CCO C/O ACCENTURE, 161 N. CLARK STREET, CHICAGO IL 60601
John F Walsh officer: Grp Chief Exec-Com, Med & Tech C/O ACCENTURE, 161 N. CLARK STREET, CHICAGO IL 60601
Ellyn Shook officer: Chief Human Resources Officer C/O ACCENTURE, 161 N. CLARK STREET, CHICAGO IL 60601
Leonardo Framil officer: CEO-Growth Markets 500 W. MADISON STREET, CHICAGO IL 60661
Melissa A Burgum officer: Chief Accounting Officer C/O SRA INTERNATIONAL, INC., 4300 FAIR LAKES COURT, FAIRFAX VA 22033
Alan C. Jope director 500 W. MADISON STREET, CHICAGO IL 60661
James O Etheredge officer: Group Chief Exec-North America C/O ACCENTURE, 161 N. CLARK STREET, CHICAGO IL 60601
Gianfranco Casati officer: Group Chief Executive?Products C/O ACCENTURE, 161 N. CLARK STREET, CHCIAGO IL 60601
Kathleen R Mcclure officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O ACCENTURE, 161 N. CLARK STREET, CHICAGO IL 60601
Richard P Clark officer: Chief Accounting Officer C/O ACCENTURE, 161 N. CLARK STREET, CHICAGO IL 60601