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eMagin Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

: $-4.40 (As of Today)
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As of today (2022-05-19), eMagin's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $-4.40.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

eMagin's Predictability Rank is 1-Star. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for eMagin is N/A.

The industry rank for eMagin's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:


eMagin Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for eMagin's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

eMagin Annual Data
Trend Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

eMagin Quarterly Data
Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

eMagin Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 9%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. We used the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer, then added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
Growth Rate in the growth stage = average free cash flow growth rate in the past 10 years. If it is higher than 20%, we use 20%. If it is less than 5%, we use 5% instead. => For companies with Average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 10 years less than 5%, GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $-0.325.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

eMagin's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.09) = 0.96330275229358
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.09) = 0.95412844036697

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Free Cash Flow per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=-0.325*13.5514
=-4.40

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(-4.4-0.73)/-4.4
=N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


eMagin  (AMEX:EMAN) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


eMagin Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of eMagin's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


eMagin Business Description

eMagin logo
Industry
Technology » Hardware NAICS : 334419 SIC : 3679
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
700 South Drive, Suite 201, Hopewell Junction, NY, USA, 12533
eMagin Corp designs, develop, manufactures, and markets organic light-emitting diode, or OLED miniature displays, OLED-on-silicon microdisplays, virtual imaging products that utilize OLED micro displays, and related products. The company's OLED displays are used in a variety of products, including military aviation helmets, military weapons sights & targeting systems, night vision & thermal imaging devices, training & simulation, visualization for ocular surgery, mobile ultrasound, and augmented reality applications. Its geographical segments are North & South America; Europe, Middle East, & Africa; and the Asia Pacific.
Executives
Cronson Paul C director C/O LARKSPUR CORP 445 PARK AVE NEW YORK NY 10022
Wittels Jill director 3006 NORTHUP WAY #103 BELLEVUE WA 98004
Richstone Ellen B director C/O SONUS NETWORKS, INC. 7 TECHNOLOGY PARK DRIVE WESTFORD MA 01886
Seay Stephen director 10500 N.E. 8TH STREET, SUITE 1400 BELLEVUE WA 98004
Sculley Andrew George Jr officer: President/CEO 260 BRIAR DRIVE MARTINEZ CA 94553
Braddom Eric director C/O EMAGIN CORPORATION 2070 ROUTE 52 BLDG 334 HOPEWELL JUNCTION NY 12533
Koch Mark A officer: CFO C/O DEL GLOBAL TECHNOLOGIES CORP. ONE COMMERCE PARK VALHALLA NY 10595
Awm Investment Company, Inc. 10 percent owner 527 MADISON AVENUE SUITE 2600 NEW YORK NY 10022
Brody Christopher Scott director STILLWATER LLC 655 MADISON AVE NEW YORK NY 10065
Costello Stephen officer: S V P Strategic Partnerships C/O EMAGIN CORPORATION 2070 ROUTE 52 BUILDING 334 HOPEWELL JUNCTION NY 12533
Polgar Leslie G director 3006 NORTHUP WAY SUITE 103 BELLEVUE WA 98004
Saltarelli Joseph other: Sr. VP of Manufacturing C/O EMAGIN CORPORATION 2070 ROUTE 52 BLDG 334 HOPEWELL JUNCTION NY 12533
Lucas Jeffrey P officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O EMAGIN CORP. 2070 ROUTE 52 HOPEWELL JUNCTION NY 12533
Ghosh Amalkumar officer: Sr. VP, R&D 2070 ROUTE 52 HOPEWELL JUNCTION NY 12533
Olivier Prache officer: Sr. VP Product Development 213 MANVILLE ROAD PLEASANTVILLE NY 10570

eMagin Headlines

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