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Gamida Cell (Gamida Cell) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) : $-24.59 (As of Apr. 29, 2024)


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What is Gamida Cell Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

As of today (2024-04-29), Gamida Cell's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $-24.59.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Gamida Cell's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for Gamida Cell is N/A.

The industry rank for Gamida Cell's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

GMDAQ's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is not ranked *
in the Biotechnology industry.
Industry Median: 1.55
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) only.

Gamida Cell Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Gamida Cell's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Gamida Cell Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

Gamida Cell Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
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Gamida Cell Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
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Competitive Comparison of Gamida Cell's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Gamida Cell's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Gamida Cell's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Gamida Cell's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Gamida Cell's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.



Gamida Cell Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.62%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 20%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Gamida Cell's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 5 years was 25.80%, which is no less than 20%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 20%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $-0.787.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Gamida Cell's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.2)/(1+0.11) = 1.0810810810811
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Free Cash Flow per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=-0.787*31.2501
=-24.59

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(-24.59-0.0184)/-24.59
=N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Gamida Cell  (OTCPK:GMDAQ) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Gamida Cell Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

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Gamida Cell (Gamida Cell) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
116 Huntington Avenue, 7th Floor, Boston, MA, USA, 02116
Gamida Cell Ltd is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company that is pioneering a diverse immunotherapy pipeline of potentially curative cell therapy candidates for patients with solid tumors and blood cancers and other serious blood diseases. The company applies a proprietary expansion platform leveraging the properties of nicotinamide, or NAM, to allogeneic cell sources including umbilical cord blood-derived cells and natural killer, or NK, cells to create cell therapy candidates with the potential to redefine standards of care. Its primary product candidate is Omidubicel, an advanced cell therapy candidate for allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplant and GDA-201 is the company's lead investigational NK cell-based cancer immunotherapy product candidate.
Executives
Jeremy Blank director 6446 DREXEL AVENUE, LOS ANGELES CA 90048
Mary Theresa Coelho officer: Chief Financial Officer 52 SUNRISE PARK ROAD, NEW HAMPTON NY 43017
Ronit Simantov officer: CMO & Chief Scientific Officer 1988 CHAPEL STREET, NEW HAVEN CT 06515
Abigail L. Jenkins director, officer: President and CEO C/O GAMIDA CELL LTD., 116 HUNTINGTON AVENUE, BOSTON MA 02116
Stephen T Wills director PALATIN TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 4B CEDAR BROOK DRIVE, CRANBURY NJ 08512
Ivan M. Borrello director C/O GAMIDA CELL LTD., 5 NAHUM HEFTSADIE STREET, GIVAAT SHAUL, JERUSALEM L3 91340
Anat Cohen-dayag director C/O GAMIDA CELL LTD., 5 NAHUM HEFTSADIE STREET, GIVAAT SHAUL, JERUSALEM L3 91340
Naama Halevi-davidov director C/O KALTURA, INC., 250 PARK AVENUE SOUTH, 10TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10003
Joshua F. Patterson officer: General Counsel C/O AKCEA THERAPEUTICS, INC., 22 BOSTON WHARF ROAD, 9TH FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02210
Bio Medical Investment (1997) Ltd. other: Affiliate of 10% Owner 3 AZRIELI CENTER TRIANGLE, TOWER,, 45TH FLOOR, 132 MENACHEM BEGIN ST., TEL AVIV L3 6702301
Shai Lankry officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O GAMIDA CELL LTD., 5 NAHUM HEFTSADIE STREET, GIVAAT SHAUL, JERUSALEM L3 91340
Ai Gamida Holdings Llc other: Affiliate of 10% Owner 40 WEST 57TH STREET, 28TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Ofer Gonen director 1/3 HIGH-TECH VILLAGE, GIVAT RAM, P.O. BOX 39264, JERUSALEM L3 9139102
Clal Biotechnology Industries Ltd. other: Affiliate of 10% Owner 3AZRIELI CENTER TRIANGLE TOWER 45 FLOOR, TEL AVIV L3 67023
Len Blavatnik 10 percent owner C/O ACCESS INDUSTRIES, 730 FIFTH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10019

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