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As of today (2024-04-27), Paratek Pharmaceuticals's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $-11.48.
Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.
Paratek Pharmaceuticals's Predictability Rank is 1-Star. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.
Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for Paratek Pharmaceuticals is N/A.
The industry rank for Paratek Pharmaceuticals's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:
The historical data trend for Paratek Pharmaceuticals's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Paratek Pharmaceuticals Annual Data | |||||||||||||||||||||
Trend | Dec13 | Dec14 | Dec15 | Dec16 | Dec17 | Dec18 | Dec19 | Dec20 | Dec21 | Dec22 | |||||||||||
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) | Get a 7-Day Free Trial | - | - | - | - | - |
Paratek Pharmaceuticals Quarterly Data | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sep18 | Dec18 | Mar19 | Jun19 | Sep19 | Dec19 | Mar20 | Jun20 | Sep20 | Dec20 | Mar21 | Jun21 | Sep21 | Dec21 | Mar22 | Jun22 | Sep22 | Dec22 | Mar23 | Jun23 | |
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) | Get a 7-Day Free Trial | - | - | - | - | - |
For the Biotechnology subindustry, Paratek Pharmaceuticals's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Paratek Pharmaceuticals's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Paratek Pharmaceuticals's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.
This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.
Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.
GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:
1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.66%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.
2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 17.90%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=>
Paratek Pharmaceuticals's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past
10 years was 17.90%,
which is between 5% and 20%. => GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 17.90%
3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10
4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%
5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10
6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $-0.423.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.
All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.
Paratek Pharmaceuticals's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) | = | Free Cash Flow per Share | * | {[(1+g1)/(1+d) | + | (1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2 | + | ... | + | (1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10] |
+ | (1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10 | * | [(1+g2)/(1+d) | + | (1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2 | + | ... | + | (1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]} |
set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.179)/(1+0.11) = 1.0621621621622
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) | = | Free Cash Flow per Share | * | {[x | + | x^2 | + | ... | + | x^10] | + | x^10 | * | [y | + | y^2 | + | ... | + | y^10]} |
= | Free Cash Flow per Share | * | [x | * | (1-x^10) | / | (1-x) | + | x^10 | * | y | * | (1-y^10) | / | (1-y)] | |||||
= | -0.423 | * | 27.1415 | |||||||||||||||||
= | -11.48 |
Margin of Safety (FCF Based) | = | (Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) | - | Current Price) | / | Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) |
= | (-11.48 | - | 2.23) | / | -11.48 | |
= | N/A |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Paratek Pharmaceuticals (NAS:PRTK) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation
Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.
Be Aware
What you need to know about the DCF model:
1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings powerYou can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Paratek Pharmaceuticals's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
Minnie Baylor-henry | director | C/O SCPHARMACUETICALS, INC., 2400 DISTRICT AVENUE SUITE 310, BURLINGTON MA 01803 |
Kristine Peterson | director | AMARIN CORPORATION, MYSTIC PACKER BLDG., 12 ROOSEVELT AVENUE, MYSTIC CT 06355 |
Timothy R Franson | director | 320 WAKARA WAY, SALT LAKE CITY UT 84108 |
Jeffrey Stein | director | 6310 NANCY RIDGE DRIVE, SUITE 101, SAN DIEGO CA 92121 |
Thomas John Dietz | director | C/O TRANSCEPT PHARMACEUTICAL, INC., 1003 W. CUTTING BLVD, STE 110, PT. RICHMOND CA 94804 |
Evan Loh | director, officer: CEO | 75 KNEELAND STREET, BOSTON MA 02111 |
William M. Haskel | officer: CLO, General Counsel & Sec. | ONE MEADOWLANDS PLAZA, EAST RUTHERFORD NJ 07073 |
Adam Woodrow | officer: President & Chief Commercial | C/O PARATEK PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 75 KNEELAND STREET, BOSTON MA 02111 |
Randall B. Brenner | officer: Chief Development & Regulatory | C/O PARATEK PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 75 PARK PLAZA, 4TH FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02116 |
Robert S Radie | director | 101 LINDENWOOD DRIVE, SUITE 225, MALVERN PA 19355 |
Rolf K Hoffmann | director | LORBEERWEG 7, WEGGIS V8 CH-6353 |
Michael Bigham | director, officer: Exec. Chairman of the Board | 890 WINTER STREET, WALTHAM MA 02451 |
James D Dondero | 10 percent owner | 300 CRESCENT COURT, SUITE 700, DALLAS TX 75201 |
Douglas W. Pagan | officer: Chief Financial Officer | 75 KNEELAND STREET, BOSTON MA 02111 |
Omega Fund Iv, L.p. | 10 percent owner | 888 BOYLSTON ST., SUITE 1111, BOSTON MA 02199 |
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