SVB Financial Group (SVB Financial Group) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) : $513.91 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)

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What is SVB Financial Group Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

As of today (2024-04-27), SVB Financial Group's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $513.91.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

SVB Financial Group's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for SVB Financial Group is 99.99%.

The industry rank for SVB Financial Group's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

SIVBQ's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is not ranked ^*
in the Banks industry.
Industry Median: 0.44
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) only.

SVB Financial Group Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for SVB Financial Group's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

SVB Financial Group Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

SVB Financial Group Annual Data

Trend

Dec13

Dec14

Dec15

Dec16

Dec17

Dec18

Dec19

Dec20

Dec21

Dec22

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

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561.81

884.91

1,191.87

1,288.09

1,532.30

SVB Financial Group Quarterly Data
	Mar18	Jun18	Sep18	Dec18	Mar19	Jun19	Sep19	Dec19	Mar20	Jun20	Sep20	Dec20	Mar21	Jun21	Sep21	Dec21	Mar22	Jun22	Sep22	Dec22
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)	Get a 7-Day Free Trial															1,288.09	1,227.69	1,566.24	1,382.55	1,532.30

Competitive Comparison of SVB Financial Group's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, SVB Financial Group's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

SVB Financial Group's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) Distribution in the Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, SVB Financial Group's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where SVB Financial Group's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.

SVB Financial Group Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.66%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> SVB Financial Group's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 0.00%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $44.531.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

SVB Financial Group's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)	=	Free Cash Flow per Share	*	{[(1+g1)/(1+d)	+	(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10	*	[(1+g2)/(1+d)	+	(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

Free Cash Flow per Share

{[x

x^2

...

x^10]

x^10

y^2

...

y^10]}

Free Cash Flow per Share

(1-x^10)

(1-x)

x^10

(1-y^10)

(1-y)]

44.531

11.5406

513.91

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)	=	(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)	-	Current Price)	/	Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
	=	(513.91	-	0.05)	/	513.91
	=	99.99 %

SVB Financial Group (OTCPK:SIVBQ) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.

Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.

SVB Financial Group Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

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SVB Financial Group (SVB Financial Group) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Banks » SVB Financial Group (OTCPK:SIVBQ) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

SIVPQ.PFD:USA

Address

3003 Tasman Drive, Santa Clara, CA, USA, 95054-1191

Website

https://www.svb.com

SVB Financial Group provides loans and ancillary financial services to startups, private equity, and venture capital firms. The bank has four segments: Silicon Valley Bank, SVB Private, SVB Capital, and SVB Securities. In addition to providing loans to venture-capital-backed startups, the company invests in private equity and venture capital funds of funds. The bank operates throughout the United States and maintains offices in Canada, the United Kingdom, Israel, China, India, Germany, Denmark, and Ireland.

Executives

C. Allen Parker	director	420 MONTGOMERY STREET, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94104
Steven G Panagos	director	C/O SPIRIT MTA REIT, 2727 NORTH HARWOOD STREET, SUITE 300, DALLAS TX 75201
Richard Devon Daniels	director	3005 TASMAN DRIVE, SANTA CLARA CA 95054
Nicholas Grossi	officer: Interim CFO	2770 SAND HILL ROAD, MENLO PARK CA 94025
William C Kosturos	officer: Chief Restructuring Officer	C/O WASHINGTON MUTUAL, INC., 1301 SECOND AVENUE, SEATTLE WA 98101
Gregory W Becker	officer: President and CEO	3003 TASMAN DRIVE, SANTA CLARA CA 95054
Daniel J Beck	officer: Chief Financial Officer	3005 TASMAN DRIVE, SANTA CLARA CA 95054
Michelle Draper	officer: Chief Marketing Officer	177 WESTLAWN AVE, DALY CITY CA 94015
Beverly Kay Matthews	director	C/O COHERENT, INC., 5100 PATRICK HENRY DRIVE, SANTA CLARA CA 95054
Kim Petra Olson	officer: Chief Risk Officer	3003 TASMAN DRIVE, SANTA CLARA CA 95054
Laura Cushing	officer: Chief Human Resources Officer	3003 TASMAN DRIVE, SANTA CLARA CA 95054
Thomas C. King	director	C/O CLEAR CHANNEL OUTDOOR HOLDINGS, INC., 4830 NORTH LOOP 1604W, SUITE 111, SAN ANTONIO TX 78249
Garen K Staglin	director	C/O EXLSERVICE HOLDINGS, INC., 320 PARK AVENUE 29TH FL, NEW YORK NY 10022
Michael Descheneaux	officer: Chief Financial Officer	3003 TASMAN DRIVE, SANTA CLARA CA 95054
Philip C Cox	officer: Head EMEA India & President,UK	ORCHARD HOUSE 40 BARRINGTON ROAD, FOXTON CAMBRIDGE, LONDON X0 CB22 6SL