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Change Healthcare Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

: $0.00 (As of Today)
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As of today (2022-09-24), Change Healthcare's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $0.00.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history with more than 5 years. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, the data will not be stored into our database.

Change Healthcare's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for Change Healthcare is N/A.

The historical rank and industry rank for Change Healthcare's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:


Change Healthcare Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Change Healthcare's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Change Healthcare Annual Data
Trend Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
Premium Member Only - - - - -

Change Healthcare Quarterly Data
Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison

For the Health Information Services subindustry, Change Healthcare's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Change Healthcare Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution

For the Healthcare Providers & Services industry and Healthcare sector, Change Healthcare's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Change Healthcare's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.



Change Healthcare Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. H-Model formula is applied here, in which dividends are used in the calculation with two stage of dividend growth. The calculation for H-Model DDM valuation shows as below.

The H-model formula consists of two parts. The first component of the equation adds the value from the high growth rate period, which is called growth stage. The second component of the formula considers the value of the stock based on the long-term growth rate, which is called the terminal stage. It ignores the high growth rate period. In the growth stage, the dividends of company grows at a faster rate. As it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 10%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. We used the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer, then added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
Growth Rate in the growth stage = average dividend growth rate in the past 5 years. If it is higher than 20%, we use 20%. If it is less than 5%, we use 5% instead. => Average Dividend Growth Rate in the past 5 years was 0.00% which is lower than 5%, GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: dividends per share = $0.000.
GuruFocus DCF calculator applies H-Model to the calculation here, using dividends per share TTM as the default.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

Change Healthcare's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) = Dividends per Share *( g1 - g2 ) / ( d - g2 ) * y1 / 2
+ Dividends per Share * ( 1 + g2 ) / ( d - g2 )
= 0.000 * (0.05 - 0.04) / (0.1 - 0.04) * 10 / 2
+ 0.000 * ( 1 + 0.04) / (0.1 - 0.04)
= 0.00

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)-Current Price) /Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
= (0 - 27.32) / 0
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Change Healthcare  (NAS:CHNG) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 5 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Change Healthcare Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Change Healthcare's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Change Healthcare Business Description

Change Healthcare logo
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
424 Church Street, Suite 1400, Nashville, TN, USA, 37219
Change Healthcare is a spin-off of various healthcare processing and consulting services acquired by McKesson over numerous years. Recently, these processing assets were contributed to a joint venture and in June 2019 public shares were issued with McKesson retaining the majority interest. As of the end of the March 2020 quarter, McKesson distributed all its interest in the public processor. Core services consist of insurance (healthcare) claim clearinghouse for healthcare payers in addition to administrative and consulting services to assist healthcare providers improve reimbursement coding, billing, and collections.
Executives
Byers Tracy officer: SVP and GM, Enterprise Imaging C/O CHANGE HEALTHCARE INC. 424 CHURCH STREET, SUITE 1400 NASHVILLE TN 37219
Domenici Nella director C/O ALLIANCEBERNSTEIN 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS NEW YORK NY 10105
Martin Steven B. officer: EVP, Enterprise Technology 3055 LEBANON PIKE SUITE 1000 NASHVILLE TN 37214
Mckenzie Diana director METLIFE 200 PARK AVENUE NEW YORK NY 10166
Blackstone Family Investment Partnership Vi L.p. 10 percent owner C/O THE BLACKSTONE GROUP 345 PARK AVENUE NEW YORK NY 10154
O'reilly Roderick H. officer: See Remarks C/O CHANGE HEALTHCARE INC. 3055 LEBANON PIKE, SUITE 1000 NASHVILLE TN 37214
Bcp Vi Side-by-side Gp L.l.c. 10 percent owner C/O THE BLACKSTONE GROUP 345 PARK AVENUE NEW YORK NY 10154
Mcenery Thomas officer: EVP & Chief Marketing Officer
Simpkins Neil P director C/O BLACKSTONE GROUP 345 PARK AVENUE NEW YORK NY 10154
Whitley-taylor Linda officer: EVP & Chief People Officer AMERIGROUP CORPORATION 4425 CORPORATION LANE VIRGINIA BEACH VA 23462
Roe Phillip W. director 20 BURTON HILLS BOULEVARD SUITE 100 NASHVILLE TN 37215
Joshi Kriten officer: See Remarks C/O CHANGE HEALTHCARE INC. 3055 LEBANON PIKE, SUITE 1000 NASHVILLE TN 37214
Rareshide Paul officer: SVP, Corporate Controller C/O CHANGE HEALTHCARE INC. 3055 LEBANON PIKE, SUITE 1000 NASHVILLE TN 37214
Laur Thomas officer: See Remarks C/O CHANGE HEALTHCARE INC. 3055 LEBANON PIKE, SUITE 1000 NASHVILLE TN 37214
Calhoun August officer: See Remarks C/O CHANGE HEALTHCARE INC. 3055 LEBANON PIKE, SUITE 1000 NASHVILLE TN 37214

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