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Accel Entertainment (Accel Entertainment) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $5.95 (As of May. 01, 2024)


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What is Accel Entertainment Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-01), Accel Entertainment's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $5.95. The stock price of Accel Entertainment is $10.74. Therefore, Accel Entertainment's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.8.

The historical rank and industry rank for Accel Entertainment's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

ACEL' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.73   Med: 1.73   Max: 1.87
Current: 1.81

During the past 7 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Accel Entertainment was 1.87. The lowest was 1.73. And the median was 1.73.

ACEL's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
64.73% of 567 companies
in the Travel & Leisure industry
Industry Median: 1.24 vs ACEL: 1.81

Accel Entertainment Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Accel Entertainment's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Accel Entertainment Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Accel Entertainment Annual Data
Trend Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial - - - - 5.95

Accel Entertainment Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 5.13 5.31 5.55 5.95

Competitive Comparison of Accel Entertainment's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Gambling subindustry, Accel Entertainment's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Accel Entertainment's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Accel Entertainment's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Accel Entertainment's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Accel Entertainment Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Accel Entertainment's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $37.13.

Accel Entertainment's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*37.12864+198.404*0.8)/86.146
=5.95

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Accel Entertainment  (NYSE:ACEL) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Accel Entertainment's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=10.74/5.9457305862141
=1.81

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Accel Entertainment Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Accel Entertainment (Accel Entertainment) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
140 Tower Drive, Burr Ridge, Chicago, IL, USA, 60527
Accel Entertainment Inc is a distributed gaming operator in the United States. It is engaged in the installation, maintenance, and operation of video gaming terminals. The company offers products to restaurants, bars, taverns, convenience stores, liquor stores, truck stops, and grocery stores. It operates slot machines and amusement equipment. The company generates a majority of its revenue from net gaming. Net gaming revenue represents net cash received from gaming activities, which is the difference between gaming wins and losses. Net gaming revenue includes the amounts earned by location partners and is recognized at the time of gaming play.
Executives
David W. Ruttenberg director 140 TOWER DRIVE, BURR RIDGE IL 60527
Karl Mr. Peterson director, officer: President & CEO 301 COMMERCE STREET, SUITE 3300, FORT WORTH TX 76102
Derek Harmer officer: Secretary 140 TOWER DRIVE, BURR RIDGE IL 60527
Andrew H. Rubenstein director, officer: CEO, President 140 TOWER DRIVE, BURR RIDGE IL 60527
Gordon Rubenstein director 140 TOWER DRIVE, BURR RIDGE IL 60527
Christen Kozlik officer: Chief Accounting Officer 140 TOWER DR., BURR RIDGE IL 60527
Mathew Scot Ellis officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O ACCEL ENTERTAINMENT, INC., 140 TOWER DR., BURR RIDGE IL 60527
Brian M. Carroll officer: Chief Financial Officer 140 TOWER DRIVE, BURR RIDGE IL 60527
Dee M Robinson director 140 TOWER DRIVE, BURR RIDGE IL 60527
Michael Joseph Marino officer: Chief Commerical Officer 140 TOWER DRIVE, BURR RIDGE IL 60527
Ryan Hammer officer: President, Gaming Operations 140 TOWER DRIVE, BURR RIDGE IL 60527
Clairvest Group Inc 10 percent owner 22 ST. CLAIRE AVE., SUITE 1700 M4T 253, TORONTO ONTARIO
Brian Sampias officer: Controller 140 TOWER DRIVE, BURR RIDGE IL 60527
Eden Godsoe director 140 TOWER DRIVE, BURR RIDGE IL 60527
Kenneth Rotman director C/O CLAIRVEST GROUP INC, 22 ST. CLAIR AVENUE EAST, SUITE 1700, TORONTO A6 M4T 2S3