AUD 42.36 as of today(2020-07-11). In depth view into ASX:BKL Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF explanation, calculation, historical data and more" />Blackmores Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF | ASX:BKL - GuruFocus.com
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Blackmores Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: AUD 42.36 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2020-07-11), Blackmores's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is AUD 42.36. The stock price of Blackmores is AUD 74.66. Therefore, Blackmores's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Blackmores was 3.30. The lowest was 1.19. And the median was 2.34.


Blackmores Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their local exchange's currency.

* Premium members only.

Blackmores Annual Data
Jun10 Jun11 Jun12 Jun13 Jun14 Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 31.03 39.80 41.63 46.36 42.36

Blackmores Semi-Annual Data
Jun10 Dec10 Jun11 Dec11 Jun12 Dec12 Jun13 Dec13 Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 46.36 0.00 42.36 0.00

Competitive Comparison
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap.


Blackmores Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Distribution

* The bar in red indicates where Blackmores's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF falls into.



Blackmores Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Blackmores's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = AUD 40.56.

Blackmores's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun19)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(13.973715027901*40.562833333333+207.292*0.8)/17.295
=42.36

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their local exchange's currency.


Blackmores  (ASX:BKL) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Blackmores's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=74.66/42.36178512427
=1.76

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their local exchange's currency.


Blackmores Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


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