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Casey's General Stores (Casey's General Stores) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $162.53 (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


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What is Casey's General Stores Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-26), Casey's General Stores's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $162.53. The stock price of Casey's General Stores is $321.99. Therefore, Casey's General Stores's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 2.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Casey's General Stores's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

CASY' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.66   Med: 3.51   Max: 4.85
Current: 1.98

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Casey's General Stores was 4.85. The lowest was 1.66. And the median was 3.51.

CASY's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
81.86% of 722 companies
in the Retail - Cyclical industry
Industry Median: 0.79 vs CASY: 1.98

Casey's General Stores Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Casey's General Stores's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Casey's General Stores Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Casey's General Stores Annual Data
Trend Apr14 Apr15 Apr16 Apr17 Apr18 Apr19 Apr20 Apr21 Apr22 Apr23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 35.17 43.10 66.69 100.33 137.84

Casey's General Stores Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 131.06 137.84 149.74 160.67 162.53

Competitive Comparison of Casey's General Stores's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Specialty Retail subindustry, Casey's General Stores's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Casey's General Stores's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Casey's General Stores's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Casey's General Stores's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Casey's General Stores Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Casey's General Stores's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $249.64.

Casey's General Stores's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jan24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*249.63536+2947.461*0.8)/37.336
=162.53

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Casey's General Stores  (NAS:CASY) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Casey's General Stores's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=321.99/162.52979991739
=1.98

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Casey's General Stores Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Casey's General Stores (Casey's General Stores) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
One Se Convenience Boulevard, Ankeny, IA, USA, 50021
Casey's General Stores Inc owns and operates over 2,500 convenience stores in multiple Midwestern states of the U.S. The stores provide self-service gasoline, grocery items, and processed foods such as pizza, donuts, and sandwiches. Casey's operates its own distribution centres, delivering its in-store products and fuel supplies. The company owns of its real estate, including nearly all of the stores, distribution centres, and some of its subsidiaries' facilities. More than half of the company's stores are located in areas with populations of fewer than 5,000 people.
Executives
Mike Spanos director PEPSICO, INC., 700 ANDERSON HILL ROAD, PURCHASE NY 10577
Brennan Thomas P Jr officer: SVP, Chief Merch. Officer ONE SE CONVENIENCE BOULEVARD, ANKENY IA 50021
Sri Donthi director 5008 AIRPORT ROAD NW, ROANOKE VA 24021
Katrina S Lindsey officer: Chief Legal Officer & Sec. ONE SE CONVENIENCE BLVD., ANKENY IA 50021
Larree M Renda director
Greg Trojan director ONE ICON, FOOTHILL RANCH CA 92610
Julia L Jackowski officer: SVP, Corp Gen Counsel & HR CASEY'S GENERAL STORES, INC., ONE CONVENIENCE BLVD., PO BOX 3001, ANKENY IA 50021
Diane C Bridgewater director 8161 HEATHER BOW, JOHNSTON IA 50131
Brian Joseph Johnson officer: SVP, Store Development CASEY'S GENERAL STORES, INC., ONE CONVENIENCE BLVD., ANKENY IA 50021
Williams Ena Koschel officer: Chief Operating Officer 15455 DALLAS PARKWAY, SUITE 550, ADDISON TX 75001
Bramlage Stephen P Jr officer: Chief Financial Officer ARAMARK, 1101 MARKET STREET, PHILADELPHIA PA 19107
Adrian M Butler officer: Chief Information Officer 111 NORTH CANAL STREET, SUITE 850, CHICAGO IL 60606
William J Walljasper officer: Senior VP and CFO ONE CONVENIENCE BLVD, PO BOX 3001, ANKENY IA 50021
Chad Michael Frazell officer: SVP, Chief HR Officer TRACTOR SUPPLY COMPANY, 5401 VIRGINIA WAY, BRENTWOOD TN 37027
Allison M. Wing director 1909 HUMBOLDT AVENUE, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55403