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Howmet Aerospace (Howmet Aerospace) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $9.96 (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


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What is Howmet Aerospace Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-28), Howmet Aerospace's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $9.96. The stock price of Howmet Aerospace is $66.40. Therefore, Howmet Aerospace's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 6.7.

The historical rank and industry rank for Howmet Aerospace's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

HWM' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 5.43   Med: 11.25   Max: 17.06
Current: 6.67

During the past 10 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Howmet Aerospace was 17.06. The lowest was 5.43. And the median was 11.25.

HWM's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
87.27% of 165 companies
in the Aerospace & Defense industry
Industry Median: 1.94 vs HWM: 6.67

Howmet Aerospace Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Howmet Aerospace's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Howmet Aerospace Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Howmet Aerospace Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - -1.99 2.31 9.96

Howmet Aerospace Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.31 4.01 6.55 7.43 9.96

Competitive Comparison of Howmet Aerospace's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Aerospace & Defense subindustry, Howmet Aerospace's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Howmet Aerospace's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Aerospace & Defense Industry

For the Aerospace & Defense industry and Industrials sector, Howmet Aerospace's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Howmet Aerospace's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Howmet Aerospace Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Howmet Aerospace's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $92.96.

Howmet Aerospace's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*92.96+4037*0.8)/413.000
=9.96

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Howmet Aerospace  (NYSE:HWM) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Howmet Aerospace's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=66.40/9.962740640099
=6.66

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Howmet Aerospace Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Howmet Aerospace's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Howmet Aerospace (Howmet Aerospace) Business Description

Address
201 Isabella Street, Suite 200, Pittsburgh, PA, USA, 15212-5872
Howmet Aerospace Inc produces products that are majorly used in aerospace, commercial transportation, and industrial and other markets. The company seeks to provide its customers with innovative solutions through offering differentiated products such as airfoils with advanced cooling and coatings for extreme temperature applications, specially designed fasteners for lightweight composite airframe construction, reduced assembly costs, and lightning strike protection and lightweight aluminum commercial wheels. It has four reportable segments namely, Engine Products, Fastening Systems, Engineered Structures and Forged Wheels.
Executives
Gunner Smith director ONE OWENS CORNING PARKWAY, TOLEDO OH 43659
Neil Edward Marchuk officer: Executive Vice President 12025 TECH CENTER DRIVE, LIVONIA MI 48150
Barbara Lou Shultz officer: Vice President and Controller 201 ISABELLA STREET, PITTSBURGH PA 15212
Ken Giacobbe officer: Exec VP and CFO ALCOA INC., 390 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10022-4608
Michael Niem Chanatry officer: Vice President 201 ISABELLA STREET, SUITE 200, PITTSBURGH PA 15212
Lola Felice Lin officer: EVP, CLO and Secretary 201 ISABELLA STREET, SUITE 200, PITTSBURGH PA 15212
Sharon R Barner director 500 JACKSON STREET, COLUMBUS IN 47201
Jody Miller director 225 SOUTH SIXTH STREET, 9TH FLOOR, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55402
Robert F Leduc director UNITED TECHNOLOGIES CORP, 10 FARM SPRINGS ROAD, FARMINGTON CT 06032
Nicole Weyerhaeuser Piasecki director 2000 WELLS FARGO PLACE, 30 EAST 7TH STREET, SAINT PAUL MN 55101-4930
Tolga I Oal director, officer: Co-Chief Executive Officer 201 ISABELLA STREET, PITTSTBURGH PA 15212
Joseph S Cantie director C/O DELPHI AUTOMOTIVE, 5725 DELPHI DRIVE, TROY MI 48098
Katherine H Ramundo officer: EVP, CLO & Secretary C/O APTIV, 5725 INNOVATION DRIVE, TROY MI 48098
Timothy Donald Myers officer: Executive Vice President ALCOA INC., 390 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10022-4608
W Paul Myron officer: Vice President and Controller ALCOA INC., 390 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10022-4608