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SemiLEDs (SemiLEDs) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $-3.22 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is SemiLEDs Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-27), SemiLEDs's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-3.22. The stock price of SemiLEDs is $1.5849. Therefore, SemiLEDs's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for SemiLEDs's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

LEDS's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked *
in the Semiconductors industry.
Industry Median: 2.005
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Projected-FCF only.

SemiLEDs Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for SemiLEDs's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

SemiLEDs Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

SemiLEDs Annual Data
Trend Aug14 Aug15 Aug16 Aug17 Aug18 Aug19 Aug20 Aug21 Aug22 Aug23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -17.20 -7.37 -4.44 -3.73 -3.18

SemiLEDs Quarterly Data
May19 Aug19 Nov19 Feb20 May20 Aug20 Nov20 Feb21 May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.15 -3.24 -3.18 -3.47 -3.22

Competitive Comparison of SemiLEDs's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Semiconductors subindustry, SemiLEDs's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


SemiLEDs's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Semiconductors Industry

For the Semiconductors industry and Technology sector, SemiLEDs's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where SemiLEDs's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



SemiLEDs Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get SemiLEDs's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-1.92.

SemiLEDs's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Feb24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-1.91712+3.044*0.8)/4.905
=-3.22

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


SemiLEDs  (NAS:LEDS) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

SemiLEDs's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=1.5849/-3.2245578902459
=

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


SemiLEDs Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of SemiLEDs's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


SemiLEDs (SemiLEDs) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
3rd Floor, No.11 Ke Jung Road, Chu-Nan Site. Chu-Nan 350, Hsinchu Science Park, Miao-Li County, Miao-Li, TWN, 350
SemiLEDs Corp develops, manufacture, and sells light-emitting diode chips and LED components. The company's products include LED Chips, LED Components, and Lighting Products. Its products are used for general lighting applications, that includes street lights and commercial, industrial, system and residential lighting; specialty industrial applications, such as ultraviolet, or Ultraviolet, curing of polymers, LED light therapy in medical/cosmetic applications, counterfeit detection, LED lighting for horticulture applications, architectural lighting and entertainment lighting. Substantial revenue is generated from the sale of LED components products. Geographically, it derives a majority of its revenue from the United States.
Executives
Hsin-liang Christopher Lee officer: Chief Financial Officer 3F, NO. 11 KE JUNG RD., CHU-NAN SITE, HSINCHU SCIENCE PARK, MIAO LI COUNTY, CHU-HAN F5 F5 350
Scott R. Simplot director, 10 percent owner 999 MAIN STREET, SUITE 1300, BOISE ID 83702
J.r. Simplot Co 10 percent owner 999 MAIN STREET, SUITE 1300, BOISE ID 83702
Semileds Corp officer: CFO 3F, NO. 11 KE JUNG RD., CHU-NAN SITE, HSINCHU SCIENCE PARK, MIAO-LI COUNTY, CHU-NAN F5 350
Roger Lee director C/O SEMILEDS CORPORATION, 3F, NO. 11 KE JUNG RD., CHU-NAN SITE, TAIWAN F5 00000
Well Thrive Ltd 10 percent owner NO. 79, HENG YANG ROAD, TAIPEI F5 100
Sheng-chun Chang 10 percent owner NO. 79, HENG YANG ROAD, TAIPEI F5 100
Peter Chiou director C/O SEMILEDS CORPORATION, 3F, NO. 11 KE JUNG RD., CHU-NAN SITE, MIAO-LI COUNTY CA 350
Walter Michael Gough director C/O SEMILEDS CORPORATION, 3F, NO.11 KE JUNG RD., CHU-NAN SITE, MIAO-LI COUNTY F5 00000
Del Prado Arthur H director 10 JAN VAN EYCKLAAN, BILTHOVEN P7 3723 BC
Anh Chuong Tran director, 10 percent owner, officer: President and COO 3F, NO. 11 KE JUNG RD., CHU-NAN SITE, HSINCHU SCIENCE PARK, MIAO-LI COUNTY, CHU-NAN F5 350
Chen-hao Timothy Lin officer: Chief Financial Officer 3F, NO. 11 KE JUNG RD., CHU-NAN SITE, HSINCHU SCIENCE PARK, MIAO-LI COUNTY, CHU-NAN F5 350
Ilkan Cokgor officer: Exec VP of Sales & Marketing 3F, NO. 11 KE JUNG RD., CHU-NAN SITE, HSINCHU SCIENCE PARK, MIAO-LI COUNTY, CHU-NAN F5 350
Hsieh Edward Kuan Hsiung director 3F, NO. 11 KE JUNG RD., CHU-NAN SITE, HSINCHU SCIENCE PARK, MIAO-LI COUNTI, CHU-NAN F5 350
Yingku (adam) Lin officer: VP Bus. Dev. & General Counsel 3F, NO. 11 KE JUNG RD., CHU-NAN SITE, HSINCHU SCIENCE PARK, MIAO-LI COUNTY, CHU-NAN F5 350