LEDS (SemiLEDs) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $0.05 (As of Jul. 21, 2026) — 100% Below Median

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LEDS SemiLEDs Corp LEDS
59 GF Score
Price $2.75
GF Value $3.87
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 7 Warning Signs
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What is SemiLEDs Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

SemiLEDs LEDS -9.14% 59 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $0.05 as of Jul. 21, 2026, which is 100% below its 10-year median of 45.20. GuruFocus rates LEDS with a GF Score™ of 59/100 and a GF Value™ of $3.87 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review. Among 605 Semiconductors companies, SemiLEDs ranks worse than 97.69% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-07-21), SemiLEDs's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $0.05. The stock price of SemiLEDs is $2.75. Therefore, SemiLEDs's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 55.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for SemiLEDs's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

LEDS' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 45.2   Med: 45.2   Max: 61.1
Current: 55

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of SemiLEDs was 61.10. The lowest was 45.20. And the median was 45.20.

LEDS's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
97.69% of 605 companies
in the Semiconductors industry
Industry Median: 2.79 vs LEDS: 55.00

SemiLEDs  (NAS:LEDS) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

SemiLEDs's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=2.75/0.04926662878965
=55.82

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


SemiLEDs Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


SemiLEDs Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for SemiLEDs's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

SemiLEDs Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

SemiLEDs Annual Data
Trend Aug16 Aug17 Aug18 Aug19 Aug20 Aug21 Aug22 Aug23 Aug24 Aug25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -4.44 -3.73 -3.18 -2.16 -1.03

SemiLEDs Quarterly Data
Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24 May24 Aug24 Nov24 Feb25 May25 Aug25 Nov25 Feb26 May26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.02 -1.03 -0.86 -0.48 0.05

LEDS vs PRSO, PRKR, GUER: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Semiconductors subindustry, SemiLEDs's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


SemiLEDs Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Semiconductors Industry

For the Semiconductors industry and Technology sector, SemiLEDs's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where SemiLEDs's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


LEDS
59GF Score
SemiLEDs Corp LEDS
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

SemiLEDs Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get SemiLEDs's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-0.17.

SemiLEDs's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (May26)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(11.854592825659*-0.17344+3.079*0.8)/8.264
=0.05

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $0.05 mean?
SemiLEDs (LEDS) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $0.05 as of Jul. 21, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on SemiLEDs and its competitors. This is 100% below median its historical median of 45.20. Over the past decade, SemiLEDs' Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 45.20 to 61.10. According to the industry distribution chart, SemiLEDs ranks #591 out of 605 companies in the Semiconductors industry, placing it in the top 97.7%.
Is SemiLEDs' Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
SemiLEDs' current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $0.05 is 100% below median its 10-year median of 45.20. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 45.20 to a high of 61.10. The Semiconductors industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 2.79. SemiLEDs' value of $0.05 is 98.2% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, SemiLEDs ranks #591 out of 605 companies in the Semiconductors industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, SemiLEDs has a GF Score™ of 59/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does SemiLEDs' Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to PRSO and PRKR?
According to the Semiconductors industry distribution chart, SemiLEDs ranks #591 out of 605 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places SemiLEDs in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 2.79. SemiLEDs' value of $0.05 is 98.2% below this benchmark. Historically, SemiLEDs' own Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 45.20 to 61.10 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 45.20 vs. the industry median of 2.79, SemiLEDs has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Semiconductors company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Semiconductors companies is 2.79, based on 605 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. SemiLEDs's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $0.05 is 98.2% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on SemiLEDs and its competitors. For the Semiconductors industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 2.79 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. SemiLEDs's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $0.05, which is 100% below median its own 10-year median of 45.20. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is SemiLEDs stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, SemiLEDs (LEDS) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $3.87, compared to a current price of $2.75 — trading 28.9% below its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $0.05, which is 100% below median its 10-year median of 45.20 and 98.2% below the Semiconductors industry median of 2.79. SemiLEDs' overall GF Score™ is 59/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For SemiLEDs (LEDS), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $0.05 as of Jul. 21, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is SemiLEDs (LEDS) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, SemiLEDs stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $2.75 is trading 28.9% below its estimated GF Value™ of $3.87. GuruFocus considers SemiLEDs to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for LEDS:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $0.05 (100% below median its 10-year median of 45.20)
  • GF Value™: $3.87 vs. price of $2.75 (28.9% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 59/100 with 7 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 98.2% below the Semiconductors median (#591 of 605)

No single metric tells the full story. See the LEDS stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


SemiLEDs Business Description

Other Exchanges 6LD1:Germany
Address No.11 Ke Jung Road, 3rd Floor, Chu-Nan Site. Chu-Nan 350, Hsinchu Science Park, Miao-Li County, Miao-Li, TWN, 350
SemiLEDs Corp develops, manufactures, and sells light-emitting diode chips and LED components. The company's products include LED Chips, LED Components, and Lighting Products. Its products are used for general lighting applications, including street lights and commercial, industrial, system, and residential lighting; specialty industrial applications, such as ultraviolet, or Ultraviolet, curing of polymers, LED light therapy in medical/cosmetic applications, counterfeit detection, LED lighting for horticulture applications, architectural lighting and entertainment lighting. Substantial revenue is generated from the sale of LED components products. Geographically, it derives a majority of its revenue from Japan.
59GF Score

Get the complete analysis for LEDS

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$2.75
Price
$3.87
GF Value