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Applied Optoelectronics (Applied Optoelectronics) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $-4.42 (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


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What is Applied Optoelectronics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-26), Applied Optoelectronics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-4.42. The stock price of Applied Optoelectronics is $10.85. Therefore, Applied Optoelectronics's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Applied Optoelectronics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Applied Optoelectronics was 7.37. The lowest was 7.37. And the median was 7.37.

AAOI's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked *
in the Hardware industry.
Industry Median: 1.4
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Projected-FCF only.

Applied Optoelectronics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Applied Optoelectronics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Applied Optoelectronics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Applied Optoelectronics Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -4.28 -5.11 -3.08 -3.82 -4.42

Applied Optoelectronics Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.82 -5.67 -5.11 -5.96 -4.42

Competitive Comparison of Applied Optoelectronics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Communication Equipment subindustry, Applied Optoelectronics's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Applied Optoelectronics's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Hardware Industry

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, Applied Optoelectronics's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Applied Optoelectronics's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Applied Optoelectronics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Applied Optoelectronics's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-35.04.

Applied Optoelectronics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-35.0352+214.869*0.8)/36.600
=-4.42

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Applied Optoelectronics  (NAS:AAOI) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Applied Optoelectronics's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=10.85/-4.4167273834685
=

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Applied Optoelectronics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Applied Optoelectronics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Applied Optoelectronics (Applied Optoelectronics) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
13139 Jess Pirtle Boulevard, Sugar Land, TX, USA, 77478
Applied Optoelectronics Inc is a provider of fiber-optic networking products for the Internet data center, cable television, telecommunications and fiber-to-the-home end markets. The company focuses on designing and manufacturing a range of optical communication products from components, to subassemblies, and modules to complete turn-key equipment. Demand for Applied Optoelectronics is driven by bandwidth demand in end markets. Through direct sales personnel, and manufacturing teams in the United States, China, and Taiwan, the company coordinates with customers to determine product design, qualifications, and performance.
Executives
Stefan J. Murry officer: Chief Strategy Officer 13139 JESS PIRTLE BLVD., SUGAR LAND TX 77478
Shu-hua (joshua) Yeh officer: ** See below 13139 JESS PIRTLE BLVD., SUGAR LAND TX 77478
Chih-hsiang (thompson) Lin director, officer: Pres. and CEO 13139 JESS PIRTLE BLVD., SUGAR LAND TX 77478
William H Yeh director 13139 JESS PIRTLE BLVD., SUGAR LAND TX 77478
David C Kuo officer: General Counsel and Secretary 13139 JESS PIRTLE BLVD., SUGAR LAND TX 77478
Hung-lun (fred) Chang officer: See Remarks Below ** 13139 JESS PIRTLE BLVD., SUGAR LAND TX 77478
Cynthia Delaney director 13139 JESS PIRTLE BLVD, SUGAR LAND TX 77478
Chewei Lin director 13115 JESS PIRTIE BLVD, SUGAR LAND TX 77478
Elizabeth G Loboa director 13139 JESS PIRTLE BLVD, SUGAR LAND TX 77478
Richard B Black director
Alan D Moore director 12231 CROSS CREEK, DALLAS TX 75243
Min-chu (mike) Chen director 13139 JESS PIRTLE BLVD., SUGAR LAND TX 77478
Klaus Alexander Anselm officer: VP of Semiconductor Products 13115 JESS PIRTLE BLVD., SUGAR LAND TX 77478
Chung-yao (ford) Li officer: Sr. VP, Asia General Manager 13115 JESS PIRTLE BLVD., SUGAR LAND TX 77478
Alex Ignatiev director 13139 JESS PIRTLE BLVD., SUGAR LAND TX 77478