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Tredegar (Tredegar) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $11.79 (As of May. 12, 2024)


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What is Tredegar Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-12), Tredegar's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $11.79. The stock price of Tredegar is $6.49. Therefore, Tredegar's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.6.

The historical rank and industry rank for Tredegar's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

TG' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.46   Med: 1.04   Max: 1.59
Current: 0.55

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Tredegar was 1.59. The lowest was 0.46. And the median was 1.04.

TG's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
88.08% of 1912 companies
in the Industrial Products industry
Industry Median: 1.575 vs TG: 0.55

Tredegar Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Tredegar's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Tredegar Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Tredegar Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 19.27 14.62 17.74 13.85 11.79

Tredegar Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 13.85 13.04 14.05 13.78 11.79

Competitive Comparison of Tredegar's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Metal Fabrication subindustry, Tredegar's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Tredegar's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Tredegar's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Tredegar's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Tredegar Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Tredegar's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $29.38.

Tredegar's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*29.38176+155.653*0.8)/34.289
=11.79

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Tredegar  (NYSE:TG) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Tredegar's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=6.49/11.789410181348
=0.55

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Tredegar Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Tredegar's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Tredegar (Tredegar) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1100 Boulders Parkway, Richmond, VA, USA, 23225
Tredegar Corp through its subsidiaries engaged in the manufacture of Polyethylene Plastic films, Polyester Films, and Aluminum Extrusions. Polyethylene Plastic films manufacture plastic films, elastics and laminate materials which are utilized in personal care materials, surface protection films, and specialty and optical lighting applications. It operates through PE Films, Flexible Packaging Films, and Aluminum Extrusions segments. Aluminum Extrusions produce high-quality, soft-alloy and medium-strength aluminum use for building and construction, automotive, consumer durables, machinery and equipment, electrical and distribution markets. It generates revenue from the United States, Asia, and Brazil.
Executives
James T. Gottwald 10 percent owner 3600 RIVER ROAD WEST, GOOCHLAND VA 23063
Kevin Cyril Donnelly officer: Vice President and Secretary 1100 BOULDERS PARKWAY, RICHMOND VA 23225
Anne G Waleski director 1508 WEST AVENUE, RICHMOND VA 23220
Michael Jay Schewel officer: Vice President and Secretary C/O MARKEL CORPORATION, 4521 HIGHWOODS PARKWAY, GLEN ALLEN VA 23060
Brickhouse Frasier W Ii other: Controller 1100 BOULDERS PARKWAY, RICHMOND VA 23225
Gamco Investors, Inc. Et Al 10 percent owner 191 MASON STREET, GREENWICH CT 06830
John M Steitz director ALBEMARLE CORP, 451 FLORIDA ST, BATON ROUGE LA 70801
William M Gottwald director ALBERMARLE CORP, PO BOX 2189, RICHMOND VA 23218
Associated Capital Group, Inc. 10 percent owner 191 MASON STREET, GREENWICH CT 06830
A Brent King officer: Vice President and Secretary 4951 LAKE BROOK DR, STE 500, GLEN ALLEN VA 23060
Mary Jane Hellyar officer: Vice President 1100 BOULDERS PARKWAY, RICHMOND VA 23225
Ggcp, Inc. 10 percent owner 189 MASON STREET, GREENWICH CT 06830
Mario J Gabelli 10 percent owner 191 MASON STREET, GREENWICH CT 06830
Gottwald Floyd D Jr director 330 SOUTH FOURTH STREET, RICHMOND VA 23219
John D Gottwald director 207 WOOD ROAD, TREDEGAR CORP, 1100 BOULDERS PARKWAY VA 23225

Tredegar (Tredegar) Headlines

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