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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
As of today (2024-05-05), Radian Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $56.30. The stock price of Radian Group is $30.79. Therefore, Radian Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.6.
The historical rank and industry rank for Radian Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:
During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Radian Group was 3.93. The lowest was 0.37. And the median was 0.51.
The historical data trend for Radian Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Radian Group Annual Data | |||||||||||||||||||||
Trend | Dec14 | Dec15 | Dec16 | Dec17 | Dec18 | Dec19 | Dec20 | Dec21 | Dec22 | Dec23 | |||||||||||
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF | Get a 7-Day Free Trial | 28.85 | 41.42 | 47.87 | 51.25 | 56.30 |
Radian Group Quarterly Data | ||||||||||||||||||||
Jun19 | Sep19 | Dec19 | Mar20 | Jun20 | Sep20 | Dec20 | Mar21 | Jun21 | Sep21 | Dec21 | Mar22 | Jun22 | Sep22 | Dec22 | Mar23 | Jun23 | Sep23 | Dec23 | Mar24 | |
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF | Get a 7-Day Free Trial | 51.91 | 52.12 | 51.79 | 56.30 | - |
For the Insurance - Specialty subindustry, Radian Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
For the Insurance industry and Financial Services sector, Radian Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Radian Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.
The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Radian Group's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $542.13.
Radian Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF | = | (Growth Multiple | * | Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) | + | Total Stockholders Equity (Mar24) | * | 0.8) | / | Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) |
= | (9.5203515959648 | * | 542.12656 | + | 4439.732 | * | 0.8) | / | 155.971 | |
= | 55.86 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Radian Group (NYSE:RDN) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation
The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.
Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.
Radian Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as
Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF | = | Share Price | / | Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF |
= | 30.79 | / | 55.863083911182 | |
= | 0.55 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Radian Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
Gregory Serio | director | RADIAN GROUP INC., 1601 MARKET ST., PHILADELPHIA PA 19103 |
Lisa Hess | director | RADIAN GROUP, 1601 MARKET ST, PHILADELPHIA PA 19103 |
Margaret Anne Leyden | director | 550 E. SWEDESFORD RD.,, STE 350, WAYNE PA 19087 |
Edward J Hoffman | officer: SVP, Secretary and General Cou | 1601 MARKET STREET, PHILADELPHIA PA 19103 |
Lisa Mumford | director | 6 BEACHWOOD COURT, DIX HILLS NY 11746 |
Eric Ray | officer: Sr, Executive Vice President | C/O RADIAN, 1500 MARKET ST., #2050W, PHILADELPHIA PA 19102 |
Noel Joseph Spiegel | director | RADIAN GROUP INC., 1601 MARKET STREET, PHILADELPHIA PA 19103 |
Howard Bernard Culang | director | 9 MARISSA COURT, ATLANTIC HIGHLANDS NJ 07716 |
Derek Brummer | officer: Chief Risk Officer | RADIAN GROUP INC., 1601 MARKET ST, PHILADELPHIA PA 19103 |
Sumita Pandit | officer: Sr. EVP, Chief Growth Officer | 550 EAST SWEDESFORD RD., #350, WAYNE PA 19087 |
Fawad Ahmad | director | C/) RADIAN GROUP INC., 550 E. SWEDESFORD RD., #350, WAYNE PA 19087 |
Brien Mcmahon | officer: EVP & Chief Franchise Officer | 1500 MARKET ST., WEST TOWER, #2050, PHILADELPHIA PA 19102 |
Richard G Thornberry | director, officer: Chief Executive Officer | RADIAN, 1601 MARKET ST, PHILADELPHIA PA 19103 |
Mary Dickerson | officer: EVP Chief People Officer | RADIAN GROUP INC., 1500 MARKET ST., #2050W, PHILADELPHIA PA 19102 |
Brad L. Conner | director | CITIZENS FINANCIAL GROUP, 600 WASHINGTON BLVD., CS119N, STAMFORD CT 06901 |
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