AWR (American States Water Co) Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based): -40.67% (As of Jun. 24, 2026)


AWR American States Water Co AWR
73 GF Score
Price $79.87
GF Value $84.88
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 3 Warning Signs
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What is American States Water Co Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based)?

American States Water Co AWR +1.06% 73 Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is -40.67% as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus rates AWR with a GF Score™ of 73/100 and a GF Value™ of $84.88 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) - Current Price) / Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based).

Note: Discounted Earnings model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

As of today (2026-06-24), American States Water Co's Predictability Rank is 2.5-Stars. American States Water Co's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model is $56.78 and current share price is $79.87. Consequently,

American States Water Co's Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) using Discounted Earnings model is -40.67%.

AWR vs CWT, HTO, MSEX: Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) Comparison

For the Utilities - Regulated Water subindustry, American States Water Co's Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

American States Water Co Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) vs Utilities - Regulated Industry

For the Utilities - Regulated industry and Utilities sector, American States Water Co's Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where American States Water Co's Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) falls into.


AWR
73GF Score
American States Water Co AWR
Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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American States Water Co Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) Calculation

American States Water Co's Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) for today is calculated as

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
=(56.78-79.87)/56.78
=-40.67 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

The intrinsic value is calculated from the Discounted Earnings model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except earnings are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow.

What does a Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) of -40.67% mean?
American States Water Co (AWR) has a Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) of -40.67% as of Jun. 24, 2026. Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is the percent difference between the current price and the intrinsic DCF Earnings price. View historical data on American States Water Co.
Is American States Water Co's Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) too high?
American States Water Co's current Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is -40.67%. Overall, American States Water Co has a GF Score™ of 73/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does American States Water Co's Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) compare to CWT and HTO?
American States Water Co's Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) of -40.67% can be compared against companies in the Utilities - Regulated industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) for an Utilities - Regulated company?
A good Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) depends on the Utilities - Regulated industry context. However, Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) mean?
A high Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is the percent difference between the current price and the intrinsic DCF Earnings price. View historical data on American States Water Co. American States Water Co's current Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is -40.67%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is American States Water Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, American States Water Co (AWR) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is $84.88, compared to a current price of $79.87 — trading 5.9% below its estimated fair value. The current Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is -40.67%. American States Water Co's overall GF Score™ is 73/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) calculated?
Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For American States Water Co (AWR), the current Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is -40.67% as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is American States Water Co (AWR) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, American States Water Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $79.87 is trading 5.9% below its estimated GF Value™ of $84.88. GuruFocus considers American States Water Co to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for AWR:

  • Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based): -40.67%
  • GF Value™: $84.88 vs. price of $79.87 (5.9% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 73/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the AWR stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

American States Water Co Business Description

Other Exchanges FDK:Germany
Address 630 E. Foothill Boulevard, San Dimas, CA, USA, 91773-1212
American States Water Co is a water and utilities holding company based in California. The segments of the firm include water, electric, and contracted services. Within these segments, American States Water conducts water and electric operations through Golden State Water Company and Bear Valley Electric Service, Inc while contracted services through American States Utility Services and its subsidiaries. Golden State Water conducts its operations across various counties in California and is regulated by the California Public Utilities Commission. American States Utility Services has contracted with the U.S. government to provide water services to various military installations. The majority of the company's revenue is derived from water services to commercial and residential customers.
73GF Score

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Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$79.87
Price
$84.88
GF Value