Exxaro Resources (JSE:EXX) Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based): 71.67% (As of Jun. 25, 2026)


JSE:EXX Exxaro Resources Ltd JSE:EXX
83 GF Score
Price R201.55
GF Value R197.50
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 8 Warning Signs
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What is Exxaro Resources Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based)?

Exxaro Resources JSE:EXX +0.43% 83 Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is 71.67% as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates JSE:EXX with a GF Score™ of 83/100 and a GF Value™ of R197.50 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) - Current Price) / Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based).

Note: Discounted Earnings model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

As of today (2026-06-25), Exxaro Resources's Predictability Rank is 2-Stars. Exxaro Resources's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model is R711.34 and current share price is R201.55. Consequently,

Exxaro Resources's Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) using Discounted Earnings model is 71.67%.

JSE:EXX vs CNR: Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) Comparison

For the Thermal Coal subindustry, Exxaro Resources's Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Exxaro Resources Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) vs Other Energy Sources Industry

For the Other Energy Sources industry and Energy sector, Exxaro Resources's Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Exxaro Resources's Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) falls into.


JSE:EXX
83GF Score
Exxaro Resources Ltd JSE:EXX
Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Exxaro Resources Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) Calculation

Exxaro Resources's Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) for today is calculated as

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
=(711.34-201.55)/711.34
=71.67 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

The intrinsic value is calculated from the Discounted Earnings model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except earnings are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow.

What does a Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) of 71.67% mean?
Exxaro Resources (JSE:EXX) has a Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) of 71.67% as of Jun. 25, 2026. Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is the percent difference between the current price and the intrinsic DCF Earnings price. View historical data on Exxaro Resources.
Is Exxaro Resources' Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) too high?
Exxaro Resources' current Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is 71.67%. Overall, Exxaro Resources has a GF Score™ of 83/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Exxaro Resources' Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) compare to CNR?
Exxaro Resources' Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) of 71.67% can be compared against companies in the Other Energy Sources industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) for an Other Energy Sources company?
A good Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) depends on the Other Energy Sources industry context. However, Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) mean?
A high Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is the percent difference between the current price and the intrinsic DCF Earnings price. View historical data on Exxaro Resources. Exxaro Resources's current Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is 71.67%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Exxaro Resources stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Exxaro Resources (JSE:EXX) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is R197.50, compared to a current price of R201.55 — trading 2.1% above its estimated fair value. The current Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is 71.67%. Exxaro Resources' overall GF Score™ is 83/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) calculated?
Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Exxaro Resources (JSE:EXX), the current Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is 71.67% as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Exxaro Resources (JSE:EXX) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Exxaro Resources stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of R201.55 is trading 2.1% above its estimated GF Value™ of R197.50. GuruFocus considers Exxaro Resources to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for JSE:EXX:

  • Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based): 71.67%
  • GF Value™: R197.50 vs. price of R201.55 (2.1% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 83/100 with 8 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the JSE:EXX stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Exxaro Resources Business Description

Other Exchanges EXXAF:USALCQ:Germany
Address 263B West Avenue, Die Hoewes, The conneXXion, Centurion, GT, ZAF, 0163
Exxaro Resources Ltd is one of the South Africa-based diversified resources companies. The company's operating segments are: Coal, Energy, Metals, and Others. The majority of its revenue comes from the coal segment, whose operations are located in the Waterberg and Mpumalanga regions and are split between coal commercial operations and coal-tied operations and produce thermal and metallurgical coal, Commercial Waterberg is comprised mainly of the Grootegeluk operation, Commercial Mpumalanga comprising the Belfast and Leeuwpan operations, and Tied comprising of the Matla mine supplying its entire coal supply to Eskom; and Others comprises of the other coal affiliated operation. Geographically, the company derives majority of its revenue from the RSA region ( Republic of South Africa).
83GF Score

Get the complete analysis for JSE:EXX

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

R201.55
Price
R197.50
GF Value