Showa Paxxs (TSE:3954) Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based): 23.27% (As of Jun. 27, 2026)


TSE:3954 Showa Paxxs Corp TSE:3954
58 GF Score
Price 円2,900.00
GF Value 円1,975.61
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 3 Warning Signs
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What is Showa Paxxs Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based)?

Showa Paxxs TSE:3954 +2.98% 58 Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is 23.27% as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus rates TSE:3954 with a GF Score™ of 58/100 and a GF Value™ of 円1,975.61 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) - Current Price) / Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based).

Note: Discounted Earnings model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

As of today (2026-06-27), Showa Paxxs's Predictability Rank is 3.5-Stars. Showa Paxxs's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model is 円3779.49 and current share price is 円2900.00. Consequently,

Showa Paxxs's Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) using Discounted Earnings model is 23.27%.

TSE:3954 vs SW, PKG, AMCR: Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) Comparison

For the Packaging & Containers subindustry, Showa Paxxs's Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Showa Paxxs Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) vs Packaging & Containers Industry

For the Packaging & Containers industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Showa Paxxs's Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Showa Paxxs's Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) falls into.


TSE:3954
58GF Score
Showa Paxxs Corp TSE:3954
Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Showa Paxxs Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) Calculation

Showa Paxxs's Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) for today is calculated as

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
=(3779.49-2900.00)/3779.49
=23.27 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

The intrinsic value is calculated from the Discounted Earnings model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except earnings are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow.

What does a Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) of 23.27% mean?
Showa Paxxs (TSE:3954) has a Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) of 23.27% as of Jun. 27, 2026. Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is the percent difference between the current price and the intrinsic DCF Earnings price. View historical data on Showa Paxxs.
Is Showa Paxxs' Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) too high?
Showa Paxxs' current Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is 23.27%. Overall, Showa Paxxs has a GF Score™ of 58/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Showa Paxxs' Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) compare to SW and PKG?
Showa Paxxs' Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) of 23.27% can be compared against companies in the Packaging & Containers industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) for a Packaging & Containers company?
A good Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) depends on the Packaging & Containers industry context. However, Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) mean?
A high Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is the percent difference between the current price and the intrinsic DCF Earnings price. View historical data on Showa Paxxs. Showa Paxxs's current Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is 23.27%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Showa Paxxs stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Showa Paxxs (TSE:3954) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円1,975.61, compared to a current price of 円2,900.00 — trading 46.8% above its estimated fair value. The current Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is 23.27%. Showa Paxxs' overall GF Score™ is 58/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) calculated?
Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Showa Paxxs (TSE:3954), the current Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is 23.27% as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Showa Paxxs (TSE:3954) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Showa Paxxs stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of 円2,900.00 is trading 46.8% above its estimated GF Value™ of 円1,975.61. GuruFocus considers Showa Paxxs to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:3954:

  • Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based): 23.27%
  • GF Value™: 円1,975.61 vs. price of 円2,900.00 (46.8% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 58/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:3954 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Showa Paxxs Business Description

Address 2-12 Ichigayahonmura-cho, Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 162-0845
Showa Paxxs Corporation is an industrial packaging container manufacturer. It is engaged in manufacturing and selling packaging materials and containers. The products offered by the company include heavy wrapping paper bags, containers, film, and packaging machine equipment systems.
58GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:3954

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円2,900.00
Price
円1,975.61
GF Value