Canadian Natural Resources (FRA:CRC) Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based): 46.87% (As of Jun. 24, 2026)


FRA:CRC Canadian Natural Resources Ltd FRA:CRC
78 GF Score
Price €35.86
GF Value €29.55
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 1 Warning Sign
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What is Canadian Natural Resources Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based)?

Canadian Natural Resources FRA:CRC -1.66% 78 Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is 46.87% as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus rates FRA:CRC with a GF Score™ of 78/100 and a GF Value™ of €29.55 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review.

Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) - Current Price) / Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based).

Note: Discounted FCF model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

As of today (2026-06-24), Canadian Natural Resources's Predictability Rank is 3-Stars. Canadian Natural Resources's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted FCF model is €27.79 and current share price is €35.855. Consequently,

Canadian Natural Resources's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) using Discounted FCF model is 46.87%.

FRA:CRC vs COP, EOG, OXY: Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) Comparison

For the Oil & Gas E&P subindustry, Canadian Natural Resources's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Canadian Natural Resources Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) vs Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Canadian Natural Resources's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Canadian Natural Resources's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) falls into.


FRA:CRC
78GF Score
Canadian Natural Resources Ltd FRA:CRC
Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Canadian Natural Resources Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) Calculation

Canadian Natural Resources's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(67.48-35.855)/67.48
=46.87 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

The intrinsic value is calculated from the Discounted FCF model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Earnings model except free cash flow are used in the calculation instead of earnings per share.

What does a Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) of 46.87% mean?
Canadian Natural Resources (FRA:CRC) has a Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) of 46.87% as of Jun. 24, 2026. Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is the percent difference between the current price and the intrinsic DCF FCF price. View historical data on Canadian Natural Resources.
Is Canadian Natural Resources' Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) too high?
Canadian Natural Resources' current Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is 46.87%. Overall, Canadian Natural Resources has a GF Score™ of 78/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Canadian Natural Resources' Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) compare to COP and EOG?
Canadian Natural Resources' Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) of 46.87% can be compared against companies in the Oil & Gas industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) for an Oil & Gas company?
A good Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) depends on the Oil & Gas industry context. However, Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) mean?
A high Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is the percent difference between the current price and the intrinsic DCF FCF price. View historical data on Canadian Natural Resources. Canadian Natural Resources's current Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is 46.87%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Canadian Natural Resources stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Canadian Natural Resources (FRA:CRC) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €29.55, compared to a current price of €35.86 — trading 21.3% above its estimated fair value. The current Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is 46.87%. Canadian Natural Resources' overall GF Score™ is 78/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) calculated?
Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Canadian Natural Resources (FRA:CRC), the current Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is 46.87% as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Canadian Natural Resources (FRA:CRC) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Canadian Natural Resources stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €35.86 is trading 21.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of €29.55. GuruFocus considers Canadian Natural Resources to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for FRA:CRC:

  • Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based): 46.87%
  • GF Value™: €29.55 vs. price of €35.86 (21.3% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 78/100 with 1 warning sign

No single metric tells the full story. See the FRA:CRC stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Canadian Natural Resources Business Description

Industry EnergyOil & Gas
Address 855 - 2 Street S.W, Suite 2100, Calgary, AB, CAN, T2P 4J8
Canadian Natural Resources is the largest producer of oil and the second-largest producer of natural gas in Canada. It is principally involved in extracting heavy oils, natural gas, and bitumen through its drilling and mining operations. Bitumen from mining operations is upgraded into synthetic crude oil. Commodities produced are primarily exported to the US via pipeline. The company also has smaller offshore production operations in the North Sea and Africa.
78GF Score

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Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€35.86
Price
€29.55
GF Value