The Hershey Co (FRA:HSY) Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based): -31.58% (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


FRA:HSY The Hershey Co FRA:HSY
72 GF Score
Price €159.55
GF Value €191.02
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 6 Warning Signs
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What is The Hershey Co Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based)?

The Hershey Co FRA:HSY +1.53% 72 Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is -31.58% as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates FRA:HSY with a GF Score™ of 72/100 and a GF Value™ of €191.02 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review.

Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) - Current Price) / Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based).

Note: Discounted FCF model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

As of today (2026-06-26), The Hershey Co's Predictability Rank is 3-Stars. The Hershey Co's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted FCF model is €79.30 and current share price is €159.55. Consequently,

The Hershey Co's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) using Discounted FCF model is -31.58%.

FRA:HSY vs TR, MDLZ, SOWG: Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) Comparison

For the Confectioners subindustry, The Hershey Co's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

The Hershey Co Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) vs Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, The Hershey Co's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where The Hershey Co's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) falls into.


FRA:HSY
72GF Score
The Hershey Co FRA:HSY
Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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The Hershey Co Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) Calculation

The Hershey Co's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(121.26-159.55)/121.26
=-31.58 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

The intrinsic value is calculated from the Discounted FCF model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Earnings model except free cash flow are used in the calculation instead of earnings per share.

What does a Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) of -31.58% mean?
The Hershey Co (FRA:HSY) has a Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) of -31.58% as of Jun. 26, 2026. Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is the percent difference between the current price and the intrinsic DCF FCF price. View historical data on The Hershey Co.
Is The Hershey Co's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) too high?
The Hershey Co's current Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is -31.58%. Overall, The Hershey Co has a GF Score™ of 72/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does The Hershey Co's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) compare to TR and MDLZ?
The Hershey Co's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) of -31.58% can be compared against companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) for a Consumer Packaged Goods company?
A good Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) depends on the Consumer Packaged Goods industry context. However, Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) mean?
A high Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is the percent difference between the current price and the intrinsic DCF FCF price. View historical data on The Hershey Co. The Hershey Co's current Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is -31.58%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is The Hershey Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, The Hershey Co (FRA:HSY) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €191.02, compared to a current price of €159.55 — trading 16.5% below its estimated fair value. The current Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is -31.58%. The Hershey Co's overall GF Score™ is 72/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) calculated?
Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For The Hershey Co (FRA:HSY), the current Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is -31.58% as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is The Hershey Co (FRA:HSY) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, The Hershey Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of €159.55 is trading 16.5% below its estimated GF Value™ of €191.02. GuruFocus considers The Hershey Co to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for FRA:HSY:

  • Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based): -31.58%
  • GF Value™: €191.02 vs. price of €159.55 (16.5% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 72/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the FRA:HSY stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

The Hershey Co Business Description

Address 19 East Chocolate Avenue, Hershey, PA, USA, 17033
Hershey is a leading US confectionery manufacturer (around a $55 billion market, according to Euromonitor), controlling 35% of the domestic chocolate aisle. Beyond its namesake label, the firm's portfolio has expanded over the last 85 years and now comprises 100 brands, including Reese's, Kit Kat, Kisses, and Ice Breakers. Hershey's products are sold in about 80 countries, albeit with just a high-single-digit percentage of sales coming from markets outside the US, including Brazil, India, and Mexico. The firm has sought inorganic opportunities to extend its reach beyond its core confectionery business, adding Amplify Snack Brands and its Skinny Pop ready-to-eat popcorn to its portfolio, as well as Pirate Brands, Dot's Pretzels, and LesserEvil over the past few years.
72GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FRA:HSY

Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€159.55
Price
€191.02
GF Value