MEOH (Methanex) Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based): 86.34% (As of Jun. 24, 2026)


MEOH Methanex Corp MEOH
68 GF Score
Price $48.14
GF Value $40.55
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 7 Warning Signs
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What is Methanex Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based)?

Methanex MEOH -5.88% 68 Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is 86.34% as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus rates MEOH with a GF Score™ of 68/100 and a GF Value™ of $40.55 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review.

Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) - Current Price) / Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based).

Note: Discounted FCF model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

As of today (2026-06-24), Methanex's Predictability Rank is 2.5-Stars. Methanex's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted FCF model is $9.45 and current share price is $48.14. Consequently,

Methanex's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) using Discounted FCF model is 86.34%.


MEOH vs DOW: Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) Comparison

For the Chemicals subindustry, Methanex's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Methanex Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) vs Chemicals Industry

For the Chemicals industry and Basic Materials sector, Methanex's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Methanex's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) falls into.


MEOH
68GF Score
Methanex Corp MEOH
Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Methanex Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) Calculation

Methanex's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(352.53-48.14)/352.53
=86.34 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

The intrinsic value is calculated from the Discounted FCF model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Earnings model except free cash flow are used in the calculation instead of earnings per share.

What does a Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) of 86.34% mean?
Methanex (MEOH) has a Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) of 86.34% as of Jun. 24, 2026. Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is the percent difference between the current price and the intrinsic DCF FCF price. View historical data on Methanex.
Is Methanex's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) too high?
Methanex's current Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is 86.34%. Overall, Methanex has a GF Score™ of 68/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Methanex's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) compare to DOW?
Methanex's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) of 86.34% can be compared against companies in the Chemicals industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) for a Chemicals company?
A good Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) depends on the Chemicals industry context. However, Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) mean?
A high Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is the percent difference between the current price and the intrinsic DCF FCF price. View historical data on Methanex. Methanex's current Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is 86.34%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Methanex stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Methanex (MEOH) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $40.55, compared to a current price of $48.14 — trading 18.7% above its estimated fair value. The current Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is 86.34%. Methanex's overall GF Score™ is 68/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) calculated?
Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Methanex (MEOH), the current Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is 86.34% as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Methanex (MEOH) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Methanex stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $48.14 is trading 18.7% above its estimated GF Value™ of $40.55. GuruFocus considers Methanex to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for MEOH:

  • Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based): 86.34%
  • GF Value™: $40.55 vs. price of $48.14 (18.7% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 68/100 with 7 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEOH stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Methanex Business Description

Other Exchanges MX5:GermanyMX:Canada
Address 200 Burrard Street, 1800 Waterfront Centre, Vancouver, BC, CAN, V6C 3M1
Methanex Corp operates as a producer and supplier of methanol to various international markets in North America, Asia Pacific, Europe and South America. The company's operations consist prominently of the production and sale of methanol, along with the production and sale of ammonia. Geographically, it operates in China, Europe, the United States, South America, South Korea, Other Asia, and Canada. The majority of revenue is derived from Europe.
68GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEOH

Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$48.14
Price
$40.55
GF Value