SPSC (SPS Commerce) Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based): 51.33% (As of Aug. 20, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
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Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

SPSC SPS Commerce Inc SPSC
84 GF Score
Price $80.80
GF Value $181.43
Valuation Significantly Undervalued
! 1 Warning Sign
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What is SPS Commerce Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based)?

SPS Commerce SPSC +4.37% 84 Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is 51.33% as of Aug. 20, 2026. GuruFocus rates SPSC with a GF Score™ of 84/100 and a GF Value™ of $181.43 (Significantly Undervalued). The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review.

Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) - Current Price) / Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based).

Note: Discounted FCF model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

As of today (2026-08-20), SPS Commerce's Predictability Rank is 4.5-Stars. SPS Commerce's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted FCF model is $123.56 and current share price is $80.80. Consequently,

SPS Commerce's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) using Discounted FCF model is 51.33%.


SPSC vs PLUS, PDFS, INTA: Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) Comparison

For the Software - Application subindustry, SPS Commerce's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


SPS Commerce Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) vs Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, SPS Commerce's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where SPS Commerce's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) falls into.


SPSC
84GF Score
SPS Commerce Inc SPSC
Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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SPS Commerce Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) Calculation

SPS Commerce's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(166.03-80.80)/166.03
=51.33 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

The intrinsic value is calculated from the Discounted FCF model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Earnings model except free cash flow are used in the calculation instead of earnings per share.

What does a Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) of 51.33% mean?
SPS Commerce (SPSC) has a Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) of 51.33% as of Aug. 20, 2026. Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is the percent difference between the current price and the intrinsic DCF FCF price. View historical data on SPS Commerce.
Is SPS Commerce's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) too high?
SPS Commerce's current Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is 51.33%. Overall, SPS Commerce has a GF Score™ of 84/100 and is considered Significantly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does SPS Commerce's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) compare to PLUS and PDFS?
SPS Commerce's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) of 51.33% can be compared against companies in the Software industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) for a Software company?
A good Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) depends on the Software industry context. However, Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) mean?
A high Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is the percent difference between the current price and the intrinsic DCF FCF price. View historical data on SPS Commerce. SPS Commerce's current Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is 51.33%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is SPS Commerce stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, SPS Commerce (SPSC) is currently considered Significantly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $181.43, compared to a current price of $80.80 — trading 55.5% below its estimated fair value. The current Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is 51.33%. SPS Commerce's overall GF Score™ is 84/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) calculated?
Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For SPS Commerce (SPSC), the current Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is 51.33% as of Aug. 20, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is SPS Commerce (SPSC) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, SPS Commerce stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $80.80 is trading 55.5% below its estimated GF Value™ of $181.43. GuruFocus considers SPS Commerce to be Significantly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for SPSC:

  • Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based): 51.33%
  • GF Value™: $181.43 vs. price of $80.80 (55.5% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 84/100 with 1 warning sign

No single metric tells the full story. See the SPSC stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


SPS Commerce Business Description

Other Exchanges 1SPSC:ItalyS86:Germany
Address 333 South Seventh Street, Suite 1000, Minneapolis, MN, USA, 55402
SPS Commerce Inc is a provider of cloud-based supply chain management services for retailers, grocers, distributors, suppliers, and logistics firms to increase supply chain performance, optimize inventory levels and sell-through, reduce operational costs, improve order visibility, and satisfy consumer demands for a seamless omnichannel experience. Its solutions are delivered through the SPS Commerce platform and provide integrations and retail performance analytics to its customers. The company has one operating segment Supply Chain Management Solutions, that derives revenues from customers by providing access to cloud-based supply chain management services, primarily under subscription-based service arrangements.
84GF Score

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Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$80.80
Price
$181.43
GF Value