National for Tourism Hotels (ADX:NCTH) Beneish M-Score: -1.61 (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


ADX:NCTH National Corp for Tourism Hotels ADX:NCTH
68 GF Score
Price د.إ1.48
GF Value د.إ3.56
Valuation Significantly Undervalued
! 5 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is National for Tourism Hotels Beneish M-Score?

National for Tourism Hotels ADX:NCTH -0.67% 68 Beneish M-Score is -1.61 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates ADX:NCTH with a GF Score™ of 68/100 and a GF Value™ of د.إ3.56 (Significantly Undervalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 824 Travel & Leisure companies, National for Tourism Hotels ranks worse than 87.74% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.61 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for National for Tourism Hotels's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ADX:NCTH' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.35   Med: -2.43   Max: 2.04
Current: -1.61

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of National for Tourism Hotels was 2.04. The lowest was -3.35. And the median was -2.43.


National for Tourism Hotels Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for National for Tourism Hotels's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

National for Tourism Hotels Beneish M-Score Chart

National for Tourism Hotels Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.40 -2.62 -2.46 -2.19 -1.61

National for Tourism Hotels Semi-Annual Data
Dec06 Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.40 -2.62 -2.46 -2.19 -1.61

ADX:NCTH vs MAR, HLT, H: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Lodging subindustry, National for Tourism Hotels's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


National for Tourism Hotels Beneish M-Score vs Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, National for Tourism Hotels's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where National for Tourism Hotels's Beneish M-Score falls into.


ADX:NCTH
68GF Score
National Corp for Tourism Hotels ADX:NCTH
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

National for Tourism Hotels Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of National for Tourism Hotels for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9727+0.528 * 1.0782+0.404 * 0.7531+0.892 * 1.9065+0.115 * 1.1871
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.8546+4.679 * -0.009809-0.327 * 0.5594
=-1.61

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was د.إ446 Mil.
Revenue was د.إ2,183 Mil.
Gross Profit was د.إ872 Mil.
Total Current Assets was د.إ1,581 Mil.
Total Assets was د.إ6,740 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was د.إ3,958 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was د.إ130 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was د.إ254 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was د.إ861 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was د.إ786 Mil.
Net Income was د.إ401 Mil.
Gross Profit was د.إ0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was د.إ467 Mil.
Total Receivables was د.إ240 Mil.
Revenue was د.إ1,145 Mil.
Gross Profit was د.إ493 Mil.
Total Current Assets was د.إ753 Mil.
Total Assets was د.إ3,267 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was د.إ1,740 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was د.إ68 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was د.إ156 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was د.إ769 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was د.إ658 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(445.914 / 2182.592) / (240.456 / 1144.844)
=0.204305 / 0.210034
=0.9727

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(493.342 / 1144.844) / (872.295 / 2182.592)
=0.430925 / 0.39966
=1.0782

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1580.613 + 3957.901) / 6739.944) / (1 - (753.313 + 1740.186) / 3266.732)
=0.178255 / 0.236699
=0.7531

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=2182.592 / 1144.844
=1.9065

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(68.061 / (68.061 + 1740.186)) / (129.607 / (129.607 + 3957.901))
=0.037639 / 0.031708
=1.1871

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(254.362 / 2182.592) / (156.13 / 1144.844)
=0.116541 / 0.136377
=0.8546

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((785.674 + 861.121) / 6739.944) / ((657.675 + 769.258) / 3266.732)
=0.244334 / 0.436807
=0.5594

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(400.972 - 0 - 467.086) / 6739.944
=-0.009809

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

National for Tourism Hotels has a M-score of -1.61 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -1.61 mean?
National for Tourism Hotels (ADX:NCTH) has a Beneish M-Score of -1.61 as of Jun. 26, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on National for Tourism Hotels and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, National for Tourism Hotels ranks #723 out of 824 companies in the Travel & Leisure industry, placing it in the top 87.7%.
Is National for Tourism Hotels' Beneish M-Score too high?
National for Tourism Hotels' current Beneish M-Score is -1.61. Based on the distribution chart, National for Tourism Hotels ranks #723 out of 824 companies in the Travel & Leisure industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, National for Tourism Hotels has a GF Score™ of 68/100 and is considered Significantly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does National for Tourism Hotels' Beneish M-Score compare to MAR and HLT?
According to the Travel & Leisure industry distribution chart, National for Tourism Hotels ranks #723 out of 824 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places National for Tourism Hotels in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Travel & Leisure company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Travel & Leisure industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on National for Tourism Hotels and its competitors. National for Tourism Hotels's current Beneish M-Score is -1.61. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is National for Tourism Hotels stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, National for Tourism Hotels (ADX:NCTH) is currently considered Significantly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is د.إ3.56, compared to a current price of د.إ1.48 — trading 58.4% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -1.61. National for Tourism Hotels' overall GF Score™ is 68/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For National for Tourism Hotels (ADX:NCTH), the current Beneish M-Score is -1.61 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is National for Tourism Hotels (ADX:NCTH) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, National for Tourism Hotels stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of د.إ1.48 is trading 58.4% below its estimated GF Value™ of د.إ3.56. GuruFocus considers National for Tourism Hotels to be Significantly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for ADX:NCTH:

  • Beneish M-Score: -1.61
  • GF Value™: د.إ3.56 vs. price of د.إ1.48 (58.4% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 68/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the ADX:NCTH stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


National for Tourism Hotels Business Description

Address Airport Road, P.O. Box 6942, Abu Dhabi, ARE
National Corp for Tourism Hotels owns, manages, and invests in hotels and leisure complexes. The company operates through four main segments: Hotels, which provide room and food and beverage services to customers; Retail services, offering beverage sales to customers; Catering services, which deliver contract-based catering solutions; and Holding, responsible for managing the corporation's investments, overseeing hotel development and management, and coordinating overall corporate activities. It generates maximum revenue from the Catering Services segment. Geographically, it operates only in the United Arab Emirates (UAE).
68GF Score

Get the complete analysis for ADX:NCTH

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

د.إ1.48
Price
د.إ3.56
GF Value