AGZNF (Aegean Airlines) Beneish M-Score: -4.56 (As of Jun. 25, 2026)


AGZNF Aegean Airlines SA AGZNF
73 GF Score
Price $14.20
GF Value $17.05
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 6 Warning Signs
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What is Aegean Airlines Beneish M-Score?

Aegean Airlines AGZNF 73 Beneish M-Score is -4.56 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates AGZNF with a GF Score™ of 73/100 and a GF Value™ of $17.05 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 966 Transportation companies, Aegean Airlines ranks better than 97.83% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -4.56 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Aegean Airlines's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

AGZNF' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.56   Med: -2.8   Max: 3.44
Current: -4.56

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Aegean Airlines was 3.44. The lowest was -4.56. And the median was -2.80.


Aegean Airlines Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Aegean Airlines's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Aegean Airlines Beneish M-Score Chart

Aegean Airlines Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.45 3.44 -3.56 -1.78 -4.56

Aegean Airlines Semi-Annual Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.56 0.00 -1.78 0.00 -4.56

AGZNF vs DAL, UAL, LUV: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Airlines subindustry, Aegean Airlines's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Aegean Airlines Beneish M-Score vs Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Aegean Airlines's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Aegean Airlines's Beneish M-Score falls into.


AGZNF
73GF Score
Aegean Airlines SA AGZNF
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Aegean Airlines Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Aegean Airlines for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.1397+0.528 * -2.7633+0.404 * 0.8571+0.892 * 1.1676+0.115 * 0.9419
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * -0.042894-0.327 * 0.9834
=-4.45

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was $220 Mil.
Revenue was $1,958 Mil.
Gross Profit was $-11 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,503 Mil.
Total Assets was $3,763 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $1,931 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $219 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,321 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $1,509 Mil.
Net Income was $173 Mil.
Gross Profit was $0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was $335 Mil.
Total Receivables was $165 Mil.
Revenue was $1,677 Mil.
Gross Profit was $25 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,083 Mil.
Total Assets was $3,010 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $1,619 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $172 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $942 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $1,359 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(219.564 / 1957.845) / (165.007 / 1676.875)
=0.112146 / 0.098401
=1.1397

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(25.073 / 1676.875) / (-10.593 / 1957.845)
=0.014952 / -0.005411
=-2.7633

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1502.553 + 1930.633) / 3762.827) / (1 - (1082.89 + 1619.321) / 3009.852)
=0.087605 / 0.102211
=0.8571

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1957.845 / 1676.875
=1.1676

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(171.504 / (171.504 + 1619.321)) / (218.514 / (218.514 + 1930.633))
=0.095768 / 0.101675
=0.9419

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 1957.845) / (0 / 1676.875)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1509.288 + 1320.649) / 3762.827) / ((1359.443 + 942.499) / 3009.852)
=0.752077 / 0.764802
=0.9834

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(173.118 - 0 - 334.519) / 3762.827
=-0.042894

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Aegean Airlines has a M-score of -4.45 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -4.56 mean?
Aegean Airlines (AGZNF) has a Beneish M-Score of -4.56 as of Jun. 25, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Aegean Airlines and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Aegean Airlines ranks #21 out of 966 companies in the Transportation industry, placing it in the top 2.2%.
Is Aegean Airlines' Beneish M-Score too high?
Aegean Airlines' current Beneish M-Score is -4.56. Based on the distribution chart, Aegean Airlines ranks #21 out of 966 companies in the Transportation industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Aegean Airlines has a GF Score™ of 73/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Aegean Airlines' Beneish M-Score compare to DAL and UAL?
According to the Transportation industry distribution chart, Aegean Airlines ranks #21 out of 966 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Aegean Airlines in the top 2% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Transportation company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Transportation industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Aegean Airlines and its competitors. Aegean Airlines's current Beneish M-Score is -4.56. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Aegean Airlines stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Aegean Airlines (AGZNF) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $17.05, compared to a current price of $14.20 — trading 16.7% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -4.56. Aegean Airlines' overall GF Score™ is 73/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Aegean Airlines (AGZNF), the current Beneish M-Score is -4.56 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Aegean Airlines (AGZNF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Aegean Airlines stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $14.20 is trading 16.7% below its estimated GF Value™ of $17.05. GuruFocus considers Aegean Airlines to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for AGZNF:

  • Beneish M-Score: -4.56
  • GF Value™: $17.05 vs. price of $14.20 (16.7% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 73/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the AGZNF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Aegean Airlines Business Description

Address Athens International Airport, Building 57, Spata Attiki, Athens, GRC, 19019
Aegean Airlines SA is Greece's airline provider. The company generates revenue from Scheduled flights, Chartered flights, and others. The company generates maximum revenue from Scheduled flights. Additionally, it offers services related to air transportation, technical support, and ground-handling amenities. Approximately half of total passenger traffic derives from routes within Greece.
73GF Score

Get the complete analysis for AGZNF

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$14.20
Price
$17.05
GF Value