AHKSY (Asahi Kasei) Beneish M-Score: -2.60 (As of Jun. 28, 2026)


AHKSY Asahi Kasei Corp AHKSY
75 GF Score
Price $22.36
GF Value $14.76
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 8 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Asahi Kasei Beneish M-Score?

Asahi Kasei AHKSY +1.96% 75 Beneish M-Score is -2.60 as of Jun. 28, 2026. GuruFocus rates AHKSY with a GF Score™ of 75/100 and a GF Value™ of $14.76 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review. Among 536 Conglomerates companies, Asahi Kasei ranks better than 62.5% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.6 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Asahi Kasei's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

AHKSY' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.76   Med: -2.59   Max: -2.26
Current: -2.6

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Asahi Kasei was -2.26. The lowest was -2.76. And the median was -2.59.


Asahi Kasei Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Asahi Kasei's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Asahi Kasei Beneish M-Score Chart

Asahi Kasei Annual Data
Trend Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.26 -2.74 -2.73 -2.70 -2.60

Asahi Kasei Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 -2.60

AHKSY vs HON, MMM: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Conglomerates subindustry, Asahi Kasei's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Asahi Kasei Beneish M-Score vs Conglomerates Industry

For the Conglomerates industry and Industrials sector, Asahi Kasei's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Asahi Kasei's Beneish M-Score falls into.


AHKSY
75GF Score
Asahi Kasei Corp AHKSY
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Asahi Kasei Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Asahi Kasei for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0329+0.528 * 0.9617+0.404 * 0.9603+0.892 * 0.9508+0.115 * 0.9913
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * -0.034875-0.327 * 0.8775
=-2.65

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was $3,238 Mil.
Revenue was $19,375 Mil.
Gross Profit was $6,356 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $11,755 Mil.
Total Assets was $26,077 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $6,057 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $1,237 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $4,998 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $5,495 Mil.
Net Income was $1,001 Mil.
Gross Profit was $0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was $1,910 Mil.
Total Receivables was $3,297 Mil.
Revenue was $20,377 Mil.
Gross Profit was $6,429 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $11,871 Mil.
Total Assets was $26,937 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $6,176 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $1,249 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $6,471 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $5,882 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(3237.952 / 19375.174) / (3296.806 / 20376.767)
=0.167119 / 0.161792
=1.0329

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(6428.79 / 20376.767) / (6356.03 / 19375.174)
=0.315496 / 0.32805
=0.9617

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (11755.264 + 6056.621) / 26076.838) / (1 - (11870.901 + 6176.21) / 26937.332)
=0.316946 / 0.330033
=0.9603

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=19375.174 / 20376.767
=0.9508

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1248.551 / (1248.551 + 6176.21)) / (1237.337 / (1237.337 + 6056.621))
=0.16816 / 0.169639
=0.9913

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 19375.174) / (0 / 20376.767)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((5495.004 + 4998.295) / 26076.838) / ((5881.934 + 6471.378) / 26937.332)
=0.402399 / 0.458594
=0.8775

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(1000.701 - 0 - 1910.126) / 26076.838
=-0.034875

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Asahi Kasei has a M-score of -2.65 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.60 mean?
Asahi Kasei (AHKSY) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.60 as of Jun. 28, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Asahi Kasei and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Asahi Kasei ranks #201 out of 536 companies in the Conglomerates industry, placing it in the top 37.5%.
Is Asahi Kasei's Beneish M-Score too high?
Asahi Kasei's current Beneish M-Score is -2.60. Based on the distribution chart, Asahi Kasei ranks #201 out of 536 companies in the Conglomerates industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Asahi Kasei has a GF Score™ of 75/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Asahi Kasei's Beneish M-Score compare to HON and MMM?
According to the Conglomerates industry distribution chart, Asahi Kasei ranks #201 out of 536 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Asahi Kasei in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Conglomerates company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Conglomerates industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Asahi Kasei and its competitors. Asahi Kasei's current Beneish M-Score is -2.60. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Asahi Kasei stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Asahi Kasei (AHKSY) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $14.76, compared to a current price of $22.36 — trading 51.5% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.60. Asahi Kasei's overall GF Score™ is 75/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Asahi Kasei (AHKSY), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.60 as of Jun. 28, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Asahi Kasei (AHKSY) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Asahi Kasei stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $22.36 is trading 51.5% above its estimated GF Value™ of $14.76. GuruFocus considers Asahi Kasei to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for AHKSY:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.60
  • GF Value™: $14.76 vs. price of $22.36 (51.5% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 75/100 with 8 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the AHKSY stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Asahi Kasei Business Description

Address 1-1-2 Yurakucho, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 100-0006
Asahi Kasei Corp is a Japanese industrial conglomerate mainly engaged in materials, housing, and healthcare businesses. The Health Care segment covers pharmaceuticals, healthcare, and critical care. The Housing segment includes housing and building materials businesses. The Material segment consists of environmental solutions, mobility & industry, AL business, and life innovation, such as digital solutions and comfort life. The Others segment includes plant and environmental engineering, research and information services, as well as staffing and placement businesses. It generates the majority of its revenue from the Material segment.
75GF Score

Get the complete analysis for AHKSY

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$22.36
Price
$14.76
GF Value