AIAGY (Aurubis AG) Beneish M-Score: -2.63 (As of Jun. 25, 2026)


AIAGY Aurubis AG AIAGY
69 GF Score
Price $106.80
GF Value $56.79
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 8 Warning Signs
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What is Aurubis AG Beneish M-Score?

Aurubis AG AIAGY -4.60% 69 Beneish M-Score is -2.63 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates AIAGY with a GF Score™ of 69/100 and a GF Value™ of $56.79 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review. Among 2,926 Industrial Products companies, Aurubis AG ranks better than 66.37% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.63 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Aurubis AG's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

AIAGY' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.83   Med: -2.49   Max: -1.82
Current: -2.63

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Aurubis AG was -1.82. The lowest was -2.83. And the median was -2.49.


Aurubis AG Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Aurubis AG's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Aurubis AG Beneish M-Score Chart

Aurubis AG Annual Data
Trend Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23 Sep24 Sep25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.50 -1.89 -2.65 -2.67 -2.63

Aurubis AG Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 -2.63 0.00 0.00

AIAGY vs ATI, CRS, MLI: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Metal Fabrication subindustry, Aurubis AG's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Aurubis AG Beneish M-Score vs Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Aurubis AG's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Aurubis AG's Beneish M-Score falls into.


AIAGY
69GF Score
Aurubis AG AIAGY
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Aurubis AG Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Aurubis AG for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9253+0.528 * 0.9604+0.404 * 0.8569+0.892 * 1.1213+0.115 * 1.0681
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.903+4.679 * -0.015614-0.327 * 1.0375
=-2.58

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep25) TTM:Last Year (Sep24) TTM:
Total Receivables was $734 Mil.
Revenue was $21,329 Mil.
Gross Profit was $2,168 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $6,153 Mil.
Total Assets was $10,373 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $3,862 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $273 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $370 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $2,784 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $567 Mil.
Net Income was $633 Mil.
Gross Profit was $0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was $795 Mil.
Total Receivables was $707 Mil.
Revenue was $19,021 Mil.
Gross Profit was $1,857 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $5,261 Mil.
Total Assets was $8,708 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $3,095 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $235 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $365 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $2,451 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $261 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(733.568 / 21328.638) / (706.992 / 19021.088)
=0.034394 / 0.037169
=0.9253

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1856.826 / 19021.088) / (2167.84 / 21328.638)
=0.097619 / 0.10164
=0.9604

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (6152.582 + 3861.502) / 10373.239) / (1 - (5260.821 + 3095.45) / 8708.102)
=0.034623 / 0.040403
=0.8569

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=21328.638 / 19021.088
=1.1213

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(235.294 / (235.294 + 3095.45)) / (273.474 / (273.474 + 3861.502))
=0.070643 / 0.066137
=1.0681

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(369.718 / 21328.638) / (365.15 / 19021.088)
=0.017334 / 0.019197
=0.903

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((566.901 + 2784.038) / 10373.239) / ((260.821 + 2450.61) / 8708.102)
=0.323037 / 0.311369
=1.0375

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(632.629 - 0 - 794.601) / 10373.239
=-0.015614

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Aurubis AG has a M-score of -2.58 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.63 mean?
Aurubis AG (AIAGY) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.63 as of Jun. 25, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Aurubis AG and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Aurubis AG ranks #984 out of 2926 companies in the Industrial Products industry, placing it in the top 33.6%.
Is Aurubis AG's Beneish M-Score too high?
Aurubis AG's current Beneish M-Score is -2.63. Based on the distribution chart, Aurubis AG ranks #984 out of 2926 companies in the Industrial Products industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Aurubis AG has a GF Score™ of 69/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Aurubis AG's Beneish M-Score compare to ATI and CRS?
According to the Industrial Products industry distribution chart, Aurubis AG ranks #984 out of 2926 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Aurubis AG in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Industrial Products company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Industrial Products industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Aurubis AG and its competitors. Aurubis AG's current Beneish M-Score is -2.63. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Aurubis AG stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Aurubis AG (AIAGY) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $56.79, compared to a current price of $106.80 — trading 88.1% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.63. Aurubis AG's overall GF Score™ is 69/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Aurubis AG (AIAGY), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.63 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Aurubis AG (AIAGY) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Aurubis AG stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $106.80 is trading 88.1% above its estimated GF Value™ of $56.79. GuruFocus considers Aurubis AG to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for AIAGY:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.63
  • GF Value™: $56.79 vs. price of $106.80 (88.1% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 69/100 with 8 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the AIAGY stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Aurubis AG Business Description

Address Hovestrasse 50, Hamburg, BY, DEU, 20539
Aurubis AG produces copper, using raw materials which include copper concentrates and recycling materials. The company also produces precious metals such as gold and silver and a range of other products, including sulfuric acid and iron silicate, as byproducts of copper production. Revenue is predominantly generated through the sale of continuous cast wire rods, copper cathodes, precious metals, and continuous cast shapes, used in the manufacture of cables and wires, which are used in electrical applications. It has two segments, Multimetal Recycling and Custom Smelting & Products, which is the key revenue-generating segment. The company is based in Germany and has production sites across Europe and the United States.
69GF Score

Get the complete analysis for AIAGY

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$106.80
Price
$56.79
GF Value