Arab Potash Co (AMM:APOT) Beneish M-Score: -2.60 (As of Jul. 25, 2026)

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AMM:APOT Arab Potash Co Ltd AMM:APOT
82 GF Score
Price JOD40.14
GF Value JOD28.35
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Arab Potash Co Beneish M-Score?

Arab Potash Co AMM:APOT +0.05% 82 Beneish M-Score is -2.60 as of Jul. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates AMM:APOT with a GF Score™ of 82/100 and a GF Value™ of JOD28.35 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 243 Agriculture companies, Arab Potash Co ranks better than 67.08% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.6 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Arab Potash Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

AMM:APOT' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.05   Med: -2.3   Max: -1.03
Current: -2.6

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Arab Potash Co was -1.03. The lowest was -3.05. And the median was -2.30.


Arab Potash Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Arab Potash Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Arab Potash Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Arab Potash Co Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.15 -1.51 -2.54 -2.63 -1.96

Arab Potash Co Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.20 -2.53 -2.60 -1.96 -2.60

AMM:APOT vs CTVA, CF, MOS: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Agricultural Inputs subindustry, Arab Potash Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Arab Potash Co Beneish M-Score vs Agriculture Industry

For the Agriculture industry and Basic Materials sector, Arab Potash Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Arab Potash Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


AMM:APOT
82GF Score
Arab Potash Co Ltd AMM:APOT
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Arab Potash Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Arab Potash Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9649+0.528 * 0.8353+0.404 * 1.0719+0.892 * 1.1855+0.115 * 0.8967
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.2941+4.679 * -0.011293-0.327 * 1.2422
=-2.60

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was JOD161.8 Mil.
Revenue was 205.744 + 190.994 + 203.818 + 170.054 = JOD770.6 Mil.
Gross Profit was 109.753 + 98.814 + 101.061 + 75.019 = JOD384.6 Mil.
Total Current Assets was JOD896.8 Mil.
Total Assets was JOD2,192.0 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was JOD855.8 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was JOD81.7 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was JOD26.6 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was JOD191.5 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was JOD0.8 Mil.
Net Income was 60.224 + 46.202 + 64.102 + 15.634 = JOD186.2 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = JOD0.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 75.44 + -15.969 + 100.11 + 51.336 = JOD210.9 Mil.
Total Receivables was JOD141.4 Mil.
Revenue was 160.713 + 142.07 + 183.886 + 163.385 = JOD650.1 Mil.
Gross Profit was 70.073 + 50.869 + 77.409 + 72.682 = JOD271.0 Mil.
Total Current Assets was JOD791.7 Mil.
Total Assets was JOD2,057.2 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was JOD880.8 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was JOD74.7 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was JOD17.3 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was JOD144.6 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was JOD0.7 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(161.788 / 770.61) / (141.439 / 650.054)
=0.209948 / 0.21758
=0.9649

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(271.033 / 650.054) / (384.647 / 770.61)
=0.416939 / 0.499146
=0.8353

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (896.805 + 855.78) / 2192.046) / (1 - (791.677 + 880.754) / 2057.212)
=0.20048 / 0.18704
=1.0719

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=770.61 / 650.054
=1.1855

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(74.701 / (74.701 + 880.754)) / (81.738 / (81.738 + 855.78))
=0.078184 / 0.087186
=0.8967

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(26.587 / 770.61) / (17.331 / 650.054)
=0.034501 / 0.026661
=1.2941

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((0.836 + 191.535) / 2192.046) / ((0.708 + 144.632) / 2057.212)
=0.087759 / 0.070649
=1.2422

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(186.162 - 0 - 210.917) / 2192.046
=-0.011293

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Arab Potash Co has a M-score of -2.60 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.60 mean?
Arab Potash Co (AMM:APOT) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.60 as of Jul. 25, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Arab Potash Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Arab Potash Co ranks #80 out of 243 companies in the Agriculture industry, placing it in the top 32.9%.
Is Arab Potash Co's Beneish M-Score too high?
Arab Potash Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.60. Based on the distribution chart, Arab Potash Co ranks #80 out of 243 companies in the Agriculture industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Arab Potash Co has a GF Score™ of 82/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Arab Potash Co's Beneish M-Score compare to CTVA and CF?
According to the Agriculture industry distribution chart, Arab Potash Co ranks #80 out of 243 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Arab Potash Co in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Agriculture company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Agriculture industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Arab Potash Co and its competitors. Arab Potash Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.60. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Arab Potash Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Arab Potash Co (AMM:APOT) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is JOD28.35, compared to a current price of JOD40.14 — trading 41.6% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.60. Arab Potash Co's overall GF Score™ is 82/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Arab Potash Co (AMM:APOT), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.60 as of Jul. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Arab Potash Co (AMM:APOT) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Arab Potash Co stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of JOD40.14 is trading 41.6% above its estimated GF Value™ of JOD28.35. GuruFocus considers Arab Potash Co to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for AMM:APOT:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.60
  • GF Value™: JOD28.35 vs. price of JOD40.14 (41.6% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 82/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the AMM:APOT stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Arab Potash Co Business Description

Address Al Shmeisani - Al Jaheth Street, P.0. Box 1470, Amman, JOR, 11118
Arab Potash Co Ltd produces potash, potassium nitrate, and other derivatives. Its segments consist of Producing potash and Salt through Arab Potash Company, producing potassium nitrate and dicalcium phosphate through Arab Fertilizers and Chemical Industries, and Producing mixed salts and mud through Numeira Mixed Salts and Mud Company. Its sales are spread across China and India, the Far and Middle East, Africa, Europe, Canada, America, and Australia. The majority of the revenue comes from the china and India.
82GF Score

Get the complete analysis for AMM:APOT

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

JOD40.14
Price
JOD28.35
GF Value