ARZTY (Aryzta AG) Beneish M-Score: -2.81 (As of Jun. 24, 2026)


ARZTY Aryzta AG ARZTY
60 GF Score
Price $7.49
GF Value $8.98
! 3 Warning Signs
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What is Aryzta AG Beneish M-Score?

Aryzta AG ARZTY 60 Beneish M-Score is -2.81 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus rates ARZTY with a GF Score™ of 60/100 and a GF Value™ of $8.98. The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,849 Consumer Packaged Goods companies, Aryzta AG ranks better than 73.99% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.81 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Aryzta AG's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ARZTY' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.68   Med: -2.99   Max: -2.51
Current: -2.81

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Aryzta AG was -2.51. The lowest was -3.68. And the median was -2.99.


Aryzta AG Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Aryzta AG's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Aryzta AG Beneish M-Score Chart

Aryzta AG Annual Data
Trend Jul16 Jul17 Jul18 Jul19 Jul20 Jul21 Jul22 Jul23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.33 -3.02 -2.76 -3.17 -2.81

Aryzta AG Semi-Annual Data
Jan16 Jul16 Jan17 Jul17 Jan18 Jul18 Jan19 Jul19 Jan20 Jul20 Jan21 Jul21 Jan22 Jul22 Jan23 Jul23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.76 0.00 -3.17 0.00 -2.81

ARZTY vs KHC, GIS, JBS: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Aryzta AG's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Aryzta AG Beneish M-Score vs Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Aryzta AG's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Aryzta AG's Beneish M-Score falls into.


ARZTY
60GF Score
Aryzta AG ARZTY
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Aryzta AG Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Aryzta AG for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9649+0.528 * 1.0611+0.404 * 0.9716+0.892 * 1.1329+0.115 * 1.0144
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9704+4.679 * -0.076955-0.327 * 0.9378
=-2.71

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was $143 Mil.
Revenue was $2,603 Mil.
Gross Profit was $525 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $394 Mil.
Total Assets was $2,212 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $1,057 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $156 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $321 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $674 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $795 Mil.
Net Income was $131 Mil.
Gross Profit was $0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was $302 Mil.
Total Receivables was $130 Mil.
Revenue was $2,298 Mil.
Gross Profit was $491 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $379 Mil.
Total Assets was $2,001 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $912 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $137 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $292 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $596 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $822 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(142.506 / 2603.396) / (130.366 / 2297.906)
=0.054739 / 0.056733
=0.9649

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(491.309 / 2297.906) / (524.59 / 2603.396)
=0.213807 / 0.201502
=1.0611

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (393.677 + 1056.909) / 2212.412) / (1 - (379.476 + 912.356) / 2001.047)
=0.344342 / 0.354422
=0.9716

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=2603.396 / 2297.906
=1.1329

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(137.068 / (137.068 + 912.356)) / (156.206 / (156.206 + 1056.909))
=0.130613 / 0.128764
=1.0144

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(321.429 / 2603.396) / (292.356 / 2297.906)
=0.123465 / 0.127227
=0.9704

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((795.433 + 674.473) / 2212.412) / ((821.571 + 596.126) / 2001.047)
=0.664391 / 0.708478
=0.9378

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(131.499 - 0 - 301.756) / 2212.412
=-0.076955

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Aryzta AG has a M-score of -2.71 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.81 mean?
Aryzta AG (ARZTY) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.81 as of Jun. 24, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Aryzta AG and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Aryzta AG ranks #481 out of 1849 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, placing it in the top 26%.
Is Aryzta AG's Beneish M-Score too high?
Aryzta AG's current Beneish M-Score is -2.81. Based on the distribution chart, Aryzta AG ranks #481 out of 1849 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Aryzta AG has a GF Score™ of 60/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Aryzta AG's Beneish M-Score compare to KHC and GIS?
According to the Consumer Packaged Goods industry distribution chart, Aryzta AG ranks #481 out of 1849 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Aryzta AG in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Consumer Packaged Goods company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Consumer Packaged Goods industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Aryzta AG and its competitors. Aryzta AG's current Beneish M-Score is -2.81. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Aryzta AG stock overvalued right now?
Aryzta AG (ARZTY) has a current Beneish M-Score of -2.81. The stock's GF Value™ is $8.98, compared to a current price of $7.49 — trading 16.6% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.81. Aryzta AG's overall GF Score™ is 60/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Aryzta AG (ARZTY), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.81 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Aryzta AG (ARZTY) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Aryzta AG stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $7.49 is trading 16.6% below its estimated GF Value™ of $8.98.

Key valuation signals for ARZTY:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.81
  • GF Value™: $8.98 vs. price of $7.49 (16.6% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 60/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the ARZTY stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Aryzta AG Business Description

Address Ifangstrasse 9, Schlieren, CHE, 8952
Aryzta AG is an international specialist food company. Geographically, it has a presence in Switzerland, Germany, France, and other countries. By product segment, Bread Rolls & Artisan Loaves is the substantial segment, followed by Sweet Baked & Morning Goods, and Savoury & Other. The company has two operating and reporting segments, ARYZTA Europe and ARYZTA Rest of World, which comprise the continuing operations of the Group. The company'sdaily products are developed as per the Nutri-Score nutritional rating system, helping consumers by reducing intake of fat, sugar and salt while increasing protein, fibre and unsaturated fats.
60GF Score

Get the complete analysis for ARZTY

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$7.49
Price
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