Alpha HPA (ASX:A4N) Beneish M-Score: 2.30 (As of Jun. 25, 2026)

What is Alpha HPA Beneish M-Score?

Alpha HPA ASX:A4N -5.48% 33 Beneish M-Score is 2.30 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates ASX:A4N with a GF Score™ of 33/100. The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 685 Metals & Mining companies, Alpha HPA ranks worse than 91.68% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score 2.3 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Alpha HPA's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ASX:A4N' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.67 Med: -0.68 Max: 2.3
Current: 2.3

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Alpha HPA was 2.30. The lowest was -3.67. And the median was -0.68.

Alpha HPA Beneish M-Score Related Terms

Alpha HPA Beneish M-Score Historical Data

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The historical data trend for Alpha HPA's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Alpha HPA Beneish M-Score Chart

Alpha HPA Annual Data

Trend

Jun16

Jun17

Jun18

Jun19

Jun20

Jun21

Jun22

Jun23

Jun24

Jun25

Beneish M-Score

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0.00

-3.67

-0.68

2.30

Alpha HPA Semi-Annual Data
	Jun16	Dec16	Jun17	Dec17	Jun18	Dec18	Jun19	Dec19	Jun20	Dec20	Jun21	Dec21	Jun22	Dec22	Jun23	Dec23	Jun24	Dec24	Jun25	Dec25
Beneish M-Score	Get a 7-Day Free Trial															0.00	-0.68	0.00	2.30	0.00

ASX:A4N vs AA, CENX, CSTM: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Aluminum subindustry, Alpha HPA's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Alpha HPA Beneish M-Score vs Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Alpha HPA's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Alpha HPA's Beneish M-Score falls into.

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33GF Score

Alpha HPA Ltd ASX:A4N

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.

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Alpha HPA Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Alpha HPA for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

-4.84

0.92 * DSRI

0.528 * GMI

0.404 * AQI

0.892 * SGI

0.115 * DEPI

-4.84

0.92 * 0.2428

0.528 * 1

0.404 * 2.5894

0.892 * 7.2273

0.115 * 1.2356

0.172 * SGAI

4.679 * TATA

0.327 * LVGI

0.172 * 0.2257

4.679 * -0.067212

0.327 * 2.7402

2.30

This Year (Jun25) TTM:

Last Year (Jun24) TTM:

Total Receivables was A$14.01 Mil.
Revenue was A$0.32 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$0.32 Mil.
Total Current Assets was A$134.30 Mil.
Total Assets was A$283.37 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was A$125.50 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was A$3.33 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was A$26.82 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was A$50.57 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was A$0.33 Mil.
Net Income was A$-32.56 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$4.73 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was A$-18.24 Mil.

Total Receivables was A$7.99 Mil.
Revenue was A$0.04 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$0.04 Mil.
Total Current Assets was A$201.43 Mil.
Total Assets was A$269.54 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was A$59.45 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was A$1.96 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was A$16.44 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was A$14.44 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was A$3.23 Mil.

1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI	=	(Receivables_t / Revenue_t)	/	(Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
	=	(14.011 / 0.318)	/	(7.985 / 0.044)
	=	44.059748	/	181.477273
	=	0.2428

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI	=	GrossMargin_t-1	/	GrossMargin_t
	=	(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)	/	(GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
	=	(0.044 / 0.044)	/	(0.318 / 0.318)
	=	1	/	1
	=	1

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI	=	(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t)	/	(1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
	=	(1 - (134.297 + 125.504) / 283.371)	/	(1 - (201.428 + 59.451) / 269.537)
	=	0.083177	/	0.032122
	=	2.5894

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI	=	Sales_t	/	Sales_t-1
	=	Revenue_t	/	Revenue_t-1
	=	0.318	/	0.044
	=	7.2273

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI	=	(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1))	/	(Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
	=	(1.959 / (1.959 + 59.451))	/	(3.326 / (3.326 + 125.504))
	=	0.0319	/	0.025817
	=	1.2356

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI	=	(SGA_t / Sales_t)	/	(SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
	=	(26.823 / 0.318)	/	(16.442 / 0.044)
	=	84.349057	/	373.681818
	=	0.2257

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI	=	((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t)	/	((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
	=	((0.332 + 50.566) / 283.371)	/	((3.233 + 14.435) / 269.537)
	=	0.179616	/	0.065549
	=	2.7402

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA	=	(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t	-	CashFlowsfromOperations_t)	/	TotalAssets_t
	=	(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t	-	CashFlowsfromOperations_t)	/	TotalAssets_t
	=	(-32.555 - 4.727	-	-18.236)	/	283.371
	=	-0.067212

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Alpha HPA has a M-score of 2.30 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →

What does a Beneish M-Score of 2.30 mean?

Alpha HPA (ASX:A4N) has a Beneish M-Score of 2.30 as of Jun. 25, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Alpha HPA and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Alpha HPA ranks #628 out of 685 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, placing it in the top 91.7%.

Is Alpha HPA's Beneish M-Score too high?

Alpha HPA's current Beneish M-Score is 2.30. Based on the distribution chart, Alpha HPA ranks #628 out of 685 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Alpha HPA has a GF Score™ of 33/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.

How does Alpha HPA's Beneish M-Score compare to AA and CENX?

According to the Metals & Mining industry distribution chart, Alpha HPA ranks #628 out of 685 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Alpha HPA in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.

What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Metals & Mining company?

A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Metals & Mining industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.

What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?

A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Alpha HPA and its competitors. Alpha HPA's current Beneish M-Score is 2.30. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.

Is Alpha HPA stock overvalued right now?

Alpha HPA (ASX:A4N) has a current Beneish M-Score of 2.30. The current Beneish M-Score is 2.30. Alpha HPA's overall GF Score™ is 33/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.

How is Beneish M-Score calculated?

Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Alpha HPA (ASX:A4N), the current Beneish M-Score is 2.30 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Alpha HPA Business Description

Industry Basic Materials Metals & Mining

Comparable Companies ASX:AEM ASX:CAA ASX:VBX ASX:ABX SZSE:002379 HKSE:01378 SHSE:601600 NSE:HINDALCO OSL:NHY AA XKLS:8869 SZSE:000807 SZSE:002532 SZSE:000933 SHSE:600219 BOM:532234 CENX HKSE:02788 CSTM SHSE:600595

Other Exchanges 3AU:Germany

Address 66 Hunter Street, Level 2, Sydney, NSW, AUS, 2000

Website https://www.alphahpa.com.au

Alpha HPA Ltd is an Australian metals and technology company. It is engaged in producing ultra-high purity alumina (HPA) and related aluminium materials through its proprietary solvent extraction (SX) and refining technology. The group's product offerings include a range of ultra-high purity aluminium oxides, hydroxides, and nitrates suitable for various high technology industries, including technical ceramics, LED lighting, synthetic sapphire, semiconductors, specialty catalysts, Direct Lithium Extraction (DLE) technology, and lithium-ion battery markets, among others. It has two reportable segments being the development of the HPA First Project, which generates maximum revenue, and the Alpha Sapphire Project.

33GF Score

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