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Aurizon Holdings (ASX:AZJ) Beneish M-Score : -3.24 (As of Dec. 11, 2024)


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What is Aurizon Holdings Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.24 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Aurizon Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ASX:AZJ' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.24   Med: -2.82   Max: -2.28
Current: -3.24

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Aurizon Holdings was -2.28. The lowest was -3.24. And the median was -2.82.


Aurizon Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Aurizon Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Aurizon Holdings Beneish M-Score Chart

Aurizon Holdings Annual Data
Trend Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23 Jun24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.82 -2.76 -3.02 -2.28 -3.24

Aurizon Holdings Semi-Annual Data
Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.02 - -2.28 - -3.24

Competitive Comparison of Aurizon Holdings's Beneish M-Score

For the Railroads subindustry, Aurizon Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Aurizon Holdings's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Aurizon Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Aurizon Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Aurizon Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Aurizon Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.7204+0.528 * 0.9978+0.404 * 0.8415+0.892 * 1.0925+0.115 * 0.9641
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.018+4.679 * -0.111504-0.327 * 0.97
=-3.24

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jun24) TTM:Last Year (Jun23) TTM:
Total Receivables was A$573 Mil.
Revenue was A$3,756 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$3,174 Mil.
Total Current Assets was A$991 Mil.
Total Assets was A$11,596 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was A$10,153 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was A$707 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was A$1,081 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was A$1,726 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was A$3,943 Mil.
Net Income was A$406 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$83 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was A$1,616 Mil.
Total Receivables was A$728 Mil.
Revenue was A$3,438 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$2,899 Mil.
Total Current Assets was A$1,193 Mil.
Total Assets was A$11,679 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was A$9,945 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was A$666 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was A$972 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was A$1,310 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was A$4,576 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(573 / 3756) / (728 / 3438)
=0.152556 / 0.211751
=0.7204

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(2899 / 3438) / (3174 / 3756)
=0.843223 / 0.845048
=0.9978

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (991 + 10153) / 11596) / (1 - (1193 + 9945) / 11679)
=0.038979 / 0.046322
=0.8415

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=3756 / 3438
=1.0925

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(666 / (666 + 9945)) / (707 / (707 + 10153))
=0.062765 / 0.065101
=0.9641

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1081 / 3756) / (972 / 3438)
=0.287806 / 0.282723
=1.018

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((3943 + 1726) / 11596) / ((4576 + 1310) / 11679)
=0.488875 / 0.503982
=0.97

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(406 - 83 - 1616) / 11596
=-0.111504

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Aurizon Holdings has a M-score of -3.24 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Aurizon Holdings Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Aurizon Holdings Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
900 Ann Street, Level 8, Fortitude Valley, Brisbane, QLD, AUS, 4006
Aurizon operates rail haulage of coal, iron ore, and freight, and owns a regulated rail network in Queensland. Coal haulage from mine to port contributes a third of operating income. The noncoal bulk segment contributes less than 15% of earnings and undertakes the rail haulage of agricultural, mining, and industrial products. The rail network, composed of 2,670 kilometers of coal rail network under a 99-year lease from the Queensland government, contributes half of earnings.

Aurizon Holdings Headlines

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