Capral (ASX:CAA) Beneish M-Score: -2.61 (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


ASX:CAA Capral Ltd ASX:CAA
75 GF Score
Price A$11.07
GF Value A$11.81
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 3 Warning Signs
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What is Capral Beneish M-Score?

Capral ASX:CAA -1.16% 75 Beneish M-Score is -2.61 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates ASX:CAA with a GF Score™ of 75/100 and a GF Value™ of A$11.81 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 685 Metals & Mining companies, Capral ranks better than 66.42% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.61 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Capral's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ASX:CAA' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.53   Med: -3.11   Max: -2.02
Current: -2.61

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Capral was -2.02. The lowest was -3.53. And the median was -3.11.


Capral Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Capral's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Capral Beneish M-Score Chart

Capral Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.02 -2.43 -3.53 -3.13 -2.61

Capral Semi-Annual Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.53 0.00 -3.13 0.00 -2.61

ASX:CAA vs AA, CENX, CSTM: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Aluminum subindustry, Capral's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Capral Beneish M-Score vs Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Capral's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Capral's Beneish M-Score falls into.


ASX:CAA
75GF Score
Capral Ltd ASX:CAA
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Capral Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Capral for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.869+0.528 * 0.8924+0.404 * 1.108+0.892 * 1.1351+0.115 * 0.9821
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9201+4.679 * -0.030176-0.327 * 0.9472
=-2.61

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was A$90.6 Mil.
Revenue was A$686.0 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$246.7 Mil.
Total Current Assets was A$329.6 Mil.
Total Assets was A$482.9 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was A$115.3 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was A$23.8 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was A$154.3 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was A$176.7 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was A$55.0 Mil.
Net Income was A$35.6 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$6.4 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was A$43.8 Mil.
Total Receivables was A$91.8 Mil.
Revenue was A$604.4 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$194.0 Mil.
Total Current Assets was A$320.8 Mil.
Total Assets was A$472.4 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was A$118.1 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was A$23.8 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was A$147.8 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was A$173.3 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was A$66.0 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(90.578 / 686.039) / (91.827 / 604.398)
=0.13203 / 0.151931
=0.869

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(194.001 / 604.398) / (246.748 / 686.039)
=0.320982 / 0.359671
=0.8924

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (329.567 + 115.293) / 482.902) / (1 - (320.766 + 118.062) / 472.416)
=0.078778 / 0.071098
=1.108

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=686.039 / 604.398
=1.1351

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(23.831 / (23.831 + 118.062)) / (23.785 / (23.785 + 115.293))
=0.16795 / 0.171019
=0.9821

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(154.349 / 686.039) / (147.789 / 604.398)
=0.224986 / 0.244523
=0.9201

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((54.972 + 176.745) / 482.902) / ((66 + 173.33) / 472.416)
=0.479843 / 0.506609
=0.9472

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(35.626 - 6.427 - 43.771) / 482.902
=-0.030176

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Capral has a M-score of -2.61 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.61 mean?
Capral (ASX:CAA) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.61 as of Jun. 26, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Capral and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Capral ranks #230 out of 685 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, placing it in the top 33.6%.
Is Capral's Beneish M-Score too high?
Capral's current Beneish M-Score is -2.61. Based on the distribution chart, Capral ranks #230 out of 685 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Capral has a GF Score™ of 75/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Capral's Beneish M-Score compare to AA and CENX?
According to the Metals & Mining industry distribution chart, Capral ranks #230 out of 685 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Capral in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Metals & Mining company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Metals & Mining industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Capral and its competitors. Capral's current Beneish M-Score is -2.61. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Capral stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Capral (ASX:CAA) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is A$11.81, compared to a current price of A$11.07 — trading 6.3% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.61. Capral's overall GF Score™ is 75/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Capral (ASX:CAA), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.61 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Capral (ASX:CAA) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Capral stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of A$11.07 is trading 6.3% below its estimated GF Value™ of A$11.81. GuruFocus considers Capral to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for ASX:CAA:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.61
  • GF Value™: A$11.81 vs. price of A$11.07 (6.3% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 75/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the ASX:CAA stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Capral Business Description

Other Exchanges CBZ:Germany
Address 71 Ashburn Road, Bundamba, QLD, AUS, 4304
Capral Ltd manufacturers and distributors of aluminum profiles. It distributes those manufactured products in addition to a small amount of bought-in products through two distribution channels. It supplies to three market segments namely Residential, Commercial, and Industrial markets through each of its distribution channels. It operates in one geographical area, Australia. The company's products include doors, showers, wardrobes, security products, internal fit-outs, other commercial building-related products, aluminum extrusions, and rolled products.
75GF Score

Get the complete analysis for ASX:CAA

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

A$11.07
Price
A$11.81
GF Value