HMC Capital (ASX:HMC) Beneish M-Score: -1.44 (As of Jun. 24, 2026)


ASX:HMC HMC Capital Ltd ASX:HMC
65 GF Score
Price A$2.95
GF Value A$14.14
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 7 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is HMC Capital Beneish M-Score?

HMC Capital ASX:HMC 65 Beneish M-Score is -1.44 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus rates ASX:HMC with a GF Score™ of 65/100 and a GF Value™ of A$14.14 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review. Among 765 REITs companies, HMC Capital ranks worse than 87.71% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.44 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for HMC Capital's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ASX:HMC' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.36   Med: -1.76   Max: -0.8
Current: -1.44

During the past 7 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of HMC Capital was -0.80. The lowest was -3.36. And the median was -1.76.


HMC Capital Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for HMC Capital's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

HMC Capital Beneish M-Score Chart

HMC Capital Annual Data
Trend Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23 Jun24 Jun25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial -3.10 -0.80 -1.76 -3.36 -1.44

HMC Capital Semi-Annual Data
Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 -3.36 0.00 -1.44 0.00

ASX:HMC vs VICI, WPC, BNL: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the REIT - Diversified subindustry, HMC Capital's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


HMC Capital Beneish M-Score vs REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, HMC Capital's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where HMC Capital's Beneish M-Score falls into.


ASX:HMC
65GF Score
HMC Capital Ltd ASX:HMC
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

HMC Capital Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of HMC Capital for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.5135+0.528 * 1+0.404 * 0.771+0.892 * 2.8878+0.115 * 1
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.7846+4.679 * -0.04939-0.327 * 0.7279
=-1.44

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jun25) TTM:Last Year (Jun24) TTM:
Total Receivables was A$43.3 Mil.
Revenue was A$234.2 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$234.2 Mil.
Total Current Assets was A$754.4 Mil.
Total Assets was A$2,180.6 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was A$17.3 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was A$0.0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was A$138.9 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was A$220.5 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was A$6.6 Mil.
Net Income was A$147.3 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$224.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was A$31.0 Mil.
Total Receivables was A$29.2 Mil.
Revenue was A$81.1 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$81.1 Mil.
Total Current Assets was A$285.7 Mil.
Total Assets was A$1,787.8 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was A$3.9 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was A$0.0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was A$61.3 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was A$253.8 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was A$2.0 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(43.3 / 234.2) / (29.2 / 81.1)
=0.184885 / 0.360049
=0.5135

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(81.1 / 81.1) / (234.2 / 234.2)
=1 / 1
=1

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (754.4 + 17.3) / 2180.6) / (1 - (285.7 + 3.9) / 1787.8)
=0.646107 / 0.838013
=0.771

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=234.2 / 81.1
=2.8878

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(0 / (0 + 3.9)) / (0 / (0 + 17.3))
=0 / 0
=1

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(138.9 / 234.2) / (61.3 / 81.1)
=0.593083 / 0.755857
=0.7846

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((6.6 + 220.5) / 2180.6) / ((2 + 253.8) / 1787.8)
=0.104146 / 0.143081
=0.7279

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(147.3 - 224 - 31) / 2180.6
=-0.04939

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

HMC Capital has a M-score of -1.44 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -1.44 mean?
HMC Capital (ASX:HMC) has a Beneish M-Score of -1.44 as of Jun. 24, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on HMC Capital and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, HMC Capital ranks #671 out of 765 companies in the REITs industry, placing it in the top 87.7%.
Is HMC Capital's Beneish M-Score too high?
HMC Capital's current Beneish M-Score is -1.44. Based on the distribution chart, HMC Capital ranks #671 out of 765 companies in the REITs industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, HMC Capital has a GF Score™ of 65/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does HMC Capital's Beneish M-Score compare to VICI and WPC?
According to the REITs industry distribution chart, HMC Capital ranks #671 out of 765 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places HMC Capital in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a REITs company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the REITs industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on HMC Capital and its competitors. HMC Capital's current Beneish M-Score is -1.44. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is HMC Capital stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, HMC Capital (ASX:HMC) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is A$14.14, compared to a current price of A$2.95 — trading 79.1% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -1.44. HMC Capital's overall GF Score™ is 65/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For HMC Capital (ASX:HMC), the current Beneish M-Score is -1.44 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is HMC Capital (ASX:HMC) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, HMC Capital stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of A$2.95 is trading 79.1% below its estimated GF Value™ of A$14.14. GuruFocus considers HMC Capital to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for ASX:HMC:

  • Beneish M-Score: -1.44
  • GF Value™: A$14.14 vs. price of A$2.95 (79.1% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 65/100 with 7 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the ASX:HMC stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


HMC Capital Business Description

Industry Real EstateREITs
Other Exchanges 8320:Germany
Address 1 Macquarie Place, Level 7, Sydney, NSW, AUS, 2000
HMC Capital Ltd is a property group focused on ownership, development, and management. The company's operating segment includes Real Estate which comprises of HMC Capital managed HomeCo Daily Needs REIT, HealthCo Healthcare and Wellness REIT, HMC Wholesale Healthcare Fund and the Last Mile Logistics Fund; Private Equity which includes the HMC Capital Partners Fund I, a high conviction strategic stakes fund; and Corporate properties which includes unallocated costs and Capital Solutions activities which includes short term investments undertaken relating to non-HMC managed funds. It generates maximum revenue from the Real Estate segment. The company portfolio comprises mainly retail and services centers.
65GF Score

Get the complete analysis for ASX:HMC

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

A$2.95
Price
A$14.14
GF Value