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Nufarm (ASX:NUF) Beneish M-Score : -2.91 (As of Dec. 12, 2024)


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What is Nufarm Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.91 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Nufarm's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ASX:NUF' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.01   Med: -2.49   Max: -2
Current: -2.91

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Nufarm was -2.00. The lowest was -3.01. And the median was -2.49.


Nufarm Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Nufarm's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Nufarm Beneish M-Score Chart

Nufarm Annual Data
Trend Jul15 Jul16 Jul17 Jul18 Jul19 Jul20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23 Sep24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.52 - -3.01 -2.00 -2.91

Nufarm Semi-Annual Data
Jul14 Jan15 Jul15 Jan16 Jul16 Jul17 Jan18 Jul18 Jan19 Jul19 Jan20 Jul20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23 Sep23 Mar24 Sep24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.01 - -2.00 - -2.91

Competitive Comparison of Nufarm's Beneish M-Score

For the Agricultural Inputs subindustry, Nufarm's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Nufarm's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Agriculture Industry

For the Agriculture industry and Basic Materials sector, Nufarm's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Nufarm's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Nufarm Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Nufarm for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0527+0.528 * 1.1741+0.404 * 1.0476+0.892 * 0.9613+0.115 * 0.9858
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0565+4.679 * -0.113698-0.327 * 1.0216
=-2.91

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep24) TTM:Last Year (Sep23) TTM:
Total Receivables was A$632 Mil.
Revenue was A$3,346 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$840 Mil.
Total Current Assets was A$2,313 Mil.
Total Assets was A$4,427 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was A$629 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was A$212 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was A$758 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was A$1,024 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was A$1,016 Mil.
Net Income was A$-6 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$25 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was A$472 Mil.
Total Receivables was A$624 Mil.
Revenue was A$3,481 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$1,026 Mil.
Total Current Assets was A$2,574 Mil.
Total Assets was A$4,625 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was A$569 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was A$188 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was A$746 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was A$873 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was A$1,213 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(631.529 / 3345.909) / (624.072 / 3480.611)
=0.188747 / 0.1793
=1.0527

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1026.37 / 3480.611) / (840.369 / 3345.909)
=0.294882 / 0.251163
=1.1741

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2312.687 + 629.221) / 4427.414) / (1 - (2574.452 + 569.332) / 4625.067)
=0.335525 / 0.320273
=1.0476

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=3345.909 / 3480.611
=0.9613

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(188.374 / (188.374 + 569.332)) / (212.188 / (212.188 + 629.221))
=0.248611 / 0.252182
=0.9858

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(757.792 / 3345.909) / (746.145 / 3480.611)
=0.226483 / 0.214372
=1.0565

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1016.311 + 1023.667) / 4427.414) / ((1213.036 + 872.988) / 4625.067)
=0.460761 / 0.451026
=1.0216

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-5.598 - 25.401 - 472.391) / 4427.414
=-0.113698

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Nufarm has a M-score of -2.91 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Nufarm Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
103-105 Pipe Road, Laverton North, Auckland, VIC, AUS, 3026
Nufarm Limited is a global crop-protection company that develops, manufactures, and sells a range of crop-protection products, including herbicides, insecticides, and fungicides. Nufarm sells its products in most of the world's major agricultural regions and operates primarily in the off-patent segment of the crop-protection market. Nufarm operates along two business lines: crop protection and seed technologies.

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