Nufarm (ASX:NUF) Beneish M-Score: -2.95 (As of Jun. 28, 2026)


ASX:NUF Nufarm Ltd ASX:NUF
58 GF Score
Price A$2.78
GF Value A$3.88
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 8 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Nufarm Beneish M-Score?

Nufarm ASX:NUF +2.58% 58 Beneish M-Score is -2.95 as of Jun. 28, 2026. GuruFocus rates ASX:NUF with a GF Score™ of 58/100 and a GF Value™ of A$3.88 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review. Among 246 Agriculture companies, Nufarm ranks better than 82.11% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.95 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Nufarm's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ASX:NUF' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.01   Med: -2.48   Max: -2
Current: -2.95

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Nufarm was -2.00. The lowest was -3.01. And the median was -2.48.


Nufarm Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Nufarm's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Nufarm Beneish M-Score Chart

Nufarm Annual Data
Trend Jul16 Jul17 Jul18 Jul19 Jul20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23 Sep24 Sep25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 -3.01 -2.00 -2.89 -2.95

Nufarm Semi-Annual Data
Jan16 Jul16 Jul17 Jan18 Jul18 Jan19 Jul19 Jan20 Jul20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23 Sep23 Mar24 Sep24 Mar25 Sep25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 -2.89 0.00 -2.95 0.00

ASX:NUF vs CTVA, CF, MOS: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Agricultural Inputs subindustry, Nufarm's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Nufarm Beneish M-Score vs Agriculture Industry

For the Agriculture industry and Basic Materials sector, Nufarm's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Nufarm's Beneish M-Score falls into.


ASX:NUF
58GF Score
Nufarm Ltd ASX:NUF
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Nufarm Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Nufarm for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9084+0.528 * 0.961+0.404 * 1.0041+0.892 * 1.0291+0.115 * 1.0737
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.1799+4.679 * -0.07171-0.327 * 1.0914
=-2.95

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep25) TTM:Last Year (Sep24) TTM:
Total Receivables was A$590 Mil.
Revenue was A$3,443 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$900 Mil.
Total Current Assets was A$2,289 Mil.
Total Assets was A$4,543 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was A$723 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was A$222 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was A$909 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was A$1,251 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was A$1,034 Mil.
Net Income was A$-165 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$-2 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was A$163 Mil.
Total Receivables was A$632 Mil.
Revenue was A$3,346 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$840 Mil.
Total Current Assets was A$2,313 Mil.
Total Assets was A$4,427 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was A$629 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was A$212 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was A$748 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was A$1,024 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was A$1,016 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(590.405 / 3443.379) / (631.529 / 3345.909)
=0.171461 / 0.188747
=0.9084

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(840.369 / 3345.909) / (899.987 / 3443.379)
=0.251163 / 0.261367
=0.961

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2289.418 + 723.095) / 4543.143) / (1 - (2312.687 + 629.221) / 4427.414)
=0.33691 / 0.335525
=1.0041

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=3443.379 / 3345.909
=1.0291

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(212.188 / (212.188 + 629.221)) / (221.971 / (221.971 + 723.095))
=0.252182 / 0.234874
=1.0737

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(908.726 / 3443.379) / (748.357 / 3345.909)
=0.263905 / 0.223663
=1.1799

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1033.791 + 1250.797) / 4543.143) / ((1016.311 + 1023.667) / 4427.414)
=0.502865 / 0.460761
=1.0914

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-165.319 - -2.294 - 162.765) / 4543.143
=-0.07171

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Nufarm has a M-score of -2.95 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.95 mean?
Nufarm (ASX:NUF) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.95 as of Jun. 28, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Nufarm and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Nufarm ranks #44 out of 246 companies in the Agriculture industry, placing it in the top 17.9%.
Is Nufarm's Beneish M-Score too high?
Nufarm's current Beneish M-Score is -2.95. Based on the distribution chart, Nufarm ranks #44 out of 246 companies in the Agriculture industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Nufarm has a GF Score™ of 58/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Nufarm's Beneish M-Score compare to CTVA and CF?
According to the Agriculture industry distribution chart, Nufarm ranks #44 out of 246 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Nufarm in the top 18% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Agriculture company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Agriculture industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Nufarm and its competitors. Nufarm's current Beneish M-Score is -2.95. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Nufarm stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Nufarm (ASX:NUF) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is A$3.88, compared to a current price of A$2.78 — trading 28.4% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.95. Nufarm's overall GF Score™ is 58/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Nufarm (ASX:NUF), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.95 as of Jun. 28, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Nufarm (ASX:NUF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Nufarm stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of A$2.78 is trading 28.4% below its estimated GF Value™ of A$3.88. GuruFocus considers Nufarm to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for ASX:NUF:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.95
  • GF Value™: A$3.88 vs. price of A$2.78 (28.4% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 58/100 with 8 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the ASX:NUF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Nufarm Business Description

Other Exchanges NUFMF:USANUF:Germany
Address 103-105 Pipe Road, Laverton North, Auckland, VIC, AUS, 3026
Nufarm Limited is a global crop-protection company that develops, manufactures, and sells a range of crop-protection products, including herbicides, insecticides, and fungicides. Nufarm sells its products in most of the world's major agricultural regions, and operates primarily in the off-patent segment of the crop-protection market. Nufarm operates along two business lines: crop protection and seed technologies.
58GF Score

Get the complete analysis for ASX:NUF

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

A$2.78
Price
A$3.88
GF Value