Paragon Care (ASX:PGC) Beneish M-Score: -2.74 (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


ASX:PGC Paragon Care Ltd ASX:PGC
56 GF Score
Price A$0.13
GF Value A$0.40
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 7 Warning Signs
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What is Paragon Care Beneish M-Score?

Paragon Care ASX:PGC 56 Beneish M-Score is -2.74 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates ASX:PGC with a GF Score™ of 56/100 and a GF Value™ of A$0.40 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review. Among 113 Medical Distribution companies, Paragon Care ranks better than 70.8% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.74 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Paragon Care's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ASX:PGC' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.98   Med: -1.96   Max: 8.16
Current: -2.74

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Paragon Care was 8.16. The lowest was -2.98. And the median was -1.96.


Paragon Care Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Paragon Care's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Paragon Care Beneish M-Score Chart

Paragon Care Annual Data
Trend Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23 Jun24 Jun25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.98 -1.96 -2.57 8.16 -2.74

Paragon Care Semi-Annual Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 8.16 0.00 -2.74 0.00

ASX:PGC vs MCK, COR, CAH: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Medical Distribution subindustry, Paragon Care's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Paragon Care Beneish M-Score vs Medical Distribution Industry

For the Medical Distribution industry and Healthcare sector, Paragon Care's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Paragon Care's Beneish M-Score falls into.


ASX:PGC
56GF Score
Paragon Care Ltd ASX:PGC
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Paragon Care Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Paragon Care for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.7954+0.528 * 0.663+0.404 * 0.8249+0.892 * 1.2168+0.115 * 1.0572
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.4872+4.679 * 0.027109-0.327 * 1.1895
=-2.74

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jun25) TTM:Last Year (Jun24) TTM:
Total Receivables was A$402 Mil.
Revenue was A$3,614 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$324 Mil.
Total Current Assets was A$757 Mil.
Total Assets was A$1,244 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was A$76 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was A$30 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was A$234 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was A$771 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was A$120 Mil.
Net Income was A$21 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was A$-13 Mil.
Total Receivables was A$415 Mil.
Revenue was A$2,970 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$177 Mil.
Total Current Assets was A$1,019 Mil.
Total Assets was A$1,754 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was A$34 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was A$14 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was A$130 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was A$832 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was A$225 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(401.538 / 3613.887) / (414.879 / 2969.885)
=0.11111 / 0.139695
=0.7954

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(176.532 / 2969.885) / (324.001 / 3613.887)
=0.059441 / 0.089654
=0.663

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (757.413 + 75.822) / 1243.711) / (1 - (1018.508 + 33.997) / 1754.451)
=0.330041 / 0.400094
=0.8249

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=3613.887 / 2969.885
=1.2168

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(14.468 / (14.468 + 33.997)) / (29.833 / (29.833 + 75.822))
=0.298525 / 0.282362
=1.0572

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(234.474 / 3613.887) / (129.566 / 2969.885)
=0.064881 / 0.043627
=1.4872

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((119.832 + 771.462) / 1243.711) / ((224.969 + 832.029) / 1754.451)
=0.716641 / 0.602467
=1.1895

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(20.574 - 0.281 - -13.423) / 1243.711
=0.027109

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Paragon Care has a M-score of -2.74 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.74 mean?
Paragon Care (ASX:PGC) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.74 as of Jun. 26, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Paragon Care and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Paragon Care ranks #33 out of 113 companies in the Medical Distribution industry, placing it in the top 29.2%.
Is Paragon Care's Beneish M-Score too high?
Paragon Care's current Beneish M-Score is -2.74. Based on the distribution chart, Paragon Care ranks #33 out of 113 companies in the Medical Distribution industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Paragon Care has a GF Score™ of 56/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Paragon Care's Beneish M-Score compare to MCK and COR?
According to the Medical Distribution industry distribution chart, Paragon Care ranks #33 out of 113 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Paragon Care in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Medical Distribution company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Medical Distribution industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Paragon Care and its competitors. Paragon Care's current Beneish M-Score is -2.74. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Paragon Care stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Paragon Care (ASX:PGC) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is A$0.40, compared to a current price of A$0.13 — trading 67.5% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.74. Paragon Care's overall GF Score™ is 56/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Paragon Care (ASX:PGC), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.74 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Paragon Care (ASX:PGC) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Paragon Care stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of A$0.13 is trading 67.5% below its estimated GF Value™ of A$0.40. GuruFocus considers Paragon Care to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for ASX:PGC:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.74
  • GF Value™: A$0.40 vs. price of A$0.13 (67.5% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 56/100 with 7 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the ASX:PGC stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Paragon Care Business Description

Address 77-97 Ricketts Road, Mount Waverley, Melbourne, VIC, AUS, 3149
Paragon Care Ltd is a medical device company. The company provides medical equipment, devices, and consumables medical products to the healthcare market. The company provides solutions to various healthcare markets, aged care, and veterinary markets. The group is organized into two operating segments: ParagonCare and CH2 Holdings and the majority of its revenues are generated from the CH2 Holdings segment engaged in the distribution of pharmaceuticals, medical consumables, nutritional, and over-the-counter products to the healthcare market.
56GF Score

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Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

A$0.13
Price
A$0.40
GF Value