Vault Minerals (ASX:VAU) Beneish M-Score: -2.40 (As of Jun. 24, 2026)


ASX:VAU Vault Minerals Ltd ASX:VAU
60 GF Score
Price A$4.60
GF Value A$0.65
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 1 Warning Sign
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What is Vault Minerals Beneish M-Score?

Vault Minerals ASX:VAU -3.36% 60 Beneish M-Score is -2.40 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus rates ASX:VAU with a GF Score™ of 60/100 and a GF Value™ of A$0.65 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review. Among 685 Metals & Mining companies, Vault Minerals ranks better than 56.35% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.4 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Vault Minerals's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ASX:VAU' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -7.73   Med: -2.34   Max: 32.98
Current: -2.4

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Vault Minerals was 32.98. The lowest was -7.73. And the median was -2.34.


Vault Minerals Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Vault Minerals's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Vault Minerals Beneish M-Score Chart

Vault Minerals Annual Data
Trend Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23 Jun24 Jun25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.05 -7.73 -1.69 -2.08 -2.40

Vault Minerals Semi-Annual Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 -2.08 0.00 -2.40 0.00

ASX:VAU vs NEM, AU: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Gold subindustry, Vault Minerals's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Vault Minerals Beneish M-Score vs Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Vault Minerals's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Vault Minerals's Beneish M-Score falls into.


ASX:VAU
60GF Score
Vault Minerals Ltd ASX:VAU
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Vault Minerals Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Vault Minerals for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.2328+0.528 * 0.7828+0.404 * 1.7335+0.892 * 2.3098+0.115 * 0.2872
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.7176+4.679 * -0.1249-0.327 * 0.837
=-2.40

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jun25) TTM:Last Year (Jun24) TTM:
Total Receivables was A$17 Mil.
Revenue was A$1,432 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$666 Mil.
Total Current Assets was A$855 Mil.
Total Assets was A$2,444 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was A$1,381 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was A$346 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was A$35 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was A$238 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was A$57 Mil.
Net Income was A$237 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$2 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was A$540 Mil.
Total Receivables was A$31 Mil.
Revenue was A$620 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$226 Mil.
Total Current Assets was A$607 Mil.
Total Assets was A$2,968 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was A$2,215 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was A$135 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was A$21 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was A$351 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was A$77 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(16.641 / 1432.098) / (30.951 / 620.002)
=0.01162 / 0.049921
=0.2328

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(225.542 / 620.002) / (665.512 / 1432.098)
=0.363776 / 0.464711
=0.7828

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (854.985 + 1381.203) / 2443.519) / (1 - (607.188 + 2215.112) / 2967.55)
=0.084849 / 0.048946
=1.7335

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1432.098 / 620.002
=2.3098

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(135.145 / (135.145 + 2215.112)) / (345.802 / (345.802 + 1381.203))
=0.057502 / 0.200232
=0.2872

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(34.725 / 1432.098) / (20.951 / 620.002)
=0.024248 / 0.033792
=0.7176

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((57.019 + 238.264) / 2443.519) / ((77.483 + 350.959) / 2967.55)
=0.120843 / 0.144376
=0.837

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(236.982 - 2.117 - 540.061) / 2443.519
=-0.1249

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Vault Minerals has a M-score of -2.40 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.40 mean?
Vault Minerals (ASX:VAU) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.40 as of Jun. 24, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Vault Minerals and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Vault Minerals ranks #299 out of 685 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, placing it in the top 43.6%.
Is Vault Minerals' Beneish M-Score too high?
Vault Minerals' current Beneish M-Score is -2.40. Based on the distribution chart, Vault Minerals ranks #299 out of 685 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Vault Minerals has a GF Score™ of 60/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Vault Minerals' Beneish M-Score compare to NEM and AU?
According to the Metals & Mining industry distribution chart, Vault Minerals ranks #299 out of 685 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Vault Minerals in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Metals & Mining company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Metals & Mining industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Vault Minerals and its competitors. Vault Minerals's current Beneish M-Score is -2.40. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Vault Minerals stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Vault Minerals (ASX:VAU) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is A$0.65, compared to a current price of A$4.60 — trading 607.7% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.40. Vault Minerals' overall GF Score™ is 60/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Vault Minerals (ASX:VAU), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.40 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Vault Minerals (ASX:VAU) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Vault Minerals stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of A$4.60 is trading 607.7% above its estimated GF Value™ of A$0.65. GuruFocus considers Vault Minerals to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for ASX:VAU:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.40
  • GF Value™: A$0.65 vs. price of A$4.60 (607.7% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 60/100 with 1 warning sign

No single metric tells the full story. See the ASX:VAU stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Vault Minerals Business Description

Other Exchanges REDLF:USARKM0:Germany
Address 85 South Perth Esplanade, Suite 4, Level 3, South Shore Centre, South Perth, Perth, WA, AUS, 6151
Vault Minerals Ltd is engaged in gold production, development, and mineral exploration assets in Australia. The company's operating segment includes King of the Hills, Mount Monger, Deflector, and Sugar Zone. The company generates the majority of its revenue from the King of the Hills project, which produces gold bullion. The Deflector operation produces gold bullion and gold-copper concentrate.
60GF Score

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Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

A$4.60
Price
A$0.65
GF Value