Winton Land (ASX:WTN) Beneish M-Score: -1.01 (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


ASX:WTN Winton Land Ltd ASX:WTN
33 GF Score
Price A$2.20
GF Value A$0.96
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 5 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Winton Land Beneish M-Score?

Winton Land ASX:WTN 33 Beneish M-Score is -1.01 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates ASX:WTN with a GF Score™ of 33/100 and a GF Value™ of A$0.96 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,682 Real Estate companies, Winton Land ranks worse than 84.96% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.01 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Winton Land's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ASX:WTN' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -1.01   Med: -0.84   Max: 2.68
Current: -1.01

During the past 5 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Winton Land was 2.68. The lowest was -1.01. And the median was -0.84.


Winton Land Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Winton Land's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Winton Land Beneish M-Score Chart

Winton Land Annual Data
Trend Jun21 Jun22 Jun23 Jun24 Jun25
Beneish M-Score
0.00 0.00 2.68 -0.84 -1.01

Winton Land Semi-Annual Data
Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 -0.84 0.00 -1.01 0.00

Winton Land Beneish M-Score Competitor Comparison

For the Real Estate - Development subindustry, Winton Land's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Winton Land Beneish M-Score vs Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, Winton Land's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Winton Land's Beneish M-Score falls into.


ASX:WTN
33GF Score
Winton Land Ltd ASX:WTN
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Winton Land Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Winton Land for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 3.1144+0.528 * 1.4176+0.404 * 1.1192+0.892 * 0.8049+0.115 * 0.7731
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.3225+4.679 * -0.088689-0.327 * 1.2044
=-1.00

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jun25) TTM:Last Year (Jun24) TTM:
Total Receivables was A$0.60 Mil.
Revenue was A$120.61 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$29.97 Mil.
Total Current Assets was A$66.14 Mil.
Total Assets was A$652.49 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was A$86.56 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was A$4.93 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was A$24.96 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was A$42.52 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was A$94.93 Mil.
Net Income was A$9.57 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$28.18 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was A$39.26 Mil.
Total Receivables was A$0.24 Mil.
Revenue was A$149.84 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$52.79 Mil.
Total Current Assets was A$117.03 Mil.
Total Assets was A$604.68 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was A$73.81 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was A$3.21 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was A$23.45 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was A$27.75 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was A$78.01 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(0.604 / 120.607) / (0.241 / 149.844)
=0.005008 / 0.001608
=3.1144

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(52.791 / 149.844) / (29.973 / 120.607)
=0.352306 / 0.248518
=1.4176

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (66.137 + 86.555) / 652.493) / (1 - (117.033 + 73.811) / 604.677)
=0.765987 / 0.684387
=1.1192

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=120.607 / 149.844
=0.8049

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(3.21 / (3.21 + 73.811)) / (4.932 / (4.932 + 86.555))
=0.041677 / 0.053909
=0.7731

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(24.96 / 120.607) / (23.449 / 149.844)
=0.206953 / 0.156489
=1.3225

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((94.925 + 42.52) / 652.493) / ((78.012 + 27.748) / 604.677)
=0.210646 / 0.174903
=1.2044

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(9.568 - 28.181 - 39.256) / 652.493
=-0.088689

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Winton Land has a M-score of -1.00 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -1.01 mean?
Winton Land (ASX:WTN) has a Beneish M-Score of -1.01 as of Jun. 26, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Winton Land and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Winton Land ranks #1429 out of 1682 companies in the Real Estate industry, placing it in the top 85%.
Is Winton Land's Beneish M-Score too high?
Winton Land's current Beneish M-Score is -1.01. Based on the distribution chart, Winton Land ranks #1429 out of 1682 companies in the Real Estate industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Winton Land has a GF Score™ of 33/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Winton Land's Beneish M-Score compare to competitors?
According to the Real Estate industry distribution chart, Winton Land ranks #1429 out of 1682 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Winton Land in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Real Estate company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Real Estate industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Winton Land and its competitors. Winton Land's current Beneish M-Score is -1.01. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Winton Land stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Winton Land (ASX:WTN) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is A$0.96, compared to a current price of A$2.20 — trading 129.2% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -1.01. Winton Land's overall GF Score™ is 33/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Winton Land (ASX:WTN), the current Beneish M-Score is -1.01 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Winton Land (ASX:WTN) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Winton Land stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of A$2.20 is trading 129.2% above its estimated GF Value™ of A$0.96. GuruFocus considers Winton Land to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for ASX:WTN:

  • Beneish M-Score: -1.01
  • GF Value™: A$0.96 vs. price of A$2.20 (129.2% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 33/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the ASX:WTN stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Winton Land Business Description

Other Exchanges WIN:New Zealand
Address 11 Westhaven Drive Cracker Bay, Level 2, Auckland, NTL, NZL, 1010
Winton Land Ltd is a privately owned developer with projects in New Zealand and Australia. It specializes in developing integrated and fully master-planned communities. The company has a portfolio of several residential lots, dwellings, apartment units, and retirement village units. The company has three reportable segments, which are Residential development, Retirement villages, and Commercial portfolio, and the company generates the majority of its revenue from residential development.
33GF Score

Get the complete analysis for ASX:WTN

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

A$2.20
Price
A$0.96
GF Value