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Aegean Airlines (ATH:AEGN) Beneish M-Score : -3.21 (As of Dec. 11, 2024)


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What is Aegean Airlines Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.21 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Aegean Airlines's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ATH:AEGN' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.72   Med: -2.91   Max: -0.48
Current: -3.21

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Aegean Airlines was -0.48. The lowest was -3.72. And the median was -2.91.


Aegean Airlines Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Aegean Airlines's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Aegean Airlines Beneish M-Score Chart

Aegean Airlines Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.61 -3.56 -0.48 -3.72 -3.21

Aegean Airlines Semi-Annual Data
Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -3.72 - -3.21 -

Competitive Comparison of Aegean Airlines's Beneish M-Score

For the Airlines subindustry, Aegean Airlines's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Aegean Airlines's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Aegean Airlines's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Aegean Airlines's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Aegean Airlines Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Aegean Airlines for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.7988+0.528 * 0.6048+0.404 * 0.8283+0.892 * 1.2665+0.115 * 1.0454
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * -0.109336-0.327 * 0.999
=-3.21

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was €107 Mil.
Revenue was €1,693 Mil.
Gross Profit was €217 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €927 Mil.
Total Assets was €2,413 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €1,310 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €154 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €871 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €1,003 Mil.
Net Income was €170 Mil.
Gross Profit was €0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was €434 Mil.
Total Receivables was €106 Mil.
Revenue was €1,337 Mil.
Gross Profit was €104 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €806 Mil.
Total Assets was €2,020 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €1,036 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €128 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €698 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €873 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(107.244 / 1693.129) / (106.008 / 1336.832)
=0.063341 / 0.079298
=0.7988

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(103.663 / 1336.832) / (217.09 / 1693.129)
=0.077544 / 0.128218
=0.6048

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (926.994 + 1309.588) / 2412.667) / (1 - (806.232 + 1036.13) / 2020.374)
=0.072984 / 0.088108
=0.8283

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1693.129 / 1336.832
=1.2665

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(127.681 / (127.681 + 1036.13)) / (153.544 / (153.544 + 1309.588))
=0.109709 / 0.104942
=1.0454

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 1693.129) / (0 / 1336.832)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1003.09 + 871.15) / 2412.667) / ((872.936 + 698.064) / 2020.374)
=0.776833 / 0.777579
=0.999

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(169.968 - 0 - 433.76) / 2412.667
=-0.109336

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Aegean Airlines has a M-score of -3.21 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Aegean Airlines Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Aegean Airlines Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Athens International Airport, Building 57, Spata Attiki, Athens, GRC, 19019
Aegean Airlines SA is Greece's airline provider. The company generates revenue from Scheduled flights, Chartered flights, and others. The company generates maximum revenue from Scheduled flights. Additionally, it offers services related to air transportation, technical support, and ground-handling amenities. Approximately half of total passenger traffic derives from routes within Greece.