AUMTF (Aurelia Metals) Beneish M-Score: -2.82 (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


AUMTF Aurelia Metals Ltd AUMTF
55 GF Score
Price $0.20
GF Value $0.19
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 2 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Aurelia Metals Beneish M-Score?

Aurelia Metals AUMTF -4.98% 55 Beneish M-Score is -2.82 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates AUMTF with a GF Score™ of 55/100 and a GF Value™ of $0.19 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 685 Metals & Mining companies, Aurelia Metals ranks better than 74.89% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.82 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Aurelia Metals's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

AUMTF' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.76   Med: -2.35   Max: 0.57
Current: -2.82

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Aurelia Metals was 0.57. The lowest was -3.76. And the median was -2.35.


Aurelia Metals Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Aurelia Metals's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Aurelia Metals Beneish M-Score Chart

Aurelia Metals Annual Data
Trend Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23 Jun24 Jun25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.87 0.57 -3.76 -3.61 -2.82

Aurelia Metals Semi-Annual Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 -3.61 0.00 -2.82 0.00

Aurelia Metals Beneish M-Score Competitor Comparison

For the Other Industrial Metals & Mining subindustry, Aurelia Metals's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Aurelia Metals Beneish M-Score vs Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Aurelia Metals's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Aurelia Metals's Beneish M-Score falls into.


AUMTF
55GF Score
Aurelia Metals Ltd AUMTF
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Aurelia Metals Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Aurelia Metals for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.1709+0.528 * 0.8612+0.404 * 1.4318+0.892 * 1.0867+0.115 * 1.893
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.7204+4.679 * -0.166826-0.327 * 1.2032
=-2.84

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jun25) TTM:Last Year (Jun24) TTM:
Total Receivables was $9.2 Mil.
Revenue was $223.6 Mil.
Gross Profit was $80.2 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $100.2 Mil.
Total Assets was $356.5 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $243.2 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $24.6 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $7.7 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $72.8 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $3.1 Mil.
Net Income was $31.8 Mil.
Gross Profit was $6.9 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was $84.4 Mil.
Total Receivables was $7.2 Mil.
Revenue was $205.8 Mil.
Gross Profit was $63.6 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $109.8 Mil.
Total Assets was $313.8 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $196.0 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $41.3 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $9.8 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $54.3 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $1.3 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(9.21 / 223.613) / (7.238 / 205.771)
=0.041187 / 0.035175
=1.1709

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(63.571 / 205.771) / (80.214 / 223.613)
=0.308941 / 0.358718
=0.8612

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (100.195 + 243.247) / 356.467) / (1 - (109.776 + 195.973) / 313.756)
=0.036539 / 0.02552
=1.4318

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=223.613 / 205.771
=1.0867

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(41.282 / (41.282 + 195.973)) / (24.622 / (24.622 + 243.247))
=0.173998 / 0.091918
=1.893

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(7.676 / 223.613) / (9.805 / 205.771)
=0.034327 / 0.04765
=0.7204

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((3.095 + 72.82) / 356.467) / ((1.274 + 54.259) / 313.756)
=0.212965 / 0.176994
=1.2032

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(31.805 - 6.854 - 84.419) / 356.467
=-0.166826

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Aurelia Metals has a M-score of -2.84 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.82 mean?
Aurelia Metals (AUMTF) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.82 as of Jun. 26, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Aurelia Metals and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Aurelia Metals ranks #172 out of 685 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, placing it in the top 25.1%.
Is Aurelia Metals' Beneish M-Score too high?
Aurelia Metals' current Beneish M-Score is -2.82. Based on the distribution chart, Aurelia Metals ranks #172 out of 685 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Aurelia Metals has a GF Score™ of 55/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Aurelia Metals' Beneish M-Score compare to competitors?
According to the Metals & Mining industry distribution chart, Aurelia Metals ranks #172 out of 685 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Aurelia Metals in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Metals & Mining company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Metals & Mining industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Aurelia Metals and its competitors. Aurelia Metals's current Beneish M-Score is -2.82. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Aurelia Metals stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Aurelia Metals (AUMTF) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is $0.19, compared to a current price of $0.20 — trading 5% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.82. Aurelia Metals' overall GF Score™ is 55/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Aurelia Metals (AUMTF), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.82 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Aurelia Metals (AUMTF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Aurelia Metals stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $0.20 is trading 5% above its estimated GF Value™ of $0.19. GuruFocus considers Aurelia Metals to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for AUMTF:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.82
  • GF Value™: $0.19 vs. price of $0.20 (5% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 55/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the AUMTF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Aurelia Metals Business Description

Other Exchanges YTR:GermanyAMI:Australia
Address 10 Felix Street, Level 17, Brisbane, QLD, AUS, 4000
Aurelia Metals Ltd is an Australian mining and exploration company with a strategic landholding in the Cobar Basin of western New South Wales. It operates three underground base metal mines across its Peak and Federation operations. The consolidated group's principal activities include the production of gold, silver, copper, lead, and zinc, as well as mineral exploration. The Company is processing the Great Cobar Project, a consented high-grade copper development located at Peak. The company's segments include the Peak Mine and Hera Mine project, with the majority of revenue generated from Peak Mine.
55GF Score

Get the complete analysis for AUMTF

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$0.20
Price
$0.19
GF Value