AVP Beneish M-Score Historical Data
The historical data trend for AVP's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
AVP Beneish M-Score Chart
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AVP Annual Data
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Apr98 |
Apr99 |
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Apr02 |
Apr03 |
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Dec05 |
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Dec07 |
| Beneish M-Score |
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- |
- |
-17.06 |
3.49 |
-4.07 |
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AVP Quarterly Data
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Oct03 |
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Apr04 |
Jul04 |
Oct04 |
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Sep08 |
| Beneish M-Score |
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-4.48 |
-4.07 |
1.19 |
-3.67 |
-3.55 |
Competitive Comparison of AVP's Beneish M-Score
For the Entertainment subindustry, AVP's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
AVP's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Media - Diversified Industry
For the Media - Diversified industry and Communication Services sector, AVP's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where AVP's Beneish M-Score falls into.
AVP Beneish M-Score Calculation
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of AVP for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
| M | = | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * DSRI | + | 0.528 * GMI | + | 0.404 * AQI | + | 0.892 * SGI | + | 0.115 * DEPI |
| = | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * 0.9699 | + | 0.528 * 1.1406 | + | 0.404 * 0.3533 | + | 0.892 * 0.9614 | + | 0.115 * 1.2278 |
| - | 0.172 * SGAI | + | 4.679 * TATA | - | 0.327 * LVGI |
| - | 0.172 * 1.1115 | + | 4.679 * -0.173922 | - | 0.327 * 1.1475 |
| = | -3.58 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index
Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.
A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.
| DSRI | = | (Receivables_t / Revenue_t) | / | (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) |
| = | (5.109 / 23.122) | / | (5.479 / 24.051) |
| = | 0.220958 | / | 0.227808 |
| | = | 0.9699 |
2. GMI = Gross Margin Index
Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.
Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.
| GMI | = | GrossMargin_t-1 | / | GrossMargin_t |
| = | (GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) | / | (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t) |
| = | (6.04 / 24.051) | / | (5.091 / 23.122) |
| = | 0.251133 | / | 0.22018 |
| | = | 1.1406 |
3. AQI = Asset Quality Index
AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.
Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.
| AQI | = | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
| = | (1 - (8.807 + 0.384) / 9.234) | / | (1 - (9.619 + 0.413) / 10.166) |
| = | 0.004657 | / | 0.013181 |
| | = | 0.3533 |
4. SGI = Sales Growth Index
Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
| SGI | = | Sales_t | / | Sales_t-1 |
| = | Revenue_t | / | Revenue_t-1 |
| = | 23.122 | / | 24.051 |
| | = | 0.9614 |
5. DEPI = Depreciation Index
Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
| DEPI | = | (Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) | / | (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t)) |
| = | (0.384 / (0.384 + 0.413)) | / | (0.248 / (0.248 + 0.384)) |
| = | 0.481807 | / | 0.392405 |
| | = | 1.2278 |
Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.
SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.
| SGAI | = | (SGA_t / Sales_t) | / | (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1) |
| = | (10.373 / 23.122) | / | (9.707 / 24.051) |
| = | 0.44862 | / | 0.403601 |
| | = | 1.1115 |
7. LVGI = Leverage Index
The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.
An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage
| LVGI | = | ((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
| = | ((0 + 5.884) / 9.234) | / | ((0 + 5.645) / 10.166) |
| = | 0.63721 | / | 0.555282 |
| | = | 1.1475 |
8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
| TATA | = | (IncomefromContinuingOperations_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t |
| = | (NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t |
| = | (-5.258 - -0.002 | - | -3.65) | / | 9.234 |
| | = | -0.173922 |
An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
AVP has a M-score of -3.58 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
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