The Erawan Group PCL (BKK:ERW) Beneish M-Score: -2.55 (As of Jul. 01, 2026)


BKK:ERW The Erawan Group PCL BKK:ERW
84 GF Score
Price ฿3.08
GF Value ฿4.03
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 11 Warning Signs
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What is The Erawan Group PCL Beneish M-Score?

The Erawan Group PCL BKK:ERW +1.32% 84 Beneish M-Score is -2.55 as of Jul. 01, 2026. GuruFocus rates BKK:ERW with a GF Score™ of 84/100 and a GF Value™ of ฿4.03 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 11 warning signs investors should review. Among 823 Travel & Leisure companies, The Erawan Group PCL ranks worse than 58.32% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.55 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for The Erawan Group PCL's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BKK:ERW' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.26   Med: -2.66   Max: -0.17
Current: -2.55

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of The Erawan Group PCL was -0.17. The lowest was -3.26. And the median was -2.66.


The Erawan Group PCL Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for The Erawan Group PCL's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

The Erawan Group PCL Beneish M-Score Chart

The Erawan Group PCL Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.62 -1.76 -2.65 -2.69 -2.55

The Erawan Group PCL Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.71 -2.37 -2.64 -2.55 -2.55

BKK:ERW vs MAR, HLT, H: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Lodging subindustry, The Erawan Group PCL's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


The Erawan Group PCL Beneish M-Score vs Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, The Erawan Group PCL's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where The Erawan Group PCL's Beneish M-Score falls into.


BKK:ERW
84GF Score
The Erawan Group PCL BKK:ERW
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

The Erawan Group PCL Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of The Erawan Group PCL for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0096+0.528 * 0.9935+0.404 * 1.5842+0.892 * 0.9994+0.115 * 0.9593
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.041+4.679 * -0.06356-0.327 * 0.9924
=-2.55

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was ฿309 Mil.
Revenue was 2241.263 + 2251.942 + 1782.796 + 1743.572 = ฿8,020 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1383.762 + 1417.599 + 981.695 + 950.578 = ฿4,734 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ฿1,577 Mil.
Total Assets was ฿26,333 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ฿24,189 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ฿1,070 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ฿2,101 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ฿2,539 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ฿12,721 Mil.
Net Income was 375.553 + 373.094 + 56.6 + 63.009 = ฿868 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 13.2 + 6.268 + 5.221 + 8.415 = ฿33 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 688.527 + 815.392 + 550.476 + 454.507 = ฿2,509 Mil.
Total Receivables was ฿307 Mil.
Revenue was 2126.997 + 2214.684 + 1848.766 + 1834.168 = ฿8,025 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1290.408 + 1354.338 + 1036.531 + 1024.426 = ฿4,706 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ฿1,715 Mil.
Total Assets was ฿25,917 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ฿23,850 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ฿1,011 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ฿2,019 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ฿2,332 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ฿12,803 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(309.39 / 8019.573) / (306.648 / 8024.615)
=0.038579 / 0.038213
=1.0096

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(4705.703 / 8024.615) / (4733.634 / 8019.573)
=0.586409 / 0.59026
=0.9935

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1576.84 + 24189.303) / 26333.474) / (1 - (1715.244 + 23849.611) / 25917.3)
=0.021544 / 0.013599
=1.5842

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=8019.573 / 8024.615
=0.9994

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1010.661 / (1010.661 + 23849.611)) / (1070.432 / (1070.432 + 24189.303))
=0.040654 / 0.042377
=0.9593

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(2100.663 / 8019.573) / (2019.173 / 8024.615)
=0.261942 / 0.251622
=1.041

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((12721.149 + 2538.907) / 26333.474) / ((12802.793 + 2331.55) / 25917.3)
=0.579493 / 0.583948
=0.9924

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(868.256 - 33.104 - 2508.902) / 26333.474
=-0.06356

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

The Erawan Group PCL has a M-score of -2.55 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.55 mean?
The Erawan Group PCL (BKK:ERW) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.55 as of Jul. 01, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on The Erawan Group PCL and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, The Erawan Group PCL ranks #480 out of 823 companies in the Travel & Leisure industry, placing it in the top 58.3%.
Is The Erawan Group PCL's Beneish M-Score too high?
The Erawan Group PCL's current Beneish M-Score is -2.55. Based on the distribution chart, The Erawan Group PCL ranks #480 out of 823 companies in the Travel & Leisure industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, The Erawan Group PCL has a GF Score™ of 84/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does The Erawan Group PCL's Beneish M-Score compare to MAR and HLT?
According to the Travel & Leisure industry distribution chart, The Erawan Group PCL ranks #480 out of 823 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places The Erawan Group PCL in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Travel & Leisure company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Travel & Leisure industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on The Erawan Group PCL and its competitors. The Erawan Group PCL's current Beneish M-Score is -2.55. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is The Erawan Group PCL stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, The Erawan Group PCL (BKK:ERW) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is ฿4.03, compared to a current price of ฿3.08 — trading 23.6% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.55. The Erawan Group PCL's overall GF Score™ is 84/100 with 11 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For The Erawan Group PCL (BKK:ERW), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.55 as of Jul. 01, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is The Erawan Group PCL (BKK:ERW) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, The Erawan Group PCL stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of ฿3.08 is trading 23.6% below its estimated GF Value™ of ฿4.03. GuruFocus considers The Erawan Group PCL to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for BKK:ERW:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.55
  • GF Value™: ฿4.03 vs. price of ฿3.08 (23.6% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 84/100 with 11 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the BKK:ERW stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


The Erawan Group PCL Business Description

Address 2 Sukhumvit Road, Ploenchit Center Building, 6th Floor, Klong Toey District, Bangkok, THA, 10110
The Erawan Group PCL is a company that focuses on investing in various companies, engaged in the hotel business and in building rental business. The company operates two business segments: Hotel business segment, which consists of Grand Hyatt Erawan Bangkok, JW Marriott Bangkok, The Naka Island, a Luxury Collection Resort and Spa, Phuket, Renaissance Koh Samui Resort and Spa, Courtyard by Marriott Bangkok, Holiday Inn Pattaya, Mercure Bangkok Siam and Ibis Hotels; and the Rental and management building business segment including Erawan Bangkok, which is a boutique mall to the center of Bangkok's business and commercial district and Ploenchit Center, which is an office building with retail shops and international restaurants. The majority of the revenue is generated from its Hotel business.
84GF Score

Get the complete analysis for BKK:ERW

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

฿3.08
Price
฿4.03
GF Value