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Safari World PCL (BKK:SAFARI) Beneish M-Score : -3.06 (As of May. 26, 2024)


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What is Safari World PCL Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.06 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Safari World PCL's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BKK:SAFARI' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -5.42   Med: -2.72   Max: 0.62
Current: -3.06

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Safari World PCL was 0.62. The lowest was -5.42. And the median was -2.72.


Safari World PCL Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Safari World PCL's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Safari World PCL Beneish M-Score Chart

Safari World PCL Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.86 -3.56 -3.68 -1.01 -2.75

Safari World PCL Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.33 -1.19 -2.12 -2.75 -3.06

Competitive Comparison of Safari World PCL's Beneish M-Score

For the Leisure subindustry, Safari World PCL's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Safari World PCL's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Safari World PCL's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Safari World PCL's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Safari World PCL Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Safari World PCL for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.6832+0.528 * 0.8193+0.404 * 1.0258+0.892 * 1.5184+0.115 * 0.6693
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.7354+4.679 * -0.14278-0.327 * 1.0244
=-3.06

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was ฿50 Mil.
Revenue was 563.874 + 504.593 + 610.775 + 458.347 = ฿2,138 Mil.
Gross Profit was 224.134 + 171.759 + 247.252 + 134.994 = ฿778 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ฿180 Mil.
Total Assets was ฿8,452 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ฿7,793 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ฿453 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ฿658 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ฿4,476 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ฿2,262 Mil.
Net Income was 94.993 + 182.27 + -437.397 + -111.245 = ฿-271 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 195.28 + 409.92 + -514.593 + 1.096 = ฿92 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 129.439 + 254.546 + 222.6 + 237.154 = ฿844 Mil.
Total Receivables was ฿48 Mil.
Revenue was 455.871 + 416.371 + 328.134 + 207.438 = ฿1,408 Mil.
Gross Profit was 131.228 + 108.068 + 120.437 + 60.126 = ฿420 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ฿154 Mil.
Total Assets was ฿8,899 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ฿8,252 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ฿315 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ฿589 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ฿2,371 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ฿4,554 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(50.267 / 2137.589) / (48.459 / 1407.814)
=0.023516 / 0.034421
=0.6832

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(419.859 / 1407.814) / (778.139 / 2137.589)
=0.298235 / 0.364026
=0.8193

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (179.712 + 7792.938) / 8452.337) / (1 - (154.395 + 8252.253) / 8898.965)
=0.056752 / 0.055323
=1.0258

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=2137.589 / 1407.814
=1.5184

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(315.042 / (315.042 + 8252.253)) / (453.061 / (453.061 + 7792.938))
=0.036773 / 0.054943
=0.6693

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(658.042 / 2137.589) / (589.308 / 1407.814)
=0.307843 / 0.418598
=0.7354

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((2262.286 + 4475.966) / 8452.337) / ((4553.662 + 2371.464) / 8898.965)
=0.797206 / 0.778195
=1.0244

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-271.379 - 91.703 - 843.739) / 8452.337
=-0.14278

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Safari World PCL has a M-score of -3.06 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Safari World PCL Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Safari World PCL (BKK:SAFARI) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
99 Panyaindra Road, Kwang Samwatawantok, Khet Klongsamwa, Bangkok, THA, 10510
Safari World PCL is engaged in tourism and leisure related activities related to Thai culture. The company is involved in the operation of the open zoo, marine parks and theme park, among others. Geographically the group operates in a single geographical segment which is Thailand. The business segments of the group are Tickets, Food and beverage, Transportation services, Souvenirs, Games and rides, Photograph sales and Animal feed sales, of which a majority of revenue is derived from the sale of tickets.

Safari World PCL (BKK:SAFARI) Headlines

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