BLSFY (BlueScope Steel) Beneish M-Score: -2.92 (As of Jun. 25, 2026)


BLSFY BlueScope Steel Ltd BLSFY
80 GF Score
Price $121.37
GF Value $75.72
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 9 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is BlueScope Steel Beneish M-Score?

BlueScope Steel BLSFY 80 Beneish M-Score is -2.92 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates BLSFY with a GF Score™ of 80/100 and a GF Value™ of $75.72 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 9 warning signs investors should review. Among 593 Steel companies, BlueScope Steel ranks better than 77.23% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.92 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for BlueScope Steel's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BLSFY' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.04   Med: -2.85   Max: -2.24
Current: -2.92

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of BlueScope Steel was -2.24. The lowest was -3.04. And the median was -2.85.


BlueScope Steel Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for BlueScope Steel's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

BlueScope Steel Beneish M-Score Chart

BlueScope Steel Annual Data
Trend Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23 Jun24 Jun25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.04 -2.90 -2.82 -2.86 -2.92

BlueScope Steel Semi-Annual Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 -2.86 0.00 -2.92 0.00

BLSFY vs NUE, STLD, RS: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Steel subindustry, BlueScope Steel's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


BlueScope Steel Beneish M-Score vs Steel Industry

For the Steel industry and Basic Materials sector, BlueScope Steel's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where BlueScope Steel's Beneish M-Score falls into.


BLSFY
80GF Score
BlueScope Steel Ltd BLSFY
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

BlueScope Steel Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of BlueScope Steel for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.1488+0.528 * 1.055+0.404 * 0.7922+0.892 * 0.9369+0.115 * 1.0954
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.2018+4.679 * -0.095362-0.327 * 1.0349
=-2.94

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jun25) TTM:Last Year (Jun24) TTM:
Total Receivables was $1,138 Mil.
Revenue was $10,581 Mil.
Gross Profit was $3,910 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $3,857 Mil.
Total Assets was $10,274 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $4,811 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $465 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $2,443 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,972 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $482 Mil.
Net Income was $55 Mil.
Gross Profit was $114 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was $920 Mil.
Total Receivables was $1,057 Mil.
Revenue was $11,294 Mil.
Gross Profit was $4,403 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $4,048 Mil.
Total Assets was $10,410 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $4,308 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $460 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $2,170 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $2,050 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $352 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1137.956 / 10581.25) / (1057.371 / 11294.422)
=0.107545 / 0.093619
=1.1488

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(4403.254 / 11294.422) / (3910.156 / 10581.25)
=0.389861 / 0.369536
=1.055

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (3856.641 + 4811.458) / 10274.089) / (1 - (4048.141 + 4308.167) / 10410.359)
=0.156315 / 0.197308
=0.7922

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=10581.25 / 11294.422
=0.9369

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(460.093 / (460.093 + 4308.167)) / (464.779 / (464.779 + 4811.458))
=0.096491 / 0.088089
=1.0954

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(2443.49 / 10581.25) / (2170.319 / 11294.422)
=0.230926 / 0.192158
=1.2018

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((481.966 + 1972.266) / 10274.089) / ((352.39 + 2050.465) / 10410.359)
=0.238876 / 0.230814
=1.0349

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(54.557 - 114.453 - 919.857) / 10274.089
=-0.095362

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

BlueScope Steel has a M-score of -2.94 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.92 mean?
BlueScope Steel (BLSFY) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.92 as of Jun. 25, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on BlueScope Steel and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, BlueScope Steel ranks #135 out of 593 companies in the Steel industry, placing it in the top 22.8%.
Is BlueScope Steel's Beneish M-Score too high?
BlueScope Steel's current Beneish M-Score is -2.92. Based on the distribution chart, BlueScope Steel ranks #135 out of 593 companies in the Steel industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, BlueScope Steel has a GF Score™ of 80/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does BlueScope Steel's Beneish M-Score compare to NUE and STLD?
According to the Steel industry distribution chart, BlueScope Steel ranks #135 out of 593 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places BlueScope Steel in the top 23% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Steel company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Steel industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on BlueScope Steel and its competitors. BlueScope Steel's current Beneish M-Score is -2.92. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is BlueScope Steel stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, BlueScope Steel (BLSFY) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $75.72, compared to a current price of $121.37 — trading 60.3% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.92. BlueScope Steel's overall GF Score™ is 80/100 with 9 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For BlueScope Steel (BLSFY), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.92 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is BlueScope Steel (BLSFY) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, BlueScope Steel stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $121.37 is trading 60.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of $75.72. GuruFocus considers BlueScope Steel to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for BLSFY:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.92
  • GF Value™: $75.72 vs. price of $121.37 (60.3% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 80/100 with 9 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the BLSFY stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


BlueScope Steel Business Description

Address 181 William Street, Level 24, Melbourne, VIC, AUS, 3000
BlueScope is an Australia-based steelmaker with five business units. The Australian steel products segment mainly specializes in branded coated and painted flat steel products, sold domestically. North Star is the group's US minimill, specializing in the production of hot rolled coil for US construction and automotive sectors. Building products Asia operates across Southeast Asia, China, and India, and the US building and coated products North America is involved in metal coating and painting, and the supply to nonresidential construction projects using BlueScope's materials. New Zealand steel and the Pacific Islands business produces flat and long steel products for New Zealand and building components for the Pacific Islands.
80GF Score

Get the complete analysis for BLSFY

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$121.37
Price
$75.72
GF Value