Grupo Nutresa (BOG:NUTRESA) Beneish M-Score: -2.05 (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


BOG:NUTRESA Grupo Nutresa SA BOG:NUTRESA
81 GF Score
Price COP306,920.00
GF Value COP92,906.09
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 5 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Grupo Nutresa Beneish M-Score?

Grupo Nutresa BOG:NUTRESA +1.26% 81 Beneish M-Score is -2.05 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates BOG:NUTRESA with a GF Score™ of 81/100 and a GF Value™ of COP92,906.09 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,849 Consumer Packaged Goods companies, Grupo Nutresa ranks worse than 76.91% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.05 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Grupo Nutresa's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BOG:NUTRESA' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.29   Med: -2.55   Max: -1.96
Current: -2.05

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Grupo Nutresa was -1.96. The lowest was -3.29. And the median was -2.55.


Grupo Nutresa Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Grupo Nutresa's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Grupo Nutresa Beneish M-Score Chart

Grupo Nutresa Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.42 -2.09 -3.20 -2.54 -2.35

Grupo Nutresa Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.90 -2.55 -2.24 -2.35 -2.05

BOG:NUTRESA vs KHC, GIS, JBS: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Grupo Nutresa's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Grupo Nutresa Beneish M-Score vs Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Grupo Nutresa's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Grupo Nutresa's Beneish M-Score falls into.


BOG:NUTRESA
81GF Score
Grupo Nutresa SA BOG:NUTRESA
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Grupo Nutresa Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Grupo Nutresa for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9547+0.528 * 0.9584+0.404 * 2.3289+0.892 * 1.0912+0.115 * 1
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9711+4.679 * -0.060123-0.327 * 0.5266
=-2.05

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was COP2,266,400 Mil.
Revenue was 5196511 + 5263536 + 5277189 + 5165475 = COP20,902,711 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2209027 + 2174275 + 2099196 + 1960093 = COP8,442,591 Mil.
Total Current Assets was COP10,883,040 Mil.
Total Assets was COP29,638,328 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was COP5,158,547 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was COP0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was COP5,460,974 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was COP5,761,537 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was COP1,900,150 Mil.
Net Income was -15336 + 272097 + 250901 + 475306 = COP982,968 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = COP0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 400499 + 794343 + 720452 + 849621 = COP2,764,915 Mil.
Total Receivables was COP2,175,420 Mil.
Revenue was 4872788 + 5071550 + 4750301 + 4461138 = COP19,155,777 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1887611 + 1908748 + 1845155 + 1773914 = COP7,415,428 Mil.
Total Current Assets was COP15,237,470 Mil.
Total Assets was COP25,562,619 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was COP5,289,832 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was COP0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was COP5,153,703 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was COP11,649,621 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was COP900,109 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(2266400 / 20902711) / (2175420 / 19155777)
=0.108426 / 0.113565
=0.9547

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(7415428 / 19155777) / (8442591 / 20902711)
=0.387112 / 0.403899
=0.9584

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (10883040 + 5158547) / 29638328) / (1 - (15237470 + 5289832) / 25562619)
=0.458755 / 0.19698
=2.3289

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=20902711 / 19155777
=1.0912

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(0 / (0 + 5289832)) / (0 / (0 + 5158547))
=0 / 0
=1

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(5460974 / 20902711) / (5153703 / 19155777)
=0.261257 / 0.269042
=0.9711

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1900150 + 5761537) / 29638328) / ((900109 + 11649621) / 25562619)
=0.258506 / 0.490941
=0.5266

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(982968 - 0 - 2764915) / 29638328
=-0.060123

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Grupo Nutresa has a M-score of -2.05 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.05 mean?
Grupo Nutresa (BOG:NUTRESA) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.05 as of Jun. 26, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Grupo Nutresa and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Grupo Nutresa ranks #1422 out of 1849 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, placing it in the top 76.9%.
Is Grupo Nutresa's Beneish M-Score too high?
Grupo Nutresa's current Beneish M-Score is -2.05. Based on the distribution chart, Grupo Nutresa ranks #1422 out of 1849 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Grupo Nutresa has a GF Score™ of 81/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Grupo Nutresa's Beneish M-Score compare to KHC and GIS?
According to the Consumer Packaged Goods industry distribution chart, Grupo Nutresa ranks #1422 out of 1849 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Grupo Nutresa in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Consumer Packaged Goods company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Consumer Packaged Goods industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Grupo Nutresa and its competitors. Grupo Nutresa's current Beneish M-Score is -2.05. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Grupo Nutresa stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Grupo Nutresa (BOG:NUTRESA) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is COP92,906.09, compared to a current price of COP306,920.00 — trading 230.4% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.05. Grupo Nutresa's overall GF Score™ is 81/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Grupo Nutresa (BOG:NUTRESA), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.05 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Grupo Nutresa (BOG:NUTRESA) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Grupo Nutresa stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of COP306,920.00 is trading 230.4% above its estimated GF Value™ of COP92,906.09. GuruFocus considers Grupo Nutresa to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for BOG:NUTRESA:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.05
  • GF Value™: COP92,906.09 vs. price of COP306,920.00 (230.4% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 81/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the BOG:NUTRESA stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Grupo Nutresa Business Description

Address Medellin, Medellin, COL
Grupo Nutresa SA is a processed food company that operates through eleven business units: Cold Cuts, Biscuits, Chocolates, Tresmontes Lucchetti, Coffee, Retail Food, Ice Cream, Pasta, Third-party distribution network, Food Services, and Other. The company's revenue comes from food products, beverages, and other products. The majority of the company's production and sales take place in Colombia.
81GF Score

Get the complete analysis for BOG:NUTRESA

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

COP306,920.00
Price
COP92,906.09
GF Value