Compania deneamento de Minas Gerais - COPASA MG (BSP:CSMG3) Beneish M-Score: -2.71 (As of Jul. 22, 2026)

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BSP:CSMG3 Compania de Saneamento de Minas Gerais - COPASA MG BSP:CSMG3
83 GF Score
Price R$63.16
GF Value R$25.12
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 9 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Compania deneamento de Minas Gerais - COPASA MG Beneish M-Score?

Compania deneamento de Minas Gerais - COPASA MG BSP:CSMG3 -1.07% 83 Beneish M-Score is -2.71 as of Jul. 22, 2026. GuruFocus rates BSP:CSMG3 with a GF Score™ of 83/100 and a GF Value™ of R$25.12 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 9 warning signs investors should review. Among 488 Utilities - Regulated companies, Compania deneamento de Minas Gerais - COPASA MG ranks better than 66.39% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.71 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Compania deneamento de Minas Gerais - COPASA MG's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BSP:CSMG3' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.69   Med: -2.6   Max: -2.2
Current: -2.71

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Compania deneamento de Minas Gerais - COPASA MG was -2.20. The lowest was -4.69. And the median was -2.60.


Compania deneamento de Minas Gerais - COPASA MG Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Compania deneamento de Minas Gerais - COPASA MG's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Compania deneamento de Minas Gerais - COPASA MG Beneish M-Score Chart

Compania deneamento de Minas Gerais - COPASA MG Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.20 -2.51 -2.43 -2.72 -2.67

Compania deneamento de Minas Gerais - COPASA MG Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.69 -2.72 -2.68 -2.67 -2.71

BSP:CSMG3 vs AWK, WTRG, AWR: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Utilities - Regulated Water subindustry, Compania deneamento de Minas Gerais - COPASA MG's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Compania deneamento de Minas Gerais - COPASA MG Beneish M-Score vs Utilities - Regulated Industry

For the Utilities - Regulated industry and Utilities sector, Compania deneamento de Minas Gerais - COPASA MG's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Compania deneamento de Minas Gerais - COPASA MG's Beneish M-Score falls into.


BSP:CSMG3
83GF Score
Compania de Saneamento de Minas Gerais - COPASA MG BSP:CSMG3
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Compania deneamento de Minas Gerais - COPASA MG Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Compania deneamento de Minas Gerais - COPASA MG for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0048+0.528 * 1.0284+0.404 * 1.1153+0.892 * 1.0396+0.115 * 0.9334
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.4169+4.679 * -0.044106-0.327 * 1.146
=-2.71

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was R$1,480 Mil.
Revenue was 2128.135 + 2174.422 + 2114.591 + 1979.816 = R$8,397 Mil.
Gross Profit was 922.171 + 894.864 + 867.655 + 829.979 = R$3,515 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R$4,271 Mil.
Total Assets was R$21,494 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R$8,356 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R$982 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R$468 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R$2,665 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R$8,593 Mil.
Net Income was 368.104 + 336.964 + 360.83 + 289.441 = R$1,355 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = R$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 533.888 + 492.325 + 711.747 + 565.372 = R$2,303 Mil.
Total Receivables was R$1,417 Mil.
Revenue was 2061.361 + 2006.21 + 2046.392 + 1963.077 = R$8,077 Mil.
Gross Profit was 940.007 + 810.811 + 866.96 + 859.058 = R$3,477 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R$2,422 Mil.
Total Assets was R$15,936 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R$7,620 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R$829 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R$318 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R$1,981 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R$5,303 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1479.984 / 8396.964) / (1416.813 / 8077.04)
=0.176252 / 0.175412
=1.0048

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(3476.836 / 8077.04) / (3514.669 / 8396.964)
=0.430459 / 0.418564
=1.0284

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (4270.556 + 8355.59) / 21493.578) / (1 - (2421.897 + 7619.637) / 15936.356)
=0.412562 / 0.369898
=1.1153

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=8396.964 / 8077.04
=1.0396

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(829.354 / (829.354 + 7619.637)) / (981.933 / (981.933 + 8355.59))
=0.09816 / 0.10516
=0.9334

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(467.736 / 8396.964) / (317.536 / 8077.04)
=0.055703 / 0.039313
=1.4169

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((8593.142 + 2664.999) / 21493.578) / ((5302.946 + 1980.755) / 15936.356)
=0.523791 / 0.457049
=1.146

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(1355.339 - 0 - 2303.332) / 21493.578
=-0.044106

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Compania deneamento de Minas Gerais - COPASA MG has a M-score of -2.71 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.71 mean?
Compania deneamento de Minas Gerais - COPASA MG (BSP:CSMG3) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.71 as of Jul. 22, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Compania deneamento de Minas Gerais - COPASA MG and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Compania deneamento de Minas Gerais - COPASA MG ranks #164 out of 488 companies in the Utilities - Regulated industry, placing it in the top 33.6%.
Is Compania deneamento de Minas Gerais - COPASA MG's Beneish M-Score too high?
Compania deneamento de Minas Gerais - COPASA MG's current Beneish M-Score is -2.71. Based on the distribution chart, Compania deneamento de Minas Gerais - COPASA MG ranks #164 out of 488 companies in the Utilities - Regulated industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Compania deneamento de Minas Gerais - COPASA MG has a GF Score™ of 83/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Compania deneamento de Minas Gerais - COPASA MG's Beneish M-Score compare to AWK and WTRG?
According to the Utilities - Regulated industry distribution chart, Compania deneamento de Minas Gerais - COPASA MG ranks #164 out of 488 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Compania deneamento de Minas Gerais - COPASA MG in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Utilities - Regulated company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Utilities - Regulated industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Compania deneamento de Minas Gerais - COPASA MG and its competitors. Compania deneamento de Minas Gerais - COPASA MG's current Beneish M-Score is -2.71. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Compania deneamento de Minas Gerais - COPASA MG stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Compania deneamento de Minas Gerais - COPASA MG (BSP:CSMG3) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is R$25.12, compared to a current price of R$63.16 — trading 151.4% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.71. Compania deneamento de Minas Gerais - COPASA MG's overall GF Score™ is 83/100 with 9 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Compania deneamento de Minas Gerais - COPASA MG (BSP:CSMG3), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.71 as of Jul. 22, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Compania deneamento de Minas Gerais - COPASA MG (BSP:CSMG3) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Compania deneamento de Minas Gerais - COPASA MG stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of R$63.16 is trading 151.4% above its estimated GF Value™ of R$25.12. GuruFocus considers Compania deneamento de Minas Gerais - COPASA MG to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for BSP:CSMG3:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.71
  • GF Value™: R$25.12 vs. price of R$63.16 (151.4% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 83/100 with 9 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the BSP:CSMG3 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Compania deneamento de Minas Gerais - COPASA MG Business Description

Address Rua Mar de Espanha 525, Santo Antonio, Belo Horizonte, MG, BRA, 30330900
Compania de Saneamento de Minas Gerais - COPASA MG provides water supply, sewage, and solid waste services. The company operates out of subsidiaries COPASA Servicos de Irrigacao S.A., COPASA Aguas Minerais de Minas S.A, and COPANOR. COPASA Servicos de Irrigacao S.A. manages, performs, and sells irrigation system services. COPASA Aguas Minerais de Minas S.A. produces, bottles, distributes, and sells mineral water. COPANOR provides water supply and sewage treatment services across the North and Northeast regions of the State of Minas Gerais. A majority of revenue is derived from water services while the rest is derived from sewage services. The company operates out of Brazil, where an amount of revenue is generated.
83GF Score

Get the complete analysis for BSP:CSMG3

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

R$63.16
Price
R$25.12
GF Value