Expedia Group (BSP:EXGR34) Beneish M-Score: -2.87 (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


BSP:EXGR34 Expedia Group Inc BSP:EXGR34
68 GF Score
Price R$679.68
GF Value R$520.17
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 4 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Expedia Group Beneish M-Score?

Expedia Group BSP:EXGR34 68 Beneish M-Score is -2.87 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates BSP:EXGR34 with a GF Score™ of 68/100 and a GF Value™ of R$520.17 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 824 Travel & Leisure companies, Expedia Group ranks better than 70.63% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.87 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Expedia Group's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BSP:EXGR34' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.87   Med: -2.66   Max: -1.64
Current: -2.87

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Expedia Group was -1.64. The lowest was -2.87. And the median was -2.66.


Expedia Group Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Expedia Group's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Expedia Group Beneish M-Score Chart

Expedia Group Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.86 -2.64 -2.55 -2.74 -2.68

Expedia Group Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.67 -2.59 -2.76 -2.68 -2.87

BSP:EXGR34 vs TCOM, CCL, VIK: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Travel Services subindustry, Expedia Group's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Expedia Group Beneish M-Score vs Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Expedia Group's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Expedia Group's Beneish M-Score falls into.


BSP:EXGR34
68GF Score
Expedia Group Inc BSP:EXGR34
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Expedia Group Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Expedia Group for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0009+0.528 * 0.9917+0.404 * 0.9661+0.892 * 1.0466+0.115 * 0.925
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.963+4.679 * -0.107426-0.327 * 1.0198
=-2.97

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was R$27,215 Mil.
Revenue was 17916.61 + 19351.368 + 23661.556 + 20996.399 = R$81,926 Mil.
Gross Profit was 15945.05 + 17463.696 + 21645.068 + 18905.632 = R$73,959 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R$74,015 Mil.
Total Assets was R$138,370 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R$14,167 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R$4,836 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R$48,953 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R$101,256 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R$24,610 Mil.
Net Income was -31.378 + 1118.418 + 5143.117 + 1830.114 = R$8,060 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -873.343 + -1260.267 + -21.452 + -687.679 = R$-2,843 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 20557.558 + 1658.533 + -2665.411 + 6216.842 = R$25,768 Mil.
Total Receivables was R$25,981 Mil.
Revenue was 17205.203 + 19425.584 + 22483.468 + 19163.744 = R$78,278 Mil.
Gross Profit was 15149.561 + 17381.749 + 20334.802 + 17213.976 = R$70,080 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R$78,235 Mil.
Total Assets was R$150,367 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R$15,679 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R$4,827 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R$48,571 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R$106,945 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R$27,184 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(27214.838 / 81925.933) / (25980.547 / 78277.999)
=0.332188 / 0.331901
=1.0009

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(70080.088 / 78277.999) / (73959.446 / 81925.933)
=0.895272 / 0.90276
=0.9917

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (74014.529 + 14166.986) / 138369.986) / (1 - (78235.305 + 15679.306) / 150367.023)
=0.362712 / 0.375431
=0.9661

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=81925.933 / 78277.999
=1.0466

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(4827.063 / (4827.063 + 15679.306)) / (4835.991 / (4835.991 + 14166.986))
=0.235393 / 0.254486
=0.925

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(48952.614 / 81925.933) / (48570.72 / 78277.999)
=0.597523 / 0.62049
=0.963

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((24610.498 + 101255.515) / 138369.986) / ((27183.99 + 106945.191) / 150367.023)
=0.909634 / 0.892012
=1.0198

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(8060.271 - -2842.741 - 25767.522) / 138369.986
=-0.107426

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Expedia Group has a M-score of -2.97 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.87 mean?
Expedia Group (BSP:EXGR34) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.87 as of Jun. 26, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Expedia Group and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Expedia Group ranks #242 out of 824 companies in the Travel & Leisure industry, placing it in the top 29.4%.
Is Expedia Group's Beneish M-Score too high?
Expedia Group's current Beneish M-Score is -2.87. Based on the distribution chart, Expedia Group ranks #242 out of 824 companies in the Travel & Leisure industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Expedia Group has a GF Score™ of 68/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Expedia Group's Beneish M-Score compare to TCOM and CCL?
According to the Travel & Leisure industry distribution chart, Expedia Group ranks #242 out of 824 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Expedia Group in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Travel & Leisure company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Travel & Leisure industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Expedia Group and its competitors. Expedia Group's current Beneish M-Score is -2.87. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Expedia Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Expedia Group (BSP:EXGR34) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is R$520.17, compared to a current price of R$679.68 — trading 30.7% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.87. Expedia Group's overall GF Score™ is 68/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Expedia Group (BSP:EXGR34), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.87 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Expedia Group (BSP:EXGR34) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Expedia Group stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of R$679.68 is trading 30.7% above its estimated GF Value™ of R$520.17. GuruFocus considers Expedia Group to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for BSP:EXGR34:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.87
  • GF Value™: R$520.17 vs. price of R$679.68 (30.7% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 68/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the BSP:EXGR34 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Expedia Group Business Description

Address 1111 Expedia Group Way W, Seattle, WA, USA, 98119
Expedia is the world's second-largest online travel agency by bookings, offering services for lodging (80% of total 2025 sales), air tickets (3%), rental cars, cruises, in-destination, and other (9%), and advertising revenue (8%). Expedia operates a number of branded travel booking sites, but its three core online travel agency brands are Expedia, Hotels.com, and alternative accommodations brand Vrbo. It also has a metasearch brand, Trivago. Transaction fees for online bookings account for the bulk of sales and profits.
68GF Score

Get the complete analysis for BSP:EXGR34

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

R$679.68
Price
R$520.17
GF Value