The Mosaic Co (BSP:MOSC34) Beneish M-Score: -2.66 (As of Jun. 25, 2026)


BSP:MOSC34 The Mosaic Co BSP:MOSC34
56 GF Score
Price R$18.13
GF Value R$25.43
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 8 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is The Mosaic Co Beneish M-Score?

The Mosaic Co BSP:MOSC34 -0.77% 56 Beneish M-Score is -2.66 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates BSP:MOSC34 with a GF Score™ of 56/100 and a GF Value™ of R$25.43 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review. Among 246 Agriculture companies, The Mosaic Co ranks better than 71.54% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.66 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for The Mosaic Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BSP:MOSC34' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.91   Med: -2.57   Max: -1.71
Current: -2.66

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of The Mosaic Co was -1.71. The lowest was -2.91. And the median was -2.57.


The Mosaic Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for The Mosaic Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

The Mosaic Co Beneish M-Score Chart

The Mosaic Co Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.37 -2.36 -2.42 -2.71 -2.71

The Mosaic Co Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.80 -2.81 -2.65 -2.71 -2.66

BSP:MOSC34 vs SMG, FMC, UAN: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Agricultural Inputs subindustry, The Mosaic Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


The Mosaic Co Beneish M-Score vs Agriculture Industry

For the Agriculture industry and Basic Materials sector, The Mosaic Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where The Mosaic Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


BSP:MOSC34
56GF Score
The Mosaic Co BSP:MOSC34
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

The Mosaic Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of The Mosaic Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8271+0.528 * 1.082+0.404 * 1.0369+0.892 * 1.0647+0.115 * 0.8979
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9545+4.679 * -0.044747-0.327 * 1.0823
=-2.76

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was R$6,577 Mil.
Revenue was 15678.341 + 16223.615 + 18513.612 + 16669.011 = R$67,085 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1232.094 + 1869.123 + 2961.985 + 2876.052 = R$8,939 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R$27,930 Mil.
Total Assets was R$128,483 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R$72,767 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R$6,056 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R$2,958 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R$22,422 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R$23,284 Mil.
Net Income was -1347.145 + -2834.236 + 2206.338 + 2277.66 = R$303 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -472.233 + -2024.61 + 1636.251 + 2068.029 = R$1,207 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 544.924 + -306.065 + 1225.445 + 3380.165 = R$4,844 Mil.
Total Receivables was R$7,469 Mil.
Revenue was 15091.404 + 17179.806 + 15566.202 + 15170.489 = R$63,008 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2812.256 + 1841.892 + 2308.155 + 2122.123 = R$9,084 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R$26,457 Mil.
Total Assets was R$133,390 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R$79,113 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R$5,862 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R$2,911 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R$23,556 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R$20,286 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(6576.745 / 67084.579) / (7468.832 / 63007.901)
=0.098037 / 0.118538
=0.8271

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(9084.426 / 63007.901) / (8939.254 / 67084.579)
=0.144179 / 0.133253
=1.082

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (27930.248 + 72767.269) / 128483.428) / (1 - (26457.318 + 79112.839) / 133390.417)
=0.216261 / 0.208563
=1.0369

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=67084.579 / 63007.901
=1.0647

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(5861.838 / (5861.838 + 79112.839)) / (6055.797 / (6055.797 + 72767.269))
=0.068983 / 0.076828
=0.8979

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(2958.063 / 67084.579) / (2910.684 / 63007.901)
=0.044095 / 0.046196
=0.9545

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((23284.271 + 22422.433) / 128483.428) / ((20286.362 + 23556.387) / 133390.417)
=0.35574 / 0.32868
=1.0823

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(302.617 - 1207.437 - 4844.469) / 128483.428
=-0.044747

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

The Mosaic Co has a M-score of -2.76 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.66 mean?
The Mosaic Co (BSP:MOSC34) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.66 as of Jun. 25, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on The Mosaic Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, The Mosaic Co ranks #70 out of 246 companies in the Agriculture industry, placing it in the top 28.5%.
Is The Mosaic Co's Beneish M-Score too high?
The Mosaic Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.66. Based on the distribution chart, The Mosaic Co ranks #70 out of 246 companies in the Agriculture industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, The Mosaic Co has a GF Score™ of 56/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does The Mosaic Co's Beneish M-Score compare to SMG and FMC?
According to the Agriculture industry distribution chart, The Mosaic Co ranks #70 out of 246 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts The Mosaic Co in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Agriculture company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Agriculture industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on The Mosaic Co and its competitors. The Mosaic Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.66. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is The Mosaic Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, The Mosaic Co (BSP:MOSC34) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is R$25.43, compared to a current price of R$18.13 — trading 28.7% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.66. The Mosaic Co's overall GF Score™ is 56/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For The Mosaic Co (BSP:MOSC34), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.66 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is The Mosaic Co (BSP:MOSC34) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, The Mosaic Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of R$18.13 is trading 28.7% below its estimated GF Value™ of R$25.43. GuruFocus considers The Mosaic Co to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for BSP:MOSC34:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.66
  • GF Value™: R$25.43 vs. price of R$18.13 (28.7% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 56/100 with 8 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the BSP:MOSC34 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


The Mosaic Co Business Description

Address 101 East Kennedy Boulevard, Suite 2500, Tampa, FL, USA, 33602
Mosaic is one of the largest phosphate and potash producers in the world. The company's assets include phosphate rock mines in the US and potash mines in Canada. Mosaic also runs a large fertilizer distribution operation in Brazil through its Mosaic Fertilizantes business.
56GF Score

Get the complete analysis for BSP:MOSC34

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

R$18.13
Price
R$25.43
GF Value